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Tim M

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  1. Will it ever stop for any length of time? After a couple of dry hours in Mansfield - the first since 11am Monday - we have had another wet afternoon and evening looking likely
  2. So it is still raining in Mansfield - 31 hours non-stop now - and yet many forecasts kept saying throughout today that it would eventually dry up this afternoon - raintoday has constantly said the rain would ease off in the 3rd/4th hour of its forecast only to change as the timeframe drew nearer. Does anyone actually know when it will stop? (And that is not meant to be sarcastic) Looking at the radar it looks very unlikely that it will be this evening as many forecasts suggested earlier today. And if not, then what chance is there for accurate forecasting days in advance when we can't forecast a few hours ahead as seems to be the case at the moment. (Again not being sarcastic)
  3. Re rainfall totals - ignore ECM and GFS, at least for where I live, as they are no longer realistic already. Here in Mansfield it has been raining non-stop - and mostly heavy - for 22 hours now and looking at the radar it will continue for many hours yet as we are right in the middle of the 'streamer' from the North Sea.
  4. Yes this has been ugraded for my area, North Notts, in terms of wind by Met Office and NW. Strangely XC Weather, which usually has highest wind speed predictions, has lowest of 3.
  5. Thanks everyone... yes my mistake, I did mean a 'usual' autumn/spring storm. No downgrades yet and yes Pit, I am just a few miles down the M1 from you so keeping an eye out tomorrow night too.
  6. Surprised no mention anywhere of forecast strongish winds late Friday and Saturday yet. NetWeather forecast has my backyard down for 34 sped and gusts well into 60s. Is it anything to be concerned about or just a 'usual' winter storm?.
  7. Strange how Met Office has upgraded slightly wind speeds from yesterday but XC Weather have downgraded.
  8. Met Office just upped windspeed and gust forecasts further for me (Mansfield).
  9. Hi Jo, When would we know about when and where the deepening will take place, or is it a case of wait and see on the day?
  10. That's exactly what I was thinking for where I am (Mansfield). It said gusts to 57mph on Met Office up to the warning being issued, now down to 51. Strange. I am certainly hoping for the latter!
  11. Agreed ... but 10% chance of showers does not, surely, mean 4 hours of persistant, at times heavy, rain. And an East Midlands text forecast of showers for Lincolnshire only should not mean persistent rain for Mansfield? Why single out Lincs for rain only for instance?
  12. I know what you are saying, but 10% chance of showers does not equate to 4 hours of persistent and at times heavy non-stop rain. And the written forecast said no rain, only for Lincolnshire. Mansfield is not in Lincs.
  13. I wouldn't take the Met Office short-term predictions let alone the long-term! Take now for instance, 10% chance of rain in Mansfield today apparently. Currently raining, has been for an hour and will do for at least 3/4 more hours looking at rain radar. Abysmal!
  14. Could someone please point me to the thread to talk about MO and other forecasts accuracy please? Love following the discussion but can't believe how wrong the MO is for my area, Mansfield, today. 10% chance of rain as it pours it down and will do for some time looking at the radar. Mansfield is not in Lincolnshire.
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