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Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
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Dave Kightley

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Everything posted by Dave Kightley

  1. Dave Kightley
    Interesting end of the week coming up!!! South/ South West have been unlucky this month... Fingers crossed for a Easter weekend Undercut.
  2. Dave Kightley
    What a tease Radar prediction is as much good as the models with it North/South movement. crazy every 5 mins it could be 40 miles difference
  3. Dave Kightley
    Will it knick South Somerset mmmmm
  4. Dave Kightley
    Can't see where Yeovil is???
  5. Dave Kightley
    at least we had snow ... A dusting is better then nothing..
  6. Dave Kightley
    A lot better for the South West
  7. Dave Kightley
    Won't be in a South West flow once it clears south and east.... Whenever that is...
  8. Dave Kightley
    ECM mean at 72h.. Around the same as the Op.. Maybe slightly further south but not by much at all. I lie maybe slightly better.. M4/Bristol would be a good shout on how North it gets.
  9. Dave Kightley
    Id say the ppn limit on the ECM is somerset southwards. Taking the ppn at face value... Im not 100 pr cent exactly....Though if you live in Dorest,South Devon etc you'd be safe on the run. Radar watching will be interesting whatever the outcome.
  10. Dave Kightley
    Ecm is further North with the ppn. Further north still would be better
  11. Dave Kightley
    GEM is also further North like the GFS for snow in the South. The Low pressure moving down from the north next week is the next thing to keep a eye on. If it clears South or South east we will be back in an Easterly again maybe (colder uppers moving back west). The models will take a few days to sort this out.
  12. Dave Kightley
    Great runs for nearly next week esp.. Time of day will depend on snow later in the week i suspect.. It snows in april for e.g. memory 1998/1999 had snow falling rush hour after early rain the South west... Just memory not fact or anything
  13. Dave Kightley
    I think going by Ian post the difference is a few days maybe as he said about snow possible for horse racing. He sounds confident on a colder spell which is fine by me..
  14. Dave Kightley
    Ian on twitter saus Mogreps agree on colder spell but later then Gfs and EC. Timing issue thats all.
  15. Dave Kightley
    Great Ecm tonight...Lets hope the warmer weather is only being saved till Summer...
  16. Dave Kightley
    3.2 to the 25th.. Below average month looking a cert?
  17. Dave Kightley
    Great 18z but when it shows countrywide snow yo know its time to be causious. You would have to favour the ECM atm... Who knows.
  18. Dave Kightley
    192h same low causing ECM problems... or the P.V to our east
  19. Dave Kightley
    Oh i get it now.. GEFS 12z had great support for a warm up because of a low running over the top of the high.. Other words no undercut/ slider..
  20. Dave Kightley
    GEM also interested in blowing up a balloon.. Turns out a low isn't interested in the undercut and runs over the top sinking it.. not nice.
  21. Dave Kightley
    Great runs so far for cold weather but terrible for snow.. Throughout the GFS run is dry and just unlucky. So what we have is possible snow flurries end of the week in the south then high pressure blows up and sinks over us keeping us very cold and frosty then a chunk of the high breaks off on the western side of our balloon and then moves over west Greenland(West-NAO) and the rest sinks away towards Europe and we are back in S.Wly weather again suspect.
  22. Dave Kightley
    Gets to a point where there is just to much blocking... Never win really. UKMO is cold and dry. GFS further North with the high but blows the high up to a red giant. Will never be a snowy run if it doesn't take it to Greenland.. Shyyyy
  23. Dave Kightley
    it seems like we are in for a nice cold spell..Ive seen snow crop up in a short time... i dont believe the models will pick up shower activity very well.
  24. Dave Kightley
    Epic run...Never known 0z to ever repeat it though..Bring on thesnowfest in the south west
  25. Dave Kightley
    Great runs again today... Everything been said so bring on the 00z
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