[Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards]

1 hour ago, mushymanrob said:

Well these charts are consistent, and suggest high pressure building to our South as we enter April. This should dry things out a bit, and, after a possible chillier phase - become pleasantly mild.

Let's hope so snow watch is over let's have some nice dry and pleasant weather.

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Icon 18z further north at 18 hours?!!!!

Already wrong at 3 hrs. Check radar

[Model Output Discussion - Into February]

Been on this forum for 13 years. Models all over the place. Things will fall into place in the next few days. Two stratosphere  warnings will surely (shirley) be playing  mind games with the numerical  models. Anyway the weather will do what it wants to do. Not what the models think it will

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Seems we are stuck in a sweet spot here in North glos. Two inches at least now.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Nice little covering here in newent glos

[Model Output Discussion - Deeper into Autumn]

2 minutes ago, minus10 said:

Not too keen on this as warmer 850s entering via backdoor...

....still, just another variation in the 'blocking' theme...

 

 

 

I wouldn't worry to much it will look completely different on the next run

[Drought Watch]

Well here's my back lawn. We're even suffering here in Gloucestershire. That's with a splash of rain we had last night, not as bad as the se but still struggling. 

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

Hope so currently sat I  garden with me winter coat on

[Model output discussion 9th April onwards]

Don't post much at all, but ecm looks better this morning after 168 With the high pushing in from the west. Something has to change soon I hope.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

Little streamer setting up over my house. Guess what I'm not there.. always the way.

[Model thread discussion - cold spell looming]

After ten years without posting much. Ecm you naughty boy. Great 144 chart for prolonging the cold.

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Does anyone think Ian brown has broke into the ecm servers.???

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

Coming down nicely again here in North glos. Everything going white again.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

About 5 to 6 cm on the glos Hereford border,all fell in 1.5 hrs

[Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

About 5 to 6 cm on the Hereford glos border. All fell in 1.5 hours,its coming your way midlanders

[Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

I'm a bit stuck as to what regional to post in. I'm classed as South West , but feel more like southwest mids. Any way 9.6 here at the moment.

[Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020]

21 minutes ago, Nick F said:

No, the polar vortex still rotates counter-clockwise in the NH, just it doesn't do it over the pole where it normally sits, instead it's displaced equatorward or split into two vortices that head equatorward. A vortex will always spins counter-clockwise in the NH, whether at the surface or strat. The strat reversal is over the polar region - where a stratospheric high develops with a clockwise circulation.

Thanks for replying 

[Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020]

57 minutes ago, ghoneym said:

Watch this video minus 9, very helpful

 

Thanks for reply

[Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020]

Quick question. When you get a strat reversal does that mean the polar vortex starts spinning east to west instead of the usual west to east motion. Sorry if that sound like  stupid question. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/09/2020 Onward]

38 minutes ago, TomW said:

How many meters above sea level are you?

45 m

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/09/2020 Onward]

Snowing lightly here in North glos. Temp 1.3 don't think its gonna be much , but a flakes a flake.

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year]

 Merry Christmas all,been on the forum since 2010. Don't post but love reading all the posts. And toys flying out of the pram. Just got a feeling this next few weeks will be very interesting. Cheers all

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/09/2020 Onward]

Not my pic but snow this morning in cinderford forest of dean.

[Model output discussion - Winter has arrived and the hunt for cold is on]

15 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

After Sundays deep depression, the possibility of another deep low heading to the UK is very high, looking forward too see if the models do indeed show one. 

Shame any polar WNWlies that the models are showing are looking quite weak upper air temperature wise as that kink in the isobars could easily develop into a prolonged spell check of PPN which could of fallen as snow somewhere but not too be, at least at this stage. 

Those PM shots will pack more if punch in January  I can assure you

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/06/2019 Onwards]

Great radar pic showing the low.