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Posts posted by blizzard81
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WYorksWeather The arctic looks quite a bit colder in 2018 compared to 76.
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Wold Topper The most important thing of all is to question EVERYTHING and don't just swallow everything as gospel.
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Methuselah 1920's and 30's also abysmal for cold winters in the UK.
cheeky_monkey Never a truer word said. Wake up people.
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Wold Topper Indeed. Very sinister goings on right now in the world. More people are waking up to it thankfully.
cheeky_monkey Absolutely spot on
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Wold Topper Well said. God-like complexes, absolutes and arrogance rolled into one. It's like a disease in its own right that has taken over the world unfortunately and not just with regards to this topic. Quite frankly it turns me off.
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Well I have to admit that my predictions for Feb were spectacularly wrong! It's been a peculiar winter in many ways. One of the wettest up here that I can remember. Absolutely abysmal.
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Uncertainty . Nice one mate. That really made me laugh . Yep, ukmo was only going one way after that mini pressure cell develops at T144 to the north east of Iceland. Great locale for that to take place.
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Ali1977 I'm thinking more likely tomorrow morning.
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I must say that I've not really trusted model output over the weekends as much as I do on weekdays. This is mainly because I've seen so many flips at relatively short notice on the Monday morning output - mainly for the worse. Every so often though, albeit very rarely, they are flips for the better and I think this is going to be one of those ocassions
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feb1991blizzard This is why Exeter downgrades are often music to my ears
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Can't believe I'm doing this as I really don't rate this model at all lol. 6 days out though! Every dog has it's day? Plus, mogreps 12z is much improved on its previous runs.
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The ecm op has had a habit of playing catch up when cold is down the line this winter.
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Another thing I'm liking across the models today is that potent atlantic storm seemingly hitting a brick wall, then weakening and if anything, starts to break up or retreat, or both. Ukmo and gfs just as examples.
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chrisnoy Northwest snow and Mcconnor kindly posted the link there. It rolls out from about 1.45pm..... Very slowly lol. No real changes on that latest run.
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Lukesluckybunch Yep. We need to see the models reverting to that build of pressure to our north west at the end of next week. That ship may well have sailed but I've seen full suites back off on something then revert back to showing what they originally showed. We are talking days 5 to 6 here so we do just about have time for favourable backtracks. Of course, 'favourable' backtracks are so rare they are almost extinct lol but you just never know. Even then, if that doesn't transpire, I believe we are still in the game before Feb is out.
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feb1991blizzard Indeed mate. Let's see what the ec 06z control brings up to 144 hours. Due out on meteociel over the next hour or so.
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Lukesluckybunch Oh don't get me wrong Luke - hence the apostrophe's. I certainly don't blame anybody for having enough this winter. It's been draining. I still happen to think February will have a last hurrah though!
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
It's been a truly shocking 5 months. Seemingly none stop rain, wind or both. Heavy rain last night lasting all through today. Awful!