su rui ke
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Posts posted by su rui ke
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10 hours ago, SLEETY said:
but in some countries it hits the 40s for months,the elderly do survive the heat there,dont be over dramatic and say many will die here for goodness sake. I'm sure the vulnerable will know how to best cope with the heat,I mean on the news the met office forecasts ,its constantly rammed down our throats ,not to go outside ,put lots of sun cream on if you do,drink.lots of water,etc.They say it all the time,despite the fact its obvious to most people what you need to do in hot weather to stay healthy for goodness sake,instead of the but constant need to be reminded what to do!!
Where exactly? We also have a tendency to believe that 'everyone else' always copes better than us. I doubt that there are many well-populated areas of the world where it's over 40C 'for months'. Where that does occur, you can be pretty sure that anyone who can afford it will have air-conditioning, which makes a huge difference. People die from the heat in India and Pakistan every year and this week this has also been happening in Japan, for example.
In China, where I spend most of the time, 'high-temperature' warnings are issued when the temperature is forecast to exceed 35C. And, yes, people complain about the heat all the time in summer!
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Yep, still bits and pieces of snow in the forecasts (as well as rain) and probably a least a couple of frosty nights in most places this week. I don't think those drifts are going anywhere fast!
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I remember that happened a lot in 2010 as well, 101. Should be illegal! (Or maybe it already is?)
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Lots of snow still falling in Aberdeenshire and the northern Highlands by the look of things?
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Yep, convection looks like it's picking up again over the North Sea. It's not quite over yet!
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6 minutes ago, ECOSSE1650 said:
Somebody on Skye is in big trouble, possibly a farmer who has been burning his grass fields and the fire has spread into a forest, I'll try and upload photos later. Crazy that at this time of the year that the grass/shrubs/trees can burn and on Skye of all places, whilst so much of the country is under snow.
I think this happened in 1947 in parts of the West Highlands as well. The winter was so easterly-dominated that parts of the country that are usually among the wettest ended up bone dry by the spring!
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Activity moving north slightly? NE Fife was looking very 'red' a bit earlier but there seems to be more going on over Angus now.
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Looks like there's some more intense stuff building off the coast between Aberdeen and Dundee just now. Are you ready, Hawesy?
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9 hours ago, Hawesy said:
Temperature has been hovering around 3c here most of the day, with ~523 dam and -10c 850s in an easterly breeze. If things weren’t due to get notably colder I wouldn’t expect any significant accumulation from showers here at the coast. I only say this as a reference point for future, less severe easterlies....nothing like thinking ahead.
Mm, I always thought -10 was 'safe', even right on the coast. Maybe not in late Feb/early March in an easterly breeze?
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Any bets on who will be the first to report falling snow? Am I right that eastern coastal areas may not be quite cold enough for snow initially?
(It certainly won't be me - Beijing hasn't had any precipitation at all since late October!)
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16 minutes ago, Norrance said:
I must have missed that one as I was working in SE England that year. Here is report about it saying it was the worst for several years. If so must have been pretty good as there was a lot of snow in1978 and 1979.
Thanks, Norrance - that was it! Of course, 1978 and 1979 were also great and the snow lasted much longer.
So, next week is it to be the BBC's 'light snow showers and breezy' or a three-day blizzard enveloping most of the east coast?
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3 hours ago, Norrance said:
1978 was great here too and only equalled or bettered by 2010. Inland especially in the Highlands there have been many better events but for the East coast these are the best since 1963/47 etc.
I think a short-lived and almost-forgotten easterly some time in late January/early February 1980 also brought more than a foot of snow to Dundee in a couple of days. I remember walking to school on the Monday and there being virtually no traffic!
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16 minutes ago, Hawesy said:
Right folks I’m going to chuck in some pessimism to the mix to validate my 3 rating on the KTSOS (Kilted Thread Snow Optimism Scale)
Havent seen much mention of the strong late Feb sun. Had this event (assuming it occurs) taken place a month ago we’d be looking at ice days across the board however I’ll wager that low-lying and coastal areas will creep up above freezing even with <-12c uppers.
The other thing is that the sun will melt snow even where air temp is below freezing by day. Have seen this in Toronto in March when air temps during the day were around -10c but the strength of the sun still caused considerable melt. Obviously Toronto is much further south than us but the same principle applies. This will make it more difficult for day on day accumulation at low levels...
Not being negative, I’m just as excited as everyone else (probably more so as I’m yet to see snow this winter!) but just introducing a couple of factors to consider!
If you want to see as much snow piling up as possible then it may be a worry - however, it could be very cloudy along the east coast, at least, anyway!
If I were over there at the moment, I'd just be happy to have the chance to experience conditions that look like being very unusual for the UK.
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15 hours ago, knocker said:
The really cold air at the moment is under a tonking 1065mb anticyclone
Chinese TV is saying Beijing's coldest week in 30 years is about to start - all a bit strange but must be related?
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Meanwhile, it's spring-like here in Beijing. Maximum temperature may reach 10C on Monday.
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25 minutes ago, Weather-history said:
Well I don't speak Taiwanese but the fact that falling snowflakes has made a news report shows the significance for them. Taipei is about 25N.
In fact, much of China has been hit by an intense cold wave over the last few days although it's easing now. It also apparently snowed in Guangzhou for the first time in 60 years and it was close to freezing in Hong Kong. It was -17 here in Beijing on Saturday with a near gale-force wind - not pleasant at all!
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According to local newspaper reports, Chan-hom made landfall in the Zhoushan archipelago south of Shanghai at 4.40 pm (local time) this afternoon. The central pressure was 955 mb at that time. There is severe disruption - if not, yet, any reports of damage - in northern Zhejiang province. By 4 pm, average rainfall across the city of Ningbo was 163 mm with one station in the nearby mountains reporting 504 mm.
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Strange as up here in Beijing we've had one of the warmest spells of the year the last few days. Typhoons do bring the coolest type of summer weather to eastern China however - often the maximum temperature will go down to around 25C instead of being in the low to mid 30s.
Flooding is probably going to be more of a concern in Shanghai/Zhejiang over the next few days. It had already been raining for about a week before the typhoon arrived!
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How the hell can a long-range forecast be 'last minute' (quote from Madden above)?
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Without beginning to discuss the other problems with this, it would be rather difficult for Patrick Moore to reveal anything at the moment ...
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A warm November? Not according to this lot: http://www.weatherbell.com/videos/encoded/1387630105_2.ogg
Hilarious!
'How can they say it was the warmest November on record? Look at all these months that were warmer!'
Er, yes, but at least one of those that you pointed out is not a November - being at the beginning of the year kind of gives it away - and one of the others clearly had a lower anomaly than November this year, even though it was warm compared to months immediately before and after it.
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Thanks for that BFTV - I hadn't realised about the time lag.
Certainly a big jump in the temperature anomaly from previous months ... is it just a blip?
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NCDC data just released and it agrees with NASA and JMA, with November 2013 being the warmest November on record, with an anomaly of +0.78C above the 20th century mean.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/
It was the 6th most anomalously warm month on record.
Jan to November is the joint 4th warmest on record.
Ocean surface temperatures were the 3rd highest on record, despite ENSO neutral conditions.
And probably the warmest ENSO-neutral month in the record?
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Funny that when most agree world temperatures are at a standstill.
And on what basis do we/they make such judgements - except based on data sets such as this?
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 16/03/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted
There's a chance of the all-time UK July record being broken today so I don't think it's unreasonable - this time - that the media are focussing on it. It's also been dry and very warm generally across Scotland - your own forecast shows 27C for today, which counts as heatwave conditions!