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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    Very wise words mate. I certainly wouldn't rule out the odd surprise but if not then so what? It felt proper bitter out there today and is a welcome change to the miserable, gloomy atlantic muck we have had to endure.
  2. blizzard81
    There's only one silver lining about the model outlook today - It surely gives most on here the chance to have a break and recharge the batteries. At least a few days off. Maybe a week.
  3. blizzard81
    Cmon BA. Hurry up..... I'm cooking buffet food and I'm at risk of burning it awaiting your post
  4. blizzard81
    They've shuffled off to their usual location over southern Europe. Trouble is... Once they locate there, no shuffling will be in evidence - they will stick there like glue!
  5. blizzard81
    It's just got to be said I'm afraid - you just can't possibly sugar coat the output today. It's awful.
  6. blizzard81
    Another fab post there. I really enjoy reading your posts. It also looks like the cfs is singing from the same hymn sheet.
  7. blizzard81
    Let's see if we can eek out some more ridging on the morning runs at T120 and beyond. Tall ask maybe but you never know.
  8. blizzard81
    I always have respect for this model mate.
  9. blizzard81
    You're thinking exactly the same as me. Isn't the icon supposed to be up there though in the 5 day range? I trust it more than the gfs pub run.
  10. blizzard81
    The 18z Icon really does set the cat amongst the pigeons.
  11. blizzard81
    I think we hit rock bottom last night and this morning but we've come a long way since then in the 5 day timeframe. Icon certainly thinks so.
  12. blizzard81
    I noticed that too. Don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing though. It would suggest increased mobility and zonal flow and less amplification which isn't good.
  13. blizzard81
    This isn't your usual cold to mild breakdown in terms of cold 850's getting swept away. Still cold at 168hrs on ukmo and the very cold seemingly going nowhere to our immediate east and north east.
  14. blizzard81
    The models may have over estimated the speed and power of the polar jet and under estimated amplification in our vicinity in a week's time. Fascinating to see the other 12z runs shortly to see if we see more signs of what the icon has just thrown out.
  15. blizzard81
    On the back of that much improved ecm 06z control, this is a massive improvement on the latest run at day 5. Look at that difference compared to the 00z run.
  16. blizzard81
    If (it's a big if) we could get enough amplification/ridging next weekend before the PV bomb traverses the atlantic, it would be natural to assume that this lobe would start to track on a more southerly trajectory and also weaken. Hope springs eternal. Because this is still 6 days away, there is certainly time for favourable upgrades over the next couple of days.
  17. blizzard81
    I feel the next chase brewing already lol
  18. blizzard81
    Much better on the latest ecm 06z control run. The monster lobe that comes off Canada looks more curtailed and there is decent amplification in our vicinity. Compare the new chart to the 00z one. I think this is what Tamara is telling us to look out for.
  19. blizzard81
    It will be interesting to see if the much anticipated 'back loaded' winter still comes to pass now. I haven't lost all hopes but seeing the latest charts for next weekend has certainly caused a dent in them.
  20. blizzard81
    I daren't look at the solar flares . What will be will be lol. Yep, you're right about the back loaded winter with the seasonals. Just don't like that week commencing 29th Jan downgrade on the EC46 today..... Slippery slope potentially. Still hopeful though and a nice bracing cold week ahead for us all - it will actually feel like January for a change
  21. blizzard81
    Might have to go check out the solar flare activity lol. End of Sunday.... Nah! The writing is well and truly on the wall now my friend. I could be wrong of course.
  22. blizzard81
    . I would have been offended if you said anybody else Don Don't be daft!
  23. blizzard81
    You're right. Very underestimated and makes fools of most on here, even the most respected.
  24. blizzard81
    If I was to sum things up after today's offerings by the models - The vast majority of coldies are wanting something more than a dry, frosty week. Mainly because of the uneventful (for most) winter so far, on top of the uneventful winters of the last 10 years plus. That's it in a nutshell.
  25. blizzard81
    Cheshire Freeze will agree. March doesn't cut it for me personally. Would rather have some very early warmth.
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