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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    Because of the ooomph of the cold surge prior to any slider, coupled with the likely angle of this particular attack, I think marginality will be less of an issue this time compared to most previous examples. If the slider happens, it will be snow for most.
  2. blizzard81
    I think too many are hoping for the lovely clean Greenland height rise solution. This looks very unlikely. It's going to be a little messy. The upside to this is that many more of us are likely to see substantial snowfall by the end of January.
  3. blizzard81
    I think too much fuss is being made about the ecm run. The evolution and end result is not too different to the gfs and gfsp - heights rising over the northern scandi region in the latter stages.
  4. blizzard81
    Concerning that yesterday seemed to be firming up on proper cold setting in days 11 to 13 but today we are starting to see this being delayed again. Never a good sign.
  5. blizzard81
    Ha, I think the snow will arrive just in time for Christmas
  6. blizzard81
    Mmmm! Was thinking the same.
  7. blizzard81
    Yep. Just looked at debilt extended and looks promising. Much better than this morning's. Been here before though.
  8. blizzard81
    I for one am very glad about the realistic posts on here tonight. The output is poor.
  9. blizzard81
    Just to sum up the downgrades this past 24 hours.
  10. blizzard81
    It's not the chase for cold. It's the wild goose chase lol
  11. blizzard81
    I agree. It sums up the model output today when some big up that day 6 ukmo chart. The bar is being set lower and lower. We need some Monday morning upgrades.
  12. blizzard81
    The bar is set very low due to the starting point.
  13. blizzard81
    It has been an absolutely dismal winter thus far. Not one flake yet. Feels very late 90's unfortunately.
  14. blizzard81
    You have a problem with people saying it how it is. Those ensembles are mediocre, end of
  15. blizzard81
    Sorry but that mean always hovers around plus 5. Just not good enough by a long stretch.
  16. blizzard81
    Absolute crap gfs para 18z. Sums up this winter. Promised so much but delivers nothing.
  17. blizzard81
    I do hope you are correct. I am in my mid forties and most of the best winters I have experienced came before I reached 20. Apart from 09/10, the winters since Feb 91 have been absolutely dire.
  18. blizzard81
    Not a bad fax chart for the south east contingent. Much better ecm ext ens tonight. Let's hope that trend continues tomorrow.
  19. blizzard81
    Looks to be a downgrade on this morning's 10 day mean.
  20. blizzard81
    Indeed. That's the best thing about this now. The waiting will soon be over - for good or bad!
  21. blizzard81
    Believe me, I haven't given up hope. Just not liking the "medium" term trends. The "longer" term trends look more promising. The problem is, all winter long the longer terms trends have looked very good. They just haven't counted down at all.
  22. blizzard81
    I may well be wrong of course and believe me I hope I am. We just need to bear in mind all the past ssw events that didn't deliver. I remember the late 90's being mentioned a lot a few weeks ago.
  23. blizzard81
    Silly post there Karlos as I was talking about past events. Anyway, we all have our opinions. And that's exactly what I am expressing.
  24. blizzard81
    We see that very same deep polar low steering into scandi every winter which then just infiltrates eastern Europe and dilutes as it goes south. End result? We don't get a sniff!
  25. blizzard81
    I admire your confidence. Just look at those debilt ensembles from this morning. It really doesn't inspire much confidence in anything cold. Everything is just being put further and further back. We have been here so many times before. Just to clarify, a couple of wet snow events will just not cut the mustard after the bore fest we have had to endure this winter.
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