Brass_Monkeys

Sorry about the sideways view. Doesn't look as heavy on the pics but you can see the smattering of white starting to appear on the grass.

Snow starting to stick on grass and Tarmac surfaces

Snow to low levels here in the Northwest.

Snowing quite heavily here after sleeting for a while.

Yep!

Great pic! It's like a different world up there.

The front moving in from the west looks as if it's making more progress than was forecast. I might be clutching at straws but like the showers making it much further inland it I'lll take any glimmer of hope I can!

Not much in the way of hills or high ground below the Peak District so the showers tend to track further. I wouldn't be too hopeful of any getting over the Pennines.

So it's looking like this cold spell will extend through next weekend and possibly further. So that'll be more dry and sunny weather for us to look forward to! I know the longer a cold spell lasts the more chance of seeing snow but I can't get excited at the prospect of a sustained N'ly.

Well nothing to cheer us up from the NMM I'm afraid. In fact there's even less PPN across Ireland and it doesn't extend as far west as yesterday. The 32hr from the 12z and the 33hr from the 00z for comparison.

0.6C dp -6C

Good evening Nothing to excited about still in the no snow zone. Apart from some chilly night time temps. Not sure temps will get too low overnight as the front moving in and bringing snow to parts of Scotland and Ireland will probably bring cloudy sky's to our region. You know we're out of luck when we have prime conditions for snow, a front moving in but no snow forecast.

As expected for our region in a N'ly. If you like benign weather then this next week is for you.

So as is normally the case our region is pretty quiet now that the wind is from the north. The models make pretty grim reading for the upcoming week in terms of snowfall. As ever things can change in an instant and we know there is plenty of instability associated with the airmass we are sourcing from the Arctic. Our next best opportunity is the little low due to move South through the Irish Sea late Monday or early hours of Tuesday. A lot will depend on the track of the low as to what falls dom the sky. On the western flank the PPN is likely to fall as rain. Anything that falls on the eastern flank will prob be of snow . Ideally we want the low to keep West well away from the coast. Euro4/GFS out at 48hrs:- So once again lots of marginality associated with this feature. Those on high ground to the East are probably most at risk from snow. Lots can change in 48 hours. Especially in this set-up. Will be interesting to see how the NNM sees it tomorrow.

I can't make out any small features in the Irish Sea. Might be my amateur eye??I doubt the PPN will move west in our direction. About 3 mile too far west. It's likely to slip S and E. I'm happy that those on the coast who've suffered from rain and sleet lately are getting a bit of snowðŸ˜

Chris R Pretty heavy now and blowing around. it was Worth staying up for. Looks like Liverpool and the Wirral area are going to be the lucky recipients of tonight's meagre snow offerings in the NW.

Unfortunately too far South of my location. I wonder if a streamer may be about to set up?

Yes, I realise that. I tried to find it on satellite imagery but couldn't see it.Someone in another regional thread (Midlands I think) spotted what he thought was a low forming just below the IOM earlier this evening.

There's a small feature due to move down the W of the UK late Monday into Tuesday. Probably be our best chance of seeing some snow as things stand.

I'm looking at it as the opposite from the direction of travel. Hence building backwards. It might be purely down to the instability in the flow and not due to the low on the E coast? Nice to see some developments anyway

Showers appear to be spawning out of nowhere across the Midlands and towards the Peaks. I'm assuming this is due to the energy being injected from the East Coast low? I wonder if they might back build into our region?

There's a few people from Wigan who post on here. Me included, Welcome to the board Soop

Just been checking out some alternative radar and the forecast path of the PPN. I doubt very much they are accurate or reflect the topography effects etc. Probably just send the PPN on at the same rate and on the same track its heading currently. Even so, they both had some PPN making it into the region around 0230hrs.

The flow only turned N'ly this afternoon. So yes just have to wait and see. Personally I find lowland NW away from the hills rarely gets much in a N'ly set-up. You will always have the chance of coastal showers from time to time.

Because of the instability in the N'ly flow little troughs and depressions can seemingly form out of nowhere. There looks to be quite a few kinks in the isobars showing up in the charts for the next few days. So can't say with any amount of certainty but there's chance something will crop up in the flow. Just hope we get lucky.