[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Another good run from ECM 

Hopefully the 00z will be similer ❄

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Really liking the ECM and gfs 6z

For mid month onwards could we be seeing what the met have been banging on about for a while now ❄🌨

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

North of m4 event its looking like 

With accumulated cover Midlands north 🌨❄

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Gfs 12z 🌨❄

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Ukmo 12z bank that 

❄🌨🌨

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Gfs 12z  ❄🌨

Is winter coming 

[Is your email address up to date?]

Yes

 

 

 

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

Cold without snow

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

4 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Would love a perfect scandi for the start of feb and snow from the east let the countdown begin 

Gfs 12z fI

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

7 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Guys just forget about the frontall snowfall that ship looks to have sailed!!we gota he focusing on swirly bands of snow and showers now!!!ukmo look very very cold out to 144 hours and so does gfs!!

Forget about it if you live in location you mean

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Just now, saintkip said:

It’s getting closer 

M4 south 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Just now, Ali1977 said:

T96, the low is much further north

Looks like gfs wants it to hit southern uk

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

We all have a chance ot will be cold enough from monday to friday for ppn to be snow or will be a case of radar watching 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Just now, steveinsussex said:

Wishbone effect, just Scotland and the coasts, always the same...... can never get excited about a northerly

 

Looks increasingly like a chilly few days before warming up, nothing to write home about eh....

Cant remember what year 2008 roughly we had a 4 day artic plunge and there were 3 troughs that sank all the way down from scotland petering out as it reached the south coast overnight 

Ended up with 15 cms 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

2 minutes ago, That ECM said:

He was using it to show track of low on this run.

No he was saying 8 days of dry weather 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

4 minutes ago, IDO said:

The low is further south on this run, so I expect very dry south of Birmingham for the next 8 days:

Snow charts and useless as a chocolate tea pot at 6 days away 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Just now, Day 10 said:

It's not even this weekend yet.

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

This run is completely dry for all of Essex next week. Earlier runs had 15cm in your area

Good job its 7 days away

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

The IMBY comments will increase now that I feel the cold is virtually nailed on for the start of next week by all models 

All we can do now is wait for the warnings to come out in the near future 

🌨❄

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Just now, Metwatch said:

Just a bit of a waste innit

Kent might get a cm

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Now I can I see why Angus deacon 

Bangs on about disruptive snow from midweek is a possibility 

Ukmo 12z 168 ❄🌨

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Gfs 18z yes sir 🌨

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

3 minutes ago, MJB said:

The Gold is the Det run, yes AD did say the Central England is favourite and showed the shaded areas, but the zone of snow could be 50 miles North or South.

And said less likely to go north and less likely to go south into france

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Just now, MJB said:

If people looked at the MET vid with Alex Deakin, it is a possibility but the majority of options went South 

Most of them were Midlands south not south into france

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

Just now, PiscesStar said:

And the one on 22nd looks alright too! 

Mate I'd bank one of them if I could 

Showers or troughs very rarely make it down this far and if  they do either peter out or become weaker