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jules.p
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Posts posted by jules.p
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Thankyou Michael enjoy you retirement you truly are a legend!
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I watch and very rarely comment. This is not a normal pattern for this sector of winter and the pressure being shown is unlikely to sink. My guess is a holding pattern for 10 days followed by a brief introduction of ne air. The models have a tough time dealing with a blip in climatology
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What a spell of weather for most of the region! I have been watching on in envy.
This is by no means a moaning post but would just like some with more understanding than me to explain the lack of precipitation down the middle of the region. At first I thought I was just unlucky I have now realised after hours of radar watching there has to be a reason for it which I can only assume is the wind direction versus the shape of the coast line.
My location is 10 miles south of Norwich between the a11 and a140. I find it really interesting. If anyone could explain the dynamics it would be really appreciated.
Enjoy the snow, it’s what we all wait for!!!
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4 minutes ago, Arrows1986 said:
Thoughts people??? How accurate is this..according to this radar and predicted ppn around 11pm there's a more organised band pushing in..
It will miss south of norwich so I would say it will be smack on
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2 minutes ago, slater said:
Just popped in not been on last couple of hours, gone very quiet on here since... definitely wasn’t the excitement I was expecting like many others. I knew the main band was never going to be impressive in my area, but what has happened to these apparently heavy showers spreading in from the east?
That’s exactly what we are waiting and watching for here. No sign of it yet, Patience is the key word I guess.
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I have not lost hope here in the norwich area ! However it is getting a little frustrating. Me and the kids continue to radar watch whilst looking at pictures from family in Suffolk and Essex fingers crossed we can get a dusting by the morning!
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3 minutes ago, mawkin75 said:
Yeah im in the Norwich area. Very disappointing. Not sure why they have extended the amber warning in Norfolk. There must be something substantial later.
That’s what I am hoping as well, nothing on the radar at the minute that looks good for us. Will keep watching and update if I see or hear anything of interest.
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1 minute ago, Angus Mcoatup said:
I’m in north west Norfolk, no snow here yet today.
Let’s hope something changes later to bring us into it a bit
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Anyone from the norwich area? What do you think our chances are as the day unfolds? Been a massive disappointment so far!
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It’s Really blowing here! Wind is roaring. Temp 1.5 Pressure 996, ground is almost dry after hours of heavy rain fall. All eyes to the radar just now.
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Been following all day and am starting to get stressed! I think it’s slipping south. Going to have to look east tomorrow good luck you guys south and east of me .
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57 minutes ago, dallas said:
How do you dial right into the met office warning areas, ie so you can see the towns
Thanks
Put you post code into the search
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five to six foot drifts the average in south Norfolk in 2018 if we do better than this it will be amazing!
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I think we are on the verge of something special in the E/SE. My girls got the bug from me years ago and have phoned tonite to say they will be over on Sunday for radar watching and hopefully everything else the magic white stuff affords us. I am sure in the next 24 hours we will start to dial in some clarity on the ifs buts and maybe’s.
Just for clarification my girls are under 16 and are within my child care bubble. Crazy times that we have to justify such things.
I hope you all enjoy the chase and hopefully the pot of white gold as well.-
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9 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:
I'll try and get on with that Mick.
I had a Stroke 5 Years ago, and my eyesight still isn't that great.
Regards,
Tom.
It doesn’t mater if you write in capitals, italics or bright red. It’s the contents of what is written that maters. I get the crack I am a neuro specialist nurse,I also have dyslexia. Communication is the key to everything. Sorry, I don’t ever post but had to say that. I love the vibe in this forum winter, spring, summer, and autumn.
On to the weather let’s hope for that southward movement in the next 48hrs so we can all get the lift we need with a little snow.
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Norfolk bums out again!! Need a shift south not just Imby but for the vast majority!
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I think Sunday evenings 18z will give a slightly clearer direction of travel. E/NE is going to be the end result but to what extent is not clear at present.
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I think that blob is going to give Norwich a flake
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We are 10 miles south just spoken to someone 2 miles north and it is snowing! Fingers crossed didn’t see that coming off the North Sea!!
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I have been here for years now and never post. I am sure there is something brewing from the north to north east. SSW is going to filter into the models over the coming 72hours. Happy new year to you all.
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3.2 for me thanks and look forward to the next few months
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All I can say is thank you!!
I have been a lurker for for many years in the mod thread but only once posted.
I am inspired to be involved in this thread of discovery.
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Just starting to really blow hard here 5 miles south of Norwich looks to be some damaging gusts now!! Be safe guys!
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
This post has really resonated with me.I feel like I’m a lifelong follower of this forum over winter months. Unfortunately I have not had the time in my professional life to learn as much as some of you folk on here, but that doesn’t stop me absorbing every post every winter for the last nearly 15 years. Completely agree with you Jan, the buildup to this potential cold spell has felt like an eternity. I only see this as testimony to the increase of knowledge around the complexity of the different drivers and how they interact to influence our weather. Posters like Tamara and Scott, who so eloquently articulate the complexity of this science underline this. I have absolutely loved watching this understanding develop over the years. Thanks for such an amazing forum. I will go back to reading and admiring the talent that exists on this amazing forum.
For what it’s worth from my limited understanding I see some particularly potent drivers coming together to influencing our winter weather this year in a really positive way over the next five weeks.