[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi gang ,getting cold charts is as bad as getting good votes in euro vision contest ,its dismal ,please weather gods just one week of snow for all ,sorry legritter thats zilch points ,come on ECM bring it on .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi gang ,I've been lurking ,so frustrating not to see a complete pattern change, one possible straw ,get the polar vortex to be super strong so it'll kick this unwelcome high way south , lets hope the ecm flips cold in 7hrs time , by that time expect uk met will go mild  ,take care all , ps i mean super dooper strong and parked in southern norway cheers .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi gang ,thought I'd post before we get shut down , 2hrs and no post , plenty of winter left , loads of frigid arctic Air ,loads of baps in me freezer ,Big fat blobby high pressure needs zapping ,bring back some zonal , this should be in Ramp thread , cheers gang .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

A final thought of the day ,The pressure pattern type of the last 3 weeks or so as been unusual .Sometimes in weather watching for cold snow etc ,we constantly look for the perfect charts in reliable , tonight im getting a bit of a  BUZZ ,things are picking up a bit for us snow starved posters ,its going to be hard going but could we just about start February, yes the 1st or before with some nice 850s heading south across our island , I've got the Sausages in freezer ,cans up  woodshed , snowy dreams fellow posters ,Boom .

 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

1 hour ago, mushymanrob said:

There was no SSW in 62/3, 46/7 there are no records as recording SSWs started in '58.

We can and do get very cold snowy spell without an SSW. They are not the be all and end of, but after 2018's SSW and the mighty BFTE their importance has been heightened. That was an exceptional case.
I think SSWs are only responsible for about 50% of cold snowy spells of varying length.

Hi gang ,i have read somewhere that a SSW OCCURRED in the winter of 62..63 ,it apparently affected the uk in February 63 and as a result extended that winter , but high pressure brought much drier weather and very low temperatures well into Spring. Of course back then technology was less impressive, think i read a paper in the royal  Meteorological magazine, and on this forum its been mentioned .I wonder IF the winters of the little ice ages had extreme SSWs .nice to see a possible route out of this big high Slug , but think its going to be a long slog ,looks like the Atlantic is awakening, and currently the Gfs is churning out ,will tonights Ecm give us a teaser in its later stages ,cheers and yes sausage baps for all posters .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Perhaps a uk high could be called Boris high , possibly both on their way out . What a bore fest  mother nature is giving us ,please bring back a raging Atlantic  diving lows ,trough disruption, dart board lows etc  .just noticed GFS as a possible record breaking low near iceland in its later stages, take care all ,cheers . And yes sausage baps for you all .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi gang ,some great posts yet again on our top notch weather forum .we seem to get extremes of weather these days , for our part of the northern hemisphere its been flat and boring lately ,I've managed to remain Calm ,no toys out of the pram ,slightly upset at the charts , but great to see posters chasing any sign of cold ,even glancing shots .So my Straw clutch at the moment is the nxt pattern change ,with 6 weeks of Meteorological winter left and not forgetting March and the fact that we have a very cold Arctic, i think theres a very good chance that our very unwelcome high pressure will soon get fed up with our shores and do one .GFS soon , keep the faith gang ,. 

 

 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi gang ,what a beautiful chart ,i nearly choked on my sausage bap ,the hunt is certainly still on ,cheers and yes Stella's all round , i cant load this mornings ecm chart its still showing last nights ,any ideas gang .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

15 minutes ago, TSNWK said:

Be interesting to see if this gfs follows up on what this mornings ecm was hinting at day 10.. gap in vortex over Greenland and heights climbing up

Just going to post very similar thoughts, hopefully we can get rid of this unwelcome high and get a blast of Arctic air ,lets hope models keep up with this theme , and still plenty of true winter left . 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Since my last post ,everyone has disappeared, think I've guessed why ,gfs is churning out so all busy watching that ,hang on Stodge as posted , I'll hit the submit button and catch up , cheers . 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi fellow posters ,expect many of us have looked at the 168hr ECM chart tonight and thought, right a bit further north mate and slightly more north west, or even much further north then several hundred miles north east ,you get the drift .its o so frustrating, but we all go to bed and know that in the morning we may have some of the best charts for  snow and cold , but hey gang ,There's a big Freezer to our North ,lets hope it comes our way , we're in the hunt for cold gang , GFS next ,what a carry on ,we're crazy ,Big sausage baps and Stella's all round gang  

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi again ,going by the update from you know who ,and building an imaginable chart for oneself, atleast we have the building  blocks for a cold shot .just waiting now for the extended outlook to update .onwards now for Gfs afternoon run ,and tonights ECM  , BUT Lets remain aware of sudden flips backwards ,take care all .. 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

Hi gang ,yes the wording from exeter will be a clue to what is or not lurking out at 168 hrs or so .And then we have ECM Tonight ,hopefully we will see the  high pull back west ,allowing low pressure to dive south or south east, with high pressure then pulling north , all so frustrating at the moment .lets hope something is coming our way in about a week ,i looked at gfs first this morning, my mood turned happy ,then clicked on Ecm ,what a horror chart .so lets just adjust our moods and all say ,its only January the 11th , coffee now for me ,maybe tonight Stella's all round and a grand Ecm run ,cheers gang .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

I shall be sat behind the sofa tonigjt for the ECM  ,Dog as well . 

[Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread]

Hi gang ,tomorrows charts will be better ,echo echo echo , its frustrating i know this model watching ,Think every type of  winter imaginable could land on the table over the next 2 months or so . As far as the current charts are telling us its high pressure dominated ,then somewhere around 8 to 10 days a possible northerly as low pressure from the Arctic possibly drops south ,details yet to be modeled nearer the time .I just love the smell of Arctic Air , snow flurries in the wind ,510 Dam lines , model output meltdown , getting the met office on board etc ,the hunt for cold is still on gang .GFS next up ,yes Stellas all round ,ps  and sausage baps for all if models all flip tomorrow cheers . 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022]

Nice gfs run gang ,ECM come on smell the coffee mate, atleast we have a chase ,sausages all round and hopefully a Stella run tonight from Ecm , cheers .. 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022]

 Yes STEllas all round gang ,and heres to a cracking pub run , take care all .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022]

Hi gang , a bit of bantering tonight , nothing wrong with that ,the hunt for cold is a long path with most of the walk along it riddled with Highs and Lows ,and troughs , only on very few occasions do we get close to our quarry ,so thats why if we see a sign of a cold synoptic pattern we can post our thoughts ,thats why our weather forums are a GOLD Standard for weather forums World wide .So my thoughts looking at all available model runs is ,not a clue at day ten ,but i can feel it in my water that theres going to be a visit from the Arctic soon , a lobe of the vortex will drop south ,stay tuned gang the Hunt is still on ,cheers to you all .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022]

Just read The post from SqueakheartLw ,the hunt is on gang  ,free baps all round , best weather forum around. Cheers ..

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022]

Hi gang , im hoping tonights gfs run can bring some cheer , is it sniffing out something or leading some of us on that garden path to mild muck after catching us like a fish on a hook .tonights ecm sent me off on one , the dog Bap did a runner upstairs, i fell asleep after my sausage bap , woke up and read tonights model output posts .Well gang ,great posts ,thanks for all those posters who research the charts etc , this can be a challenging hoby , still plenty of winter left ,cheers to you all .

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022]

Hi gang ,Iff the gfs is sniffing out some  sort of cold and snowy spell i would want to see the Ecm follow fairly soon ,and of course met office longer range to change .To be quite honest i think in 10days time we could see a pattern change ,but and a big but will the goods come our way ,upcoming evening charts will find me behind the sofa with sausage bap ,take care all and keep up with the hunt ,. 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022]

Hi gang ,I'm still in the hunt for cold snow ,plenty of time left  ,nail biting times ahead but who knows whats ahead for us hungry snow hunter s ,bring it on gang ,happy new year to you all .

[Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021]

Evening gang ,iv had my grill on tonight in anticipation of the upcoming colder spell ,overcast today at 15c ,a load of crud ,even the bird seed is sprouting  , slimy rotten high pressure to our south and s west ,go fling your hook .right gang before i get removed from this brilliant forum im looking forward to our colder spell, i love it when we can look at the charts and give little tweaks here and there and come up with a good snowfall , ok just joking there ,but we are certainly in a much better position tonight than we were two days ago .Very interesting possibilitys creeping in to the longer range models at the moment ,perhaps a chunk of the vortex trying to drop south in our local over the next 10days ,for all you snow lovers ,theres plenty of winter left ,plenty of sausage baps on offer , I wish you all well for 2022 regards Legritter . 

[Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021]

Best wishes for 2022 to all fellow posters , stay safe ,winters on its way . 

[Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021]

Hi gang ,mild slugs mild muck ,needed to say that now i feel better .A nice cool down late monday till wed nxt week according to models ,im off up woodshed to talk to Squirrels and consult my seaweed, sausage baps back on the menu ,cheers gang .