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Brum Watcher

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Everything posted by Brum Watcher

  1. Brum Watcher
    GFS Ens are very very poor in terms of reliable time frame. as early as 48 hours the difference is huge. shocking no idea where to go with them. a spike here a spike there a spike everywhere. looks like an earthquake reading more than anything else.
  2. Brum Watcher
    Potential 18z pub run coming i think after T120. The HP is missing? -10's fast approaching from the east....18zzzzz zzzzz zzzzz Edit: Its gotta be a bottom end op on this run, never the less, nice eye candy of a run.
  3. Brum Watcher
    Just had a flick thru the GFS ENS and a lot more trending towards extending the cold. Interesting. The op flys above the mean pretty quick in comparison.
  4. Brum Watcher
    Wow @ the models, there are showing what we wanted to see all winter. All Fi, even then we had not seen what we are seeing in fi now. With some support from ENS and some cross mod agreement, this feels possible. Nice GFS, classic channel low with low uppers cutting into the system. Ecm/ukmo Also nicely poised with similar setup. Edit: Ecm/ukmo not far off I meant.
  5. Brum Watcher
    Heavy snow Birmingham. Car roofs covered and grass dusted.
  6. Brum Watcher
    Ok. night all. U win some u lose some. tonight was a loss...always another day. Goodluck to those staying on.
  7. Brum Watcher
    Is it me or is there a slight chance of that precipitation pepping up again north of birmingham?? it looks as though it might???
  8. Brum Watcher
    What a failure. The predicted snow map of the metoffice showed the area with highest risk of snow at this moment in time is in a hole with no further potential. lol. how shameful!!!
  9. Brum Watcher
    Yes it is now looking real bad for the Mids. Nothing more looking like making it. lol. not even a sugar coating. sadly it was an uncertain event and ended as such.
  10. Brum Watcher
    East Birmingham. and 5 miles west of airport coming down moderately now.
  11. Brum Watcher
    AND I can confirm Snowflakes. no sleet or ice. Birmingham now.
  12. Brum Watcher
    Well I am confident with the BBC/METO @ the moment over the NAE. NAE has juggled and been misplaced all over the place today. Had Met man on local radio to confirm BBC/METO Forecast...Obv snow is not easily forecasted esp in a situ like this. If it doesnt, It doesnt. Good Luck to wherever gobbles it all.
  13. Brum Watcher
    The precipitation has now reached a stage predicted by the metoffice to move SSW. And the last two or three radar runs show this happening. plenty of precipitation towards the NE. Radar looking good. And the intensification has begun. Still light sleet/ice mix in brum at the moment.
  14. Brum Watcher
    Sleet in Birmingham last 20 mins or so.
  15. Brum Watcher
    Reports of Snow derby, Nottingham now. it has begun in the East Mids now....
  16. Brum Watcher
    Where are you?
  17. Brum Watcher
    The more precipitation in East Mids/humber area the more better when it starts moving SW. Perfectly inline with the met update for the mids. Sleet/Snow to spread in from the NE. So IMO the radar is looking good for the Mids/Cen at the moment.
  18. Brum Watcher
    but radar looks excellent
  19. Brum Watcher
    anyone point out the NMM as it stands now?? EDIT; First snow report for the area Bilston, Wolverhampton on the local radio..a good sign.
  20. Brum Watcher
    BBC downgrades midlands hugely. The latesy forecast shows bits touching Birmingham and nothing at all towards the east. with Wales mentioned upto 6 inches widely.
  21. Brum Watcher
    Massive downgrade on the BBC forecast. Snow barely touches birmingham never mind anywhere east sadly.
  22. Brum Watcher
    Is it possible for you to put both of them on here for comparison? or anyone else?
  23. Brum Watcher
    Well at least looking at it the BBC/METO are not using that NAE model for showing tommorrows chart....
  24. Brum Watcher
    Ok. Whats the NAE saying for midnight. That would probably make more sense...
  25. Brum Watcher
    anyone get them NAE charts on here. i aint got clue how to do it myself.
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