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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. Don't get me wrong. I've seen a lot worse. I'm sure you will agree. However, not feeling the increase in momentum.
  2. Yep, like you I am looking forward to some nice, crisp dry days - well overdue. Oh! And of course some proper frosty nights.
  3. There is much more potential in this chart than most realise. Look at the kink in the isobars south of Iceland. If a low developed and zipped south east through the UK, it would open the flood gates to the brutal cold lurking just to our north east. Only problem is it's at day 10 so is obviously open to favourable or unfavourable adjustments.
  4. I have a feeling it will be more a case of the grand solar minimum that will be giving the one fingered salute to the vortex.
  5. Well we certainly know ecm still has it's age old problem of over amplification. Yesterday's 192hr chart compared to today's 168hr.
  6. That makes for very grim viewing indeed and ties in with ecm and ukmo seasonals.
  7. This has been the trend through today. It may change on tomorrow's runs but experience tells me otherwise.
  8. High pressure located over or very near to the UK in early December is quite a common feature over the years. Therefore I am expecting the models to be somewhere near the mark in the 8 - 10 day timeframe.
  9. We need to keep grounded for a while yet. This maybe a little sobering but compare the 00z gfs mean at day 10 with the 06z op for the same time.
  10. I remember reading years ago, probably on TWO, that there was a link between cool, wet Novembers in the UK and the following winter being cold. This was especially true with the jet tracking south in November.
  11. I keep wondering why the high pressure cell to the east of Iceland that consecutive gfs and ecm ops were very keen on has suddenly evaporated?
  12. Those dreaded heights building over Iberia. Looks like glossea seasonal!
  13. To be honest, I've seen much worse charts for the end of November. However, I know what you mean. We should be used to that by now though.
  14. This is going to be more of a struggle than I originally thought - if the ecm op is anywhere near the mark.
  15. That's the crucial area. The trend through the day has been a rise in pressure in this vicinity.
  16. As others have just pointed out. This chart is jam packed full of potential. The high to the north east is in perfect position. The lows close to the UK don't phase, pressure is rising in all the right places. Great upgrades today.
  17. Only one run of course but a great CFS December pressure anomaly for cold lovers. Massive positive (off the scale) pressure anomaly over northern Scandinavia. Scandi high for December anybody?
  18. Let's hope the models are onto a new trend. Nice looking charts for the end of November.
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