blizzard81

Just Googled Dan Hutchings weather....... Drew a blank. Feel like I've been played . Joking aside, not good trends today at all it has to be said with regards to something more than a 5 day flirt with winter.

Always North America though. These small changes

He/she could well have been making exactly the same point as you if you think about it.

I totally agree Give people reasons not to pass it to you

We won't! In response to your first line It was when that 'bulge' started to appear wasn't it?

That was always my biggest fear about this particular warming. I think you're right unfortunately. You couldn't make it up could you?

Absolutely. Predictable now and just a given every winter.

24 hours behind the curve. Not for the first time and not the last.

Tell the EC46 this.

Amazing turnaround.

All the models are converging on this now though.

Good point. It certainly coincides with this.

Your post could just be summed up as 'law of sod' unfortunately.

So many questions aren't there? How could there be such a complete 180 degree flip? Especially as it goes against those background signals. I didn't.... 4am I mean

Try April

I find it quite astonishing that within the space of one week we see the complete inverse in synoptics. It's unreal. Talk about polar opposites, if you excuse the pun.

Optimistic.

Ec46 now pushing any cold interest back until the middle of Feb, after next week.

This spell feels like a more cruel version of the end of Nov/early Dec cold snap. Brilliant synoptics but yet again, most lose out on what really matters. I say this even though I was one of the very lucky few who saw 3 separate snow episodes back then. However, I always remained very conscious of the fact that the vast majority didn't see diddly squat. It is also like the early December cold spell of 2022. It's like the white stuff is like gold dust even though synoptic wise, the charts would give the old classics a run for their money. It really is crazy.

It's hard not to laugh isn't it? Either that or cry lol.

We just have to keep hoping that the ukmo is nailing this better than the other models but it is beginning to look increasingly isolated now.

That huge intense pv lobe heading off the eastern seaboard is just looking irresistible now at the end of next week. These US pv lobe bombs seem to happen every year now and it is these that scupper any chance of a meaningful and lasting cold spell in the UK.

Must admit, it does look rather lame in terms of snow plus the models now seem hell bent on the tpv taking a large dose of steroids in a week's time from now.

Absolute brutal cold surging into the US - Again!

Another good ukmo run to follow up it's morning run.