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Everything posted by legritter

  1. Another thought ,perhaps we need to take into account the number of planes taking off and flying around ,if a butterfly flapping its wings can effect our atmosphere [just a thought ]I dont mean to appear rude but looking outside this morning at all the north american air traffic coming in i,m sure that must affect our atmosphere . Iwould also like to point out too new members , the study of aircraft contrails is a very interesting read ,and for any one trying to understand the upper atmosphere at about 300mb which is about 30,000 feet different thicknesses and length of these contrails also how fast they break up etc , any how models today looking very encouraging for out past this sunday ,but dont look for the snow word too much at the moment as this will come nearer the time in any met forecast ,there are Weather sharks out there people with no more interest than selling their papers etc , well gang catch you up later at that golden hour of 7pm for tonights runs ,cheers
  2. Hi gang ,the weather past about 7 to 8 days is currently hard to put detail on for the UK, but we do have many things going in our favour , UK met are on board so is ecm and gfs ,there will be swings day to day but let's look at the models more day to day same time for comparison .remember how Dec 2010 went big let downs one day Stella runs the next . Winter snow and cold doesn't come easy to our shores ,many of our classic winters IF now around now with our modern technology computers etc would still give us a roller coaster ,collapsing high pressure being one of them (end of January 63 )high to our north collapsed south allowing Atlantic in for two days ,then new high formed ,icy blast continued .apart from the thrill of deep snow ,my interest is how would modern day Britain cope ,how would the Media respond , social media ,government , and how soon would our models forecast a mayor snow storm , the wording of forecasts etc on tv ,it's great when we get people like Fergie weather pop in to our forum ,and I would love to hear him say Big snow south of M4 corridor, and of course north , well I, m very happy with current prospects but must admit a bit uneasy until we get a few more runs ,gosh I, m hanging cheers gang .
  3. Just got back from walk and squirrels stocking up with straw ,yes great charts and I like uk met latest chart , we need good charts this evening ,but gang don't get sucked in yet If it's out there lurking the model hymm sheets will give us the final Nod but very good charts for the Hunt ,catch you all up later if we don't Crash first .
  4. Thank you Fergie weather, so looking at current data and models I would say the first 3 to 4 days of January look cold ,but beyond that ,signal for a return to westerly winds ,well gang that covers the next TEN days ,which we all know is ages in forecasting terms ,so let's hang on in there and prey ,great forum ,I would say probably the best in the world of weather forums , don't forget that on the score of Lost data over christmas any high at 10 days would be modeled far too south , (don't take my word for it ) right again my Christmas wishes to you all ,cheers gang from a very mild West mendip village ,6 years ago minus 9 and 20 cms of the white stuff ,cheers
  5. Merry christmas to all members ,great forum ,love the output last 24hrs or so ,lets hope we dont get a Partridge in a PEAR TREE ,We dont want any Pears thank you ,cheers to all posters ,,right off to carve the turkey and when i come back a cracking run from ECM ,CHEERS
  6. Yes a sandy high from gfs ,I mean Scandi, a present from the models ,but will it get delivered, things still looking good and v interesting , expect gfs to give many chalk and cheese runs ,cheers gang catch you all up later
  7. Yes i,m very happy with todays model runs ,charts data etc .but i would need to see continuation this evening and tomorrow , certainly looking good for a colder start to 2017 , but its so frustrating knowing that things can change at short notice [like just one run ] lets see where we are come 7pm this evening ,and perhaps then i may open a Stella or Two , and of course todays Met off update ,which is composed using data we dont get to see past about 6 days ,cheers gang ,
  8. Please please please ,yes I know it's way out but ,oh sweet dreams ,very interesting model watching, but what chalk and cheese in one run ,all we need now is the ICING on the Cake ,cheers
  9. Must be very hard to say what the synoptic situation will be come early January, at ten days away that's ages in meteorological time .Also bearing in mind that the upper atmosphere at this moment could be cooking something up ,even in this modern day the amount of data collected is minimal even with sattelite and computers ,our only hope from current pattern is time IF you want some magical white stuff and ice days , looking very likely that the Atlantic could slow down so let's hope any high pressure can establish in the right position ,another straw clutch for me is the fact that the euro slug as been king for a while ,let's hope a new king comes to power , thanks to Fergie weather for his input into our top weather forum ,cheers .
  10. Its looking increasingly likely that after the coming unsettled spell which is forecast by models charts etc Will come a spell of high pressure dominated weather for the UK but where this high pressure is going to be situated come the turn of the new year is still yet open to many possible out comes .of course it could move away south allowing the atlantic train to come rushing in ,or it could even back west then migrate north , there seems to be many options on the table , but looking across the atlantic it does look like high pressure could be setting up shop around n east canada ,which could allow our weather to perhaps take on more of a wintry outlook as high pressure could set up further to our north ,but i,m hoping that all of us can see some wintry weather come next year ,A bit of snow on the ground hanging around for a while and a few ice days ,not asking for much ,i can see the headlines now ,5CM snow causes chaos ,transport paralysed ,Net weather posters dragged away by men in white coats ,cheers gang
  11. Looking at tonights models and charts data etc there's enough to keep me interested ,and a nice straw to clutch regarding the possibility of high pressure setting up shop and hopefully as we enter January 2017 possibly pulling in some cold synoptics ,but at the back of my mind I have a dread of big fat euro slugs (terrible creatures ) just hoping they don't convince the met office high pressure to breed on main land Europe, just a quick joke ,one fat euro slug to another ,cheer up mate in another 4 months we are off too Iceland for our holidays ,well gang let's carry on with the search for cold and snow we have some hints on ecm towards the end of its run tonight and met office hinting of high to our West, and it's still only December the 20th ,game still and truly on ,cheers all .
  12. Just hoping that met office modeling of high pressure setting up to our West in new year is correct ,computers may be saying high to West but it could rear it's head further east and south as a SLUG ,oh how I hate SLUGS ,or they could be on the ball and hopefully we can see a link up to our north ,time will tell ,cheers
  13. well looks like first low on GFS is some 150 miles further north , but at 4 days plus still time for change ,Secnd low not updated yet but think this one will be the more active one .I was a bit disappointed with this mornings ecm but at this range it could be all change this evening ,perhaps Met off update soon can shed some light on medium range outlook ,medium as in 7/10 days ,will be interesting If they still mention high to our west , crikey what a roller coaster ,hope we can get a few cold shots soon ,cheers ,
  14. Evening all ,Barbara would be our next named storm ,when we had Angus back in November I certainly thought that we would be on our 4th storm by now , ok current possible storm forecast at 7 to 8 days away .if it goes as ecm is modeling it's very bad news for probably 60 percent of UK , 200 miles further south my next door neibours trampoline goes airborne again ,we are in the lap of the gods . On tonights ecm high pressure is kept much further east ,I, v no clue to what lies past the new year ,any person have a clue ,drinks all round ,.
  15. Well let's hope ECM can give us a good evening then later gfs has a good pub run ,high over euro and polar vortex both need to fight it out ,at the moment we don't have a definite clue as to what the synoptic s will be in 7 days ,crikey I need a sleep before 7pm so it's back to my pram ,cheers
  16. Morning gang ,yes plenty of synoptic possibilitys have shown themselves over the past day or so ,lets hope the cold ones win out . untill though this euro block shows its hand we cannot realy see which way we are heading ,a couple of days ago it looked like low after low was going to give us a bit of everything ,but now we have high pressure increasingly controlling from the east ,so as usual gang patience is the key ,right, up in the loft for decs ,And STellas on ice for later ,cheers
  17. Well the GFS run towards the end brought joy but i,m going to have to see more runs yet and some back up from other models .great to see high pressure setting up further north and n west , looks like plenty of action weather even if this turns up as actual ,going to be a wild time on our forum ,a real roller coaster ,will be some troughs and highs ,emotional ones that is ,so on that note good night Gang ,
  18. The good old zonal train as crept in by the looks of things ,tonights ECM might put some meat on the bones regarding any potential deep low systems ,but with a large block further east i think models will struggle somewhat . so a week from now it could be batten down the hatches or just cloudy and mild , looking interesting on how this turns out ,many twists and turns to come , never boring on here but frustrating at times ,that low on gfs at the end is a real dartboard low 930 mb ,the GFS is certainly computing something so expect some wild runs soon . cheers gang .
  19. We certainly need a big player to push us into a real wintry spell ,dont think this will come quite yet but looking at extended pressure forecasts past christmas period with a fair bit of luck we could see a cold continental feed set up .of course this could already be underway as is such the workings of the weather so coming days could give us a clue ,at the moment though it is frustrating with all this mild murky damp dross ,but many a good proper cold spell with lowland snow as materialised after similar synoptic situations that we are in now ,just a case gang that we have to be patient and watch full ,but all very interesting , and as weather is not an exact science [yet] we can only hang on tight and pray ,cheers fellow sufferers .
  20. Frosty ,nice to see you are on board ,get those crayons out ,and christmas 11/12 days away so plenty can happen , synoptic wise we just dont know whats on the horizon cheers
  21. Morning all ,The hunt is back on ,todays charts give us coldies some hope down the line .but another week of realy flatish weather then hopefully some action ,Are we all Converting to Zonal , the grass is greener etc etc ,but lets not get to carried away yes we could get v cold zonal or just plain zonal .And worth keeping an eye on Developements to our east and n/east as well as this could manifest into several options over coming weeks . Also dont expect big changes from met off update ,as they are looking at data charts etc that are not available to us weather fanatics , they i,m sure will ride with this zonal signal for a while untill it becomes much clearer ,STellas all round gang ,catch you all up later
  22. I met Ian McCaskill ,a very nice person and very knowledgeable in Meteorology it came across in his weather presentations ,one of the Best .
  23. Morning all ,it looks to me that we are now entering a period of uncertainty past the 168 hr mark . looking at this mornings ECM in its later stages it does look like some sort of Zonal could win out next week .I say uncertainty but i am quite aware theres always that past 168 hrs . And at this range high pressure could become Anchored to our east with any Zonal being derailed way to our north . If i may just mention the christ mas period and still way to early at 13 days away , but i do have a gut feeling that our rather mundane synoptic situation will be replaced in about 10 days time ,but with what i have NO clue ,the weather does seem to be a very quick /Quick change Artist , so perhaps something is brewing , Thanks to Fergieweather for putting some meat on the bones , wish i could add some myself ,cheers gang ,
  24. Afternoon all ,after studying all current charts and Data I am inclined to think that out around later next week we could very well have some very threatening lows coming our way ,I am not suggesting A Battleground situation [ the type we dream of ] but perhaps lows taking a more southerly track , of course at this range any high in our local will be critical to what weather we get . I think we will start to see on the models very soon more of a hint of where we are heading ,regards positioning of high pressure and how very deep cold air exiting n,east Canada could influence the UK . Worth pointing out for new members that it does not take many days under high pressure in mid or late December for cold air to develope , so on the 9th december i will say ,stay calm ,its mild now ,but the mid to longer outlook can change very quickly , a couple of stella runs ,get all models singing together ,Squirrels nicely tucked up in bed ,frosty happy with his crayons and a happy crowd on this forum cheers all ,
  25. Dry frosty high would be good ,then let it migrate north ,not asking much ,we need some slices of bread not crumbs ,cheers .
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