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NO LONGER POSTING

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Everything posted by NO LONGER POSTING

  1. Would be crazy to set a new high temperature somewhere around London Monday for it to be lost the next day to areas further North. If that happens gotta be a once in 1000 year event. That said climate change and global warming means the odds of beating it within a 1000 years are 1/1 odds!
  2. Could colder air pushing in be due to showers/storms breaking out to? GFS had something showing on the 06z
  3. Nothing unusual though really. Met have me down for 31 Monday 33 Tuesday. We have already had that here this year. May have been 20 years ago but not in our modern day climate. Glad the 40c plus charts have gone though. While it doesn't phase me, I know lots will struggle with that level of heat I've experienced 39c and 42c 5 days in a row in Egypt and also experienced 35c and 36c here. Not really un common now in the modern climate. Ibiza were we are going week after next is running at 32c flat everyday with no minimum below 25c. I love the heat given my spainish blood so don't really do to bad in it. Heck, on Monday when Heathrow recored 32c we were in the middle of high rises in the beating sun moving 2 tonnes of green waste.
  4. GFS brings in cooler air temps because it wants to break out some heavy rain/thunderstorms associated with the low bringing the heat in and pushing up through the UK and into the North Sea. I guess it maybe skewing a few things and that it will all be very hit and miss if its thunderstorms and not a general rain band wrapped around the south of the low. If it was to happen then places under any rain could be a lot cooler than someone who avoids all the rain with milky clear skies...
  5. Models have done very poor with that rain associated with that cold front. Although I doubt much is actually falling from the sky...
  6. Morning all. Still looking very hot at weekend but the tone down has started as a few of us were saying yesterday. Maxes on the GFS this morning around 36c in the hot spots. Which is still VERY HOT 44c and those crazy charts are going to happen at some point in the next 5 years but we are not there yet I don't think. You are talking about something that has not occurred in the last 100 plus years here maybe even since records began for our part of the world. Its no surprise that we have had one of the driest and hottest periods in my part of the world this summer. Climate change and global warming really starting to make itself present in our lives. Its only going to get worse. Still think we will threaten the hottest temp but going to be very close and will require clear skies with no muck etc.
  7. Toasty... definitely feels like mainland Europe summer this one. I thought 2019 was good but this summer is of the scale. If we could get some tasty thunderstorms early next week that would be the icing on the cake Of to ibiza in less than 2 weeks as well. At least we have AC in the villa
  8. Think you will find even us heat lovers in the south want something to fall from the sky so a suggestion of a zonal spell with rain is music to our ears. Surprised by 06z GFS well I shouldn't be. I thought it was going to run down the fast pump route with less hot temperatures but it cant seem to make its mind up. Still a long way of and a lot of runs to get through before we firm up details however it does look likely that temperature records are going to fall. Crazy the North South spilt this year with regards to climate.
  9. Nice cloud formation here yesterday I for one am a heat lover, however I'm not a fan of middle East weather in our climate. No thanks
  10. GFS flips back... hmmmm Watch ECM later go the GFS 00Z route Would still be funny if it didn't happen at all and as others mentioned would be a massive fail by models
  11. There or there abouts is where I see this going. Unless the GFS flips back to the hotter solution over the next few days usually its pretty good at picking up the pattern before others. Although it equally can flip back. I'm banking on a push east of the main heat. We don't need it or want it here in the south. We need rain in any form!! Thunderstorms showers frontal whatever just give us some rain
  12. Good, like many in the south east. Its not rained in 2-3 months here and wild fires are breaking out. There was a large one last week that nearly threatened our nursery! To close for comfort I was wondering how long it would be before we see a push east of the main heat. The 40c plus charts were in my opinion over the top. Yes I do still think 40c will happen in the south half of the UK within the next 5 years but I don't think we are there yet. The setup needs to be near perfect and while we do have dry ground building heat the southerly drawn flow, to draw up the really hot uppers is something that usually gets pushed east the closer we get more clipping the south east far corner. Usually once the GFS picks up on the solution it will run with it, if after Tuesday it brings them back then there would be a cause for concern. Still likely 35-38c could be recorded.
  13. Big wild fire towards A322 Bagshot way Apparently it's been burning since last night but I didn't notice it this morning when I came to yard. Unless it's seriously spreading now Called fire service apparently they are aware.. to close for comfort for me!
  14. Well the first batch of rain went through here.. less than 1mm recorded didn't even wet the ground Hoping to catch one of those heavier bursts out west but short and sharp rain is not what we need. We really need a day or 2 of persistent rain to have any effect
  15. If I had £100 for everytime the doomers posted wet and washout charts that didn't verify at 7-10 days away I would be rolling init. This is how dry its been here for us, this bamboo was lush last year. Now its nearly dead. There are smaller trees under larger that are now dieing due to lack of water. Never seen anything like it
  16. Not bad last night bit to far west they actually developed over me and the skies were wicked followed by very heavy rain Saw lots of distance flashes and also heard thunder which was a surprise Next week looks superb We seem to be in a rinse and reapet pattern a few days blip and back to warm again The washout weekends vanish and get replaced with some form of breakdown then a re build of Heat. It's not really a surprise given how warm mainland Europe is
  17. Phewwww! Another hot one here in west London! Very very humid now though Sorta move and the sweat begins Weather station seems to be back up and running properly 26.6c here now! If we keep up the sun then we are easily going to get yo 30c before lunch
  18. 17c here at 5am inside temperature... 25c in my house! I've left the back door open to house to try get some cool air in
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