legritter
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Posts posted by legritter
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Hi Gang, My dog as just shot upstairs murmurings of The hunt is on , lets all sit back , Relax and be good to each other. I dont post so much these days as looking after a friend .But i do Lurk and thank all the fellow posters for their input of charts and interesting articles .I'm excited but i need more time to hopefully see some Winter wonderland synoptics at T 120 , and do some curtain Twitching and perhaps get the sausage baps out , cheers Gang and heres to the best weather Forum on the Planet .
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Hi gang , realy enjoying your posts , thanks to all those who post interesting charts etc .The outlook for 140 hours time is a kick in the Baps , but still loads of time for something cold and snowy , cheers gang .
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1 minute ago, phil nw. said:Whichever route the models take we seem destined to get the cold in .Ecm also shows a battleground just a bit further north before cold wins out.
Great model viewing with snow chances because of the boundary close to the UK.Cold is good of course but without snow it's almost like bacon without the egg.
Sausages without brown sauce , I've just looked out my patio and light snow falling .Great charts tonight and i wish all posters get their fix more later this weekend , I'm a lurker but i do read most posts , big thanks to all those who contribute to this top of the charts forum ! Cheers gang .
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1 minute ago, booferking said:Yes lets hope , fantastic sharts appearing at last , i think the charts may ebb and flow for a while , we can all dream well tonight of something more wintry .3 new weather books as presents today , great to see family and a great day all round .I wish all my mates friends on here the very best for next year , no baps today no Stella and no brown sauce , Let the CHASE Commence Gang . .
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3 minutes ago, jacke said:A long term lurker, who I hope, you will allow to make a comment relating to some of the recent posts regarding comparisons with that 1962/63 winter and the the current F1 possibilities. I am well old enough to remember that winter. My location then and now is the Fens of North Cambridgeshire.
In truth that epic period took most forecasters by complete surprise. The week before the cold arrived here,(22nd Dec) had been particularly stormy and wet, Atlantic lows in dominance. The change was dramatic with a high moving in and setting in to the NE of the UK. There it stayed for much of the remaining winter into March. Obviously the amount of data available then could in no way compare to today. In my area we had heavy snow on Boxing Day but very little for the sixty day plus following. I read someone mentioned minor milder spells. Other than for some western areas that was hardly the case. Here for those 60 plus days the average mean did not reach 0C. The High pressure remained steadfast and only wobbled about causing some periods of stronger easterly winds and blizzard like days of the already fallen snow.
Im only a layman on weather forecasting but the point I am trying to make is that you need very specific conditions to get anywhere near that kind of winter. PS at my age think I could survive without it
A great Post , in Bristol we had the hvy snow on boxing day night a good 25cm , then briefly milder till the early evening of the 29th then Wow Blizzard from hell .first 3 weeks of January bitter with frequent moderate falls , then generally dry but bitter .Great posters on our forum , cheers to all and yes sausage baps and Stella s all round .
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12 minutes ago, johnholmes said:Wow what a huge task this is, it seems to get larger each year as the knowledge increases. Fantastic Job Nick-thank you. It seems a long time since you first arrived and we used GFS 4x outputs to try and do a daily forecast!
A fantastic read , its great to be part of a Brilliant Weather Forum. The late 70s and 80s i used to have Weather charts posted from Bristol Weather center. I'm lurking every day, but owing to a few health issues i dont post so much .cheers ..
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Hi gang , Thanks to all the posters who contribute to the BEST Forum in the northern Hemisphere. Very interesting Synoptics and the usual Garden paths , I'm usually about a couple of times a day and its great to read your posts .Sausage baps aĺl round and Stella s on ice Cheers gang .
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Hi gang, just noticed possible several cells breaking out over north of breast peninsula, and here on west mendip i c an see tops of a few threatening clouds way to my south of south west. Im hoping that its just kicked off for us further south and hoping that you further north get a few imports from the west country , just getting stuck in to our sausage baps and oven crinkle chips cheers all .
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Hi gang , just had ten minutes of torrential rain, very small cell on radar which seemed to hover and at one point split apart to be only a few pixels. Then a very short burst of steroid sized rain for just a minute then Silence , surprisingly no lightning, Very warm seas with cooler air aloft , bring on winter gang if only but ya never know ! Cheers to you all and yes I'm still on the sausage baps Stella's all round .
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Hi gang , storm here was much weaker than i expected untill early afternoon, quite an intense 10 minutes of torrential rain here in west mendip . Certainly feeling like Autumn in August .Actually we had Lancashire Hot pot friday night , ready meal thats been in the freezer too long and it beats sausage Bap Well probably a draw . Take care gang .
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Hi gang , I've been lurking , great reading the posts .Off tomorrow morning with my girl friend partner to Northumberland for 6 day coaching holiday staying near Newcastle, we're taking paka macks as i think the storms will be following us north , easy meal tonight Sausage Baps and of course Stella's but only one for me , cheers to you all .
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Hi gang , good luck for all looking for Storms this weekend .Not posted lately but I've been a lurking and yes sausage baps are still on the menu cheers gang .
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Hi fellow posters . Realy hope that the people who dont usually see Snow get a covering over the next 48/72 hrs . It seems that every synoptic situation regarding possible low lying snow is like a big Puzzle with thousands of different outcomes, a bit like the Lottery , but im fairly confident that in my kneck of the woods which is west mendip at just 90 mtrs could see a wet mix of snow by first light tuesday morning and later tomorrow into wednesday with a good covering on wednesday .so good luck to all of you , i dont post often but i am lurking and enjoy the Banter on here , cheers to you all .
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Hi gang , just posting to say brilliant forum and I'm still around but lurking in the shadows .still time to get a cold and snowy spell or snap .The northern hemisphere looks primed for newsworthy weather events ecm showing an angry north Atlantic and signs that a Ssw is fairly possible , the rest is down to Luck gang so the Hunt is on .and yes I've just had sausage baps the first in a while cheers gang Stella's on me .
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2 hours ago, Purga said:Yes, with UKMO we'll end up with a flow as flat as a witches t*t.
Not all witches have flat .... take my x mother inlaw , charts today are improving for coldies and its great having very knowledgeable posters on the top weather forum a big cheer for all of us and yes i still have the occasional sausage bap cheers .
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12 minutes ago, Chesil View said:
As a veteran many many winter campaigns from the seventies onwards. I would note that changes from mild southwest/Westerly to colder regimes be they northherly or easterly based tend to come about by several increasingly amplified bursts as opposed to one sweeping change.
The amplification waxing and waning over a period but with each amplification burst getting stronger.
Follow the period 17th Jan to mid Feb 1978 on the wetterzenteale noaa archive to see what the prize can be.
And what a prize for us in the west country .I personally followed the run up to the 18th February blizzard in bristol as a guest at the weather centre and what an interesting week that was , will it won't it even at 9hrs it wasnt guaranteed to reach bristol , but hit east bristol about 9pm ish , a great snowfall , cheers gang ..
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First i must wish all Posters a balanced and very happy new year .As for the weather ,next week is looking mild and often wet then if some of the models at the longer range come true we are then in with a shot of polar Air with deep areas of low pressure maybe lowering hights to our southeast. Think we'll get a good run of dream 10 dayers then perhaps a sniff of a decent chase .take care all and enjoy your evening , all the best for 2023 cheers and sausage baps all round with Stella s of course.
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Hi gang Something is Brewing .I wish all posters a good new year ,im lurking around and enjoying the chase take care all .
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Hi gang i think the forum is heading for a meltdown. My dogs just grabbed the beanbag and gone behind the sofa muttering ECM ,think it may be a good run later , Personally i think some very newsworthy weather on the horizon. And still plenty of winter to come cheers gang sausage baps and Stella's all round . .
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6 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES said:
I'LL PUT MY ORDER IN SNOOOOW ! Plus pigs in blankets with Stella cheers all .
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Morning gang, some encouragement today of a swing to colder conditions later next week , current GFS Giving us coldies some hope .Ecm not so keen , just checked ecm and also encouragement from that Model .Some of the models show the possibility of perhaps one or two named Storms next week .Great as always on this forum, Let the hunt for cold and snowy weather Commence cheers gang and sausage baps all round with a nice Stella or a Thatchers gold .
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Lukesluckybunch Down a bit cheers .