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Richard Waugh

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Everything posted by Richard Waugh

  1. Richard Waugh
    The radar has been utterly utterly useless the last few days, tonight we're under a bright blob of green but not 1 flake of snow (or drop of rain for that matter) I really do wonder at the coverage of radar, if some areas have lower resolution or are interpolated from other radar returns rather than from live data?
  2. Richard Waugh
    Could be at altitude I guess it doesn't actually look like too much is blowing about at the moment but it must be something like that fooling the radar, trouble is people outside that area just assume it must be snowfall and if they're not getting any get the hump. It's worth bearing in mind folks that radar isn't 100% accurate and can be fooled
  3. Richard Waugh
    That radar is not accurate there's a lot of thin cloud about that is showing up on radar as snowfall but nothing is falling. I haven't seen a thing fall on N Norfolk coast so far today but from the radar we're getting a pasting. Got to say looking at the roads don't go out if you don't have to there are so many roads closed and impassable even the snow ploughs are getting stuck and needing rescue with roads under several feet of snow drift. It doesn't look too bad when you look out of the window but some roads are under 3 feet of snow now especially in North Norfolk, the Wells - Fakenham road for example is completely stuffed, the A148 is blocked and that was gritted and ploughed (allegedly). Stay safe everyone!!
  4. Richard Waugh
    There's a lot of showers in the north sea tonight just clipping the North Norfolk coast heading towards Lincolnshire as they head west, hopefully we can all catch a few of them
  5. Richard Waugh
    My boys sledging this evening in Blakeney, Norfolk
  6. Richard Waugh
    Blakeney Quay earlier this afternoon
  7. Richard Waugh
    teeny weeny bit further north and west please
  8. Richard Waugh
    I really would not be surprised to see more unforecast snow. We had a lot last night when it was supposed to snow in the early hours (which it also did) but it was snowing on/off from about 7pm giving a good inch or so before I went to bed and we had 5" or so this morning. It has also snowed most of the day and it's now getting very black again so hopefully we'll see some more tonight whether it's expected or not. Hopefully it won't be too bad as need to get the car to the garage for repairs tomorrow and can't skip it as the MOT is due soon too.....
  9. Richard Waugh
    What a day so much snow falling almost constant heavy snow from 7am until noon and looks like more to come too.
  10. Richard Waugh
    Amazing stuff this morning in North Norfolk woken up to about 5" of snow and its snowed pretty much non-stop all morning. Bit worried now as there's a gap in the radar but hoping some more showers will be along soon, hopefully a good bit of convection will dump a load more or at least keep cloud cover up to stop the sun melting it.
  11. Richard Waugh
    Maybe we can keep the I told you so's until AFTER the chances of snow have gone? People have had such a strop on various forums moaning about only getting an inch or what not, moaning about the met office warnings etc but we've still got tomorrow and Thursday with more snow forecast for many. Once we get to the weekend then we can do the I told you so's but considering we're still inside the forecast period for me it's a bit too soon to say no snow drifts etc because there's still more to come yet, it may well be little or not the amounts suggested but forecasters can only go with what's in front of them tempered with experience if the models get it wrong then it's wrong
  12. Richard Waugh
    Bitterly cold outside now, wind has really picked up but still not much more than a dusting of the white stuff but very cloudy tonight. Really hope we're going to see some concentrated showers & actually get some accumulations. Doesn't look like we'll be breaking any records after all the hype.
  13. Richard Waugh
    When does the proper cold actually arrive, all we're getting at the moment is the snow equivalent of drizzle. Loads of cruddy little pellets for 20 mins then sunshine and repeat. I'm starting to wonder if this is actually going to happen in North Norfolk at all. Fingers crossed for overnight and tomorrow. Good luck everyone
  14. Richard Waugh
    Lovely dusting this morning in North Norfolk, it fell around midnight last night & hasn't melted. Just a few flakes blowing in the breeze this morning. Unfortunately also blue sky right now too. Just awaiting showers now, looking for convection I suppose.
  15. Richard Waugh
    Errr no that is very clearly not the trend at all have you actually looked at anything other than a few GFS runs?
  16. Richard Waugh
    Good dusting on the ground in North Norfolk now and lightly snowing
  17. Richard Waugh
    Not really there have been plenty of times when GFS and ECM have together "agreed" and it's gone a completely different way. Think of all the times when GFS & ECM agreed we were going to be buried under 25 feet of snow 5 days out and then at T+24/48 the cold spell completely evaporates and we ended up warm instead. If this was showing a snow storm and staying cold for 2 weeks everyone says its FI, could change etc but somehow because it shows a breakdown and 2 models kind of agree it's suddenly "game over"??? If that low tracks 100 miles south it's far from game over and that level of correction is probably well within margin of error for the models concerned. Yes it's there and it's showing a warm up for some BUT it's not certain, it's not game over.
  18. Richard Waugh
    I don't understand all the wailing and gnashing of teeth based on 1 run (plus possibly the UKMO). If this showed a snowstorm dropping 6 foot of snow people whilst excited would be saying its 6 days out, it's 1 run etc but somehow because it now represents sods law it's like it's carved in stone by some of the hand wringing going on. Models are still showing nearly a week of bitter cold & snow for most can we just wait for it to start before panicking about the end. We know cold dense air is difficult to shift so once we've had a few days of cold it well be that low doesn't make it as far north and its pushed back in fact given the depth of cold I'd be surprised if GFS suddenly has it right and this has happened before overblowing low pressure systems North etc. Let's just give it a few more runs, see if its a trend rather than a spurious spike.
  19. Richard Waugh
    Bear in mind cloud cover too, it can't melt anything if we've got almost constant cloud cover, which given the charts showing the amount of precipitation coming we'd have to have close to 100% cloud cover most of the time
  20. Richard Waugh
    Got about a cm in north Norfolk hoping mores heading our way need some of that welsh snow...
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