Walsall Wood Snow

The sun strength in March would correspond to the same strength it is from around 13th September to 13th October I'd imagine just the other way around. In September it would be the same but heading the other way from around 14th March to 12th April.

Did it ever go below that 27th/28th Nov I wonder?

This Winter was pretty much just the last weekend of November (it's been the only stage thus far we've had a decent covering of snow). There was a slight dusting on the 2nd Dec as well and at that stage I thought we were having a pretty good start to Winter especially as at the time there was fairly high confidence of further cold down the line. Oh well at least we had that, which to be fair was the first decent November snowfall here since 2010. The likes of 2013/14 to 2016/17 as well as 2018/19 and 2019/20 never gave such consolation.

I couldn't tell you but I know this one did. Admittedly it failed to settle here, but a few places further away (and probably a bit higher) had a brief covering I believe.

At 4.6c January 2022 shares the same mean CET with January's: 1738 1775 1801 1878 1926 1927

After having a bit of a quick look it seems it went positive around 1997 and going by previous trends it could go negative again any time from 2027 to 2037, or even later for all I know. It was negative from say 1967 to 1997 and positive before that from say 1927 to 1967. So basically it might go negative again in anything from 5 to 20 years I guess?

When was the last time it flipped then?

I saw you bring this up a few days ago. When can we expect that to happen then, or is it anyone's guess?

I was also hoping that last winter was a teaser Winter. Then again I thought at the time Winter 17/18 was going to be a teaser Winter only for it to be followed by two pretty rubbish ones. So I think I've learned one colder and snowier winter doesn't mean a new trend. I think it goes back to Winter 08/09 which really was a teaser Winter as it was followed by two even colder and more snowy winters (3 if you count 12/13 despite there being one milder winter in between) but it seems that any single colder winter that comes up could just as easily, or even more likely be just a one off. Then again we had 4 mild winters between 12/13 and 17/18 and 2 between 17/18 and 20/21 so maybe we'll only have this one between 20/21 and 22/23 . We can but hope I suppose.

I'll go for 6.0c please.

Does anybody think the recent volcanic eruption in Tonga might have an effect on the atmosphere going forward? It's certainly something that no weather model would have foreseen or accounted for. I'm just wondering going forward it might shake things up a bit. Not sure if it will have any effect on the rest of our winter weather though but maybe it'll cause something to happen that wouldn't have happened if it were not for it?

Definitely some snowflakes in there

Starting to get a little bit of slush forming now. Can it build on that I wonder?

A bit heavier now. Still won't settle though.

It's snowing here now. Fairly light and not settling yet though.

Looks as though it snowed here slightly. Can see a slight sugar coating on my conservatory roof.

At 6.4c, December 2021 shares the same mean CET with December's: 1736 1821 1910 1994

I'll go for 5.5c please.

Are people here seriously suggesting that any hope of a decent spell of winter weather isn't possible for the next couple of months? Surely there's got to be a chance for January to become colder and and more snowy than the mood in here anticipates at present. As for February, it's over a month away so who really knows. We'd have to know how January turned out first at least, which we don't yet. Theres been too much writing off of the next two months based on one failed cold spell. All this negativity will soon dissipate once the next modelled cold spell pops up, which it no doubt will sooner or later, whether it transpires to a real life cold spell or not.

Just had something. Don't know if it was sleet, snow or hail but it left another slushy covering. Getting it all lately.

Had very heavy hail a bit ago which temporarily gave a slushy white covering on the ground including roads. Then a few minutes ago had a flash of lightning and crack of thunder. Pretty wild out there this evening.

Just noticed it's snowing here now too. How long will it last before the milder air sweeps it aside I wonder?

Nice surprise dusting of snow this morning. Are we still expecting some tonight/early tomorrow morning? Heard it'll likely turn to rain after anyway. Either way quite a good start to Winter really with the weekend just gone snowfalls and now this morning.

Wow only 0.1c off being correct this time. Anyway at 7.3c November 2021 shares the same mean CET with Novembers: 1839 1863 1900 1906 1948 1960 2007