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Dave Kightley

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Everything posted by Dave Kightley

  1. 240 chart looks exactly like Summersun (Gavin) profile picture or a previous one. He will be happy..
  2. I think it should move south soon as bring patchy Precipitation until atnleast midday tomorrow
  3. I will be looking for a slight west and south movement of the low tomorrow. Must be an unavoidable warm sector within the front or the front gets to far north.. The south west and warm sectors are like best friends normally.. Hoping for a big fall out this week!
  4. Most models are trending south but it seems challenging to keep the South west in an all snow event.. Really annoying
  5. Here's hoping to see a massive south shift for the south west.. Nothing worse then to see snow to rain!
  6. Good chance of getting a below average month on the 1981-2010 scale
  7. Don't expect you want to be in the centre of the low though.. Looks good if your north of it..
  8. Quite liked the 120 UKMO until the 144h chart just see that low our west ruining the chances of getting anything towards Greenland sustained
  9. GFS has Thursdays low further south.. By quite abit actually! UKMO doesn't look great for the end of the week snow wise (Southern wise) but cold air may come in for a time behind it before the next Beast of a low arrives.. No end to this pattern for at least a week Doubt GFS would produce much Snow away from North England though an improvement by at least 50 miles South shift as a guess or more of the Low on Thursday..
  10. That low will be played around with at 162h twice a day for the next 4 or 5 days... Bound to behave in between
  11. Must be like day 5 of this cold spell with days or weeks to go.. Could be a lot worse... Very rare you get the odd mild day.. Some places might not see double digit temps for over a week plus... Amazing!
  12. A lot colder this week though just if temps were a tad lower then Forecast I suspect there would be more snow around
  13. I think ECM has this one but 2bh so much is happening within the out put from placement of the high to depth of the low to precipitation type so forgive it they are all over the place...
  14. Ian Fergusson on Twitter hasn't ruled out the JMA Solution or ECM depending on this low in US or omething along thoughs lines..Finely balanced.. So yes they do take JMA into consideration it seems
  15. The lesser models are showing the same thing whilst the other models are all over the place! Bound to change in the morning in both sets of outputs
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