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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. Remember the stonking jma runs a week or so ago? I'll say no more
  2. From past experience, the gfs 12z is more reliable than it's 06z sister. I will reserve judgement though until tonight's ecm.
  3. That may be true but the difference on the ground for the UK is immense. Let's be honest - that's all that really counts.
  4. We've got no chance from here. That low to the west of Ireland is a true limpet. Seen it so many times before. I wasn't expecting this to be honest. How cruel this game can be.
  5. We should never trust the gfs 06 op and suite when it goes ultra amplified. It never verifies.
  6. Yep. The ecm is certainly more king when it comes to spotting less cold solutions unfortunately. The writing is on the wall for this winter.
  7. 12z trends looking ominous. The gfs 12z op is looking very ecm op esq to say the least and I don't like the ukmo 144 chart. My optimism is waning again. Is it just going to be one of those winters I wonder? Had many of those in my life time.
  8. I think most on here are waiting for that grand set of 12z runs that always seem to cement a potent cold spell. Will it be today?
  9. Hard to disagree with anything you said there to be honest. We have been burnt so many times this season and for that matter many previous winters too. I still think we will be rewarded very soon though.
  10. Ahem! Let's keep the faith for just a little longer Stamina required!
  11. I know what you are saying but that low is a potential snow machine if it dives down towards the UK. I do feel that winter proper is about to start very soon.
  12. Sorry, I forgot to attach the ens to my last post. I have attached it now.
  13. Indeed. With regards to the ecm debilt ens, just look at that for just 4 days out. A high degree of uncertainty. Minus 7 to plus 8 at ground level - at just t96! Must be some easterlies in there.
  14. I agree. The icon was having none of it with regards to the easterly. Look at what it shows now at only 5 days out. Look at those uppers to our north east. I am a big believer in things balancing themselves out. Coldies have suffered immensely this season so far. I have a feeling things are going to tip the other way quite rapidly now. Fun times in the near future for the coldies.
  15. Incredibly frustrating. Many times I have looked at the Jan 47 archives and wondered how the same thing didn't happen then as the high built north.
  16. What I would give right now for half of what winter 78/79 gave
  17. Yep. I think all those of a cold persuasion should receive a medal for incredible patience this winter. It's been tortuous.
  18. This is a very encouraging sign. The updated fax chart for Tuesday is more amplified in the Atlantic than the previous two charts for the same day. Far sharper with the US low.
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