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Chris.R

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Everything posted by Chris.R

  1. A chance later for some more heavy showers with lightning. Tomorrow looks slightly better in that regard but let's see how today goes. Flow is 170° at 60 kmh veering 220° later
  2. Lightning on the West Pennine Moors recently. Just a bit too far away to hear from here.
  3. Looks like that cell has electrified to my east. Was listening to football though so I didn't hear anything. Going outside in case it does another.
  4. Solar is too strong. If this was January we might have had a chance or "a if it had come afew hours earlier
  5. An air frost last night just ended. WRF predicts a quick rise in temperature before precipitation arrives but you never know.
  6. Small window of opportunity for some heavy showers with possible lightning this afternoon with very cold air aloft.
  7. WRF was looking reasonable for at least some temporary falling snow down to lower levels for a time but that has spectacularly downgraded last minute once again so it's a pile of crap all round. Bring on spring and the storm season.
  8. Definitely a snow chance Friday morning but not being taken in this time until t0. Had enough last minute downgrades.
  9. 0.6°C and pure rain thanks to an inversion aloft. Not too far from freezing rain conditions though.
  10. Sunny all morning here, against the forecast. Another air frost last night, JUST, minimum -0.2°C.
  11. Forgot to say before... 91.2 mm for the month and 182.6 mm for the year here.
  12. Well that was a bit underwhelming, expected more convective action than that. Had an air frost last night, first since 19th of January. Minimum -0.6°C. Big orange ball in the sky now all morning, not sure what that is.
  13. Looks like a storm Christoph type event in terms of rain/snow transition Thursday morning. Not sure how low the snow line will get yet but one to watch.
  14. Looking potentially very interesting end of next week. I haven't been on here much so don't know what peoples thoughts are yet but looking cold and unsettled with significant convective possibilities and several potential snow events. Might not be quite cold enough for snow events will have to see but at least looks interesting from a convective and fun point of view.
  15. Well I made the mistake of reading the Met text forecast this morning for a quick idea of the weather today. It said no rain untill the evening now. thought I might have a nice afternoon visiting Parents in Crosby. I wish I hadn't trusted it.. Sunny when I got there so looking good but then Heavy rain from 2 pm, horrible.
  16. It's really annoying because the latest WRF that came out 4 hours ago shows the warmer surface layer which wasn't there on the previous runs that messed things up today. If it had been there yesterday I would've re-done the forecast with no accumulation below 150 m.
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