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19jacobob93

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Posts posted by 19jacobob93

  1. How's this? My Grandma was moving house so I chose her one at 330m 'because it had nice views', and indeed it does, but what I didn't tell her was that my idea of nice views are 5 foot snow drifts! And that's exactly what we got last December! :p

    And on most of those nights I was out sledging through a coniferous forrest which looked like Narnia, secretly having the time of my life!

  2. Thanks for all your replies :)

    The snowline here yesterday was 160m, and it was literally like someone had drawn it on it was that sharp! I live at around 330m so we did rather well most of last week! Theres a hill I can see from my back garden which tops out at 320m, and earlier in the week there was about an inch at the top and about 30m below was completely green!

  3. comes up every year this, main weakness for snow here is my onionsty elevation, but I have known snow here (103m asl) and just rain in town (80m asl)

    200m generally classed as high ground, most areas especially the north will see snow next week above 200m, more at 250m and snowfest at 300m

    I was looking for a previous one but couldn't find one so started one! :p

    The BBC class high ground as over 150m which I think is usually the point where sleet turns to snow!

    You can see a hill which tops out at 180m which is always white when there's just sleet in Brighouse

  4. It's always fascinated me seeing a white, snow covered field, and then the field a few metres below completely green!

    I know it varies with conditions, but what would you say the approx snow line is?

    I've done a bit of research for my area:

    When there's wet snow in Brighouse (90m asl) I've found that it starts to settle just up the road at about 150m asl, and when there's sleet in Brighouse, snow settles at about 240m asl

  5. I expect widespread snow in parts of Scotland above 200-300m on Wednesday, especially evening, with Aberdeen getting possibly hit (or at least the outskirts).

    On Wednesday, the uppers are conductive above 350-450m basically, about 450-550m in the morning, so you could catch some wintriness.

    And so I did! We had a really heavy sleet shower with a temperature of 2°C at 7:30 this morning!

  6. Are those figures for your area? Where I live, November wasn't that good compared to a lot of other places as we only got 1-2 inches of snow sad.png However, the thing I remember most is that it didn't stop snowing for about a week! The snow was only v. light though but it was cool having it snow everywhere I went blum.gif

    Yeah, the problem with last year was although I had loads of snow on the ground at Christmas, it was all old snow and melted a couple of days later sad.png

    Yep that's data I collected myself :) And the last few days of November weren't that bad here, I think we had a few inches of uneven drifted snow, but the real stuff came on the 1st of December! Around 10 inches of snow fell in 9 hours and at one point 3 inches fell within an hour!

    And yep, the snow started melting on Boxing day but it still stuck around for another week or so. That was it for snow then until the 19th of February! Very bland after Christmas!

  7. It doesn't say that at all! It's cold weather for Nov. and Dec. The mild is said to be January, but with the caution that confidence is low at that time period. Chin up!

    Surprisingly, even though we had a lot of snow last year, 17th December (12" where I live, something that wasn't predicted by any major weather..people), my favourite winter of my short life was January 2010, because even though the snow was less, it seemed to last longer, around 2 weeks if I remember correctly. That season also brought a couple of inches in December aswell.

    I hope we get some Nov. - February cold/snow as my Dad keeps going on about 63, boasting almost and I feel a little sad sad.png haa

    Like I said, it contradicts itself a bit but it's still early stages! :)

    And I preferred 2009/2010 as well even though last year was much more severe!

    2009/2010:

    Days of lying snow = 37

    Lowest maximum = -3°C

    Lowest minimum = -12°C

    Deepest snow = 1' (4' drifts)

    2010/2011:

    Days of lying snow = 34 (22 consecutive)

    Lowest maximum = -8°C!

    Lowest minimum = -15°C

    Deepest snow = 15" (6' drifts!)

    Note: The temperature never rose above freezing point between 26th November and 9th December, that's 2 weeks!

    I think 2009/2010 was more charming because it started snowing a week prior to Christmas, adding to the festivity, and it carried on snowing for a few weeks after, which dragged out that Christmassy feel! :)

    2010/2011 ran out of steam before Christmas!

  8. I tend to believe winter never truly gets going until around christmas, with Jan and Feb the proper winter months and quite often March in the north packs a greater punch than Dec. However, the last three years have seen wintry weather set in much earlier than on average with December seeing notable cold snowy weather.

    March has been very dissapointing for snow and cold and November in recent years has packed a bigger punch than March.

    On a personal note the optimum time for a cold snowy spell to set in is around the middle of december lasting through to the New Year - for this reason 2009/2010 was wonderful with the cold never really waning until well into March - it was a great winter far superior to last year, which stopped dead in its tracks after the second week of Jan.

    I always think of snow occuring in Nov and the first half of december as a bonus, I can remember many many a year when all we had during this period was rain and wind, years like 1997, 2006, 2007 spring to mind.

    In these past few years I've noticed a complete shift in the seasons, with all 4 seasons coming 2-3 months earlier than in previous years. The only exception being the warm spell we had a few weeks ago. My personal opinion is that it's caused by a shift in pressure patterns due to low solar activity but I could be wrong!

  9. you kidding?! mentioning northern blocking for 2 consecutive months is enough for me like, you can't get the temperatures right at this stage.

    Well if the northern blocking occurs then fantastic! But if their predicted temperatures were to occur it would be a bit dreary! I think the forecast is a bit contradictory because the the maps show temperatures around or just below average for November and December yet the description forecasts northern blocking in both months, and we know that would cause temperatures well below average for the month overall as we've seen in previous years.

    Like you say, it's still early days and things should start to become clear as we move closer :)

  10. _55916474_cetandopen624.jpg

    Here's one from a BBC article, it's not as detailed, nor is it as clear as the other one but it should do for now!

    The lag time is only really visible in more previous years in this one. There's obviously some huge anomalies in there, but keep in mind that low solar activity mainly effects winter temperatures due to the positioning of the jet stream.

  11. I'm ruling nothing in or out and will bear what you say in mind. There's so much conflicting information out there; which source does the 2-3 year lag come from?

    Yep you're right, I don't know who to trust either so I'm not really bothered what any sources say!

    As for the 2-3 year lag time, my evidence comes from comparisons between CET and SS numbers which I think the comparisons were dated back to the 18th century. Obviously CET only covers a relatively small area but it still gives us a good idea of how it effects our neck of the woods! I'll try find it so bear with me! :)

  12. Yes compared to other cycles, but solar activity this year is high compared to the last 3-4 years, so it will be fascinating to see - after the event - if the relationship does hold on an annual - rather than 11/22 year cycle - basis. I'm neither a snow-lover (awaits incoming missiles) or a mild-ramper; I just want to see if the theory plays out!

    Bare in mind that low solar activity usually has a 2-3 year lag effect. No matter how high solar activity picks up in the next few months, I definitely wouldn't rule out the possibility of a cold winter caused by the effects of low solar activity, and I wouldn't be surprised if we got another cold winter next year!

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