Allezwasps.
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Posts posted by Allezwasps.
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1 minute ago, Storm mad said:
When do we bring out the B word...?
Started about 6am this morning here again
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Flying to kos on Wednesday .. Gonna be toasty .
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14 minutes ago, Azazel said:
Slate grey sky with some bursts of rain mixed it - smells and feels like one of those humid, dank Autumn mornings.
The wait for a storm goes on and on.
Ditto here … As seems usual this year we only got a few drops of Rain and the Storms developing North of us …
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55 minutes ago, Glenosnow said:
Afternoon all,currently 20.9°C...dry but according to radar it should be light rain....evaporating before hitting the ground.........oh well looks like I'm going to miss out here.......no storms and even rain.
No excitement whatsoever.....storms shield 100% active.
Same here
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A grey day here and noticeably cooler than of late .. we’ve escaped all the storms so far this month and it looks like another bust today …
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1 hour ago, Steve of Wycombe said:
In High Wycombe only 4ml fell over two days. Major storms hit south, north , east and west of us. We heard a few rumbles and saw the odd flash in the distance but nothing exciting. Every summer the same happens again and again and we get diddly squat. Heathrow less than 20 miles ago got 26ml - who else in central sothern england got unlucky.
Similar story here in Wokingham .
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Everything has bypassed me again today I guess our best chance will come from plume events later in the season
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14 minutes ago, Alderc said:
Both Arome & UKV properly unload on Dorset / Hants border at different times this afternoon and evening with over 2000j/kg of cape being released but given neither has a good handle on precipitation currently in the channel and the extensive think cloud cover to say I’m skeptical is in an understatement.
Yes I can just start to see the high level Crud approaching from my south … hope it doesn’t ruin our chances later ️️️
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Any French imports tonight ??
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30 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
Going to be a right mess the weather this coming week, no real cold or snow though.
Yes I can see the usual suspects further north getting pasted again whilst we suffer the cold Rain again
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27 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:
Theres our snow coming into the SW for this evening and over night
Maybe another bite of the cherry for East Berks later , seems a long way off tho .
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14 minutes ago, Azazel said:
I think pretty much anywhere could see something today apart from North Hampshire (the void).
Ditto here
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Tantalisingly close again here but once again no storms ……. The wait goes on .
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Another barren spell here in East Berks , honestly can’t remember the last storm we had
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Heaviest burst of snow so far here in Berkshire ..... here’s hoping we catch something more substantial later
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2 minutes ago, kold weather said:
So models are still firming up on tonight, basically becoming a non event further west you go, definately not worth staying up for if your n the western part of the region.
Beyond that and the signal for strong convection to band is getting tighter now its coming into the high resolution models. They typically really struggle with Thames streamers in particular and the wind becomes more favourable into Monday for its formation.
The GFS suite try to bring the LP over the channel very close to us (actually grazes the south on the 00z GFS) on Tuesday but this has very low support other than that. The worst case scenario is a close miss as that would kill any streamer/shower activity in rhe region until it has clear off to the east and we repull in another easterly in its wake.
So today it still looks good for the east, perhaps a slightly lower amount from the models than previously but that will shift around each run. Further west its going to be a very patchy affair, some will get absolutely nothing from this unless a breakdown snow occurs., others may get lucky under constant streams/banding convection in which case a quick fire couple of inches will be possible, and maybe more if a proper streamer sets up somewhere like the Thames, etc.
How far West do you think the cut off will be Around Reading maybe ?
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1 minute ago, kold weather said:
Both the 06z ICON and the 06z GFS have shifted the precio shield a litrle further NW compared to previous runs.
Also both runs have more than a hint of a streamer or two forming. The exact angle is probably yet to be decided depending on the exacts of the LP. We probably won't get much forward notice about exact locations *if* it forms until very close in as even a 20-40 mile shift in the LP core may make the difference between winds coming from 90 degrees or 60 degrees.
If it blows the snow towards East Berkshire that would be nice
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Not expecting massive amounts as we had in 2010 here on the slopes of Wokingham .., but you never know ....
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11 minutes ago, Stu_London said:
12z GFS rolling out - Blizzards spreading from the south east next Sunday if you choose to believe it
I have more believe in Eric Dier to be honest ...
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1 hour ago, Polaris said:
It’s all going pear shaped again
Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
I’m starting to think Spurs will win a trophy before I see a decent storm here again …