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Midlands Ice Age

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Midlands Ice Age last won the day on May 2 2016

Midlands Ice Age had the most liked content!

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .
  • Interests
    Golf and weather.

    Veteran who can just remember the winter of 1947 as well as 1963.
  • Weather Preferences
    Sun, Snow and Storms

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  1. Midlands Ice Age

    2019 Arctic Sea Ice Maximum Poll

    I'm in!! MIA
  2. Midlands Ice Age

    2019 Arctic Sea Ice Maximum Poll

    Seems like there is also a strong chance that no one will have guessed correctly this year. ie a finish value above 14.5 K Km2. Or is it non PC to be optimistic? MIA
  3. Midlands Ice Age

    2019 Arctic Sea Ice Maximum Poll

    BFTV...…. Suddenly looking positive again.. It has moved up to 9th lowest now (for the date) and is above the 2010's average and is approaching the average for the 2000's being also above those of 2005, 2011 and 2006, and also closing in on 2007 and 2010.. Thanks to the ASIF for the above charts. Also of note is the sudden reversal in the ENSO SST data in the week following the NASAA(NCDC) announcement that the El Nino is now official up to the 7th of February. Think they can show us a thing or two in Just in Time analysis! MIA
  4. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    Low of -6.2C here overnight.. Currently at a chilly -3.3C with variable cloud. (09:00) Variable cloud and rain expected later. MIA
  5. TI.. Thanks for a good post... I understood it 100% and I agree with it. I am sure I agree with most of your posts, but I am never certain. Keep it up.😁 MIA
  6. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    BC.. Not so sure about that. Things can change in 2 or 3 days very quickly. Lows are still forecast to move into S Europe over the next few days. Which is positive. The problem is the power of the jet which is due to set up from midweek onwards, coming straight over us. Its the dam vey cold air coming out from the US. I suspect there will be other chances in the next few weeks. We will see. Blocking has set up, but not in the right place for us (yet) MIA
  7. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    Syed Yep, a big disappointment around this area, (Bham), as we also missed the snow showers moving in from the North East, yesterday. I managed 1 cm on wed (when the front came in from the WNW, and this was still around on Friday, but Thursday was very disappointing. Apparently the snow got as far as Redditch, but then turned turtle. It was incredible that it hung around for so long just south of here. 75 miles further North and we would have had 20cms. I really thought that we had a good chance, but never mind, next time!! I'll certainly be back next time for the chase. MIA
  8. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    More good news ... On the latest radar precipitation is developing in the North Sea (off East Anglia) and just off the Thames Est. It seems to be joining up with the French moisture. This might just inject more moisture for us! It is what I was hoping would happen. Fingers crossed. MIA
  9. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    As I suggested a couple of hours ago, the new low moving very slowly up the Channel has thrown upper level moisture up from the south towards us. As Weirpg has just demonstrated when this hits the very cold upper air over the central Midlands it is readily producing light snow. Turn to the Netweather radar and watch it develop 'insitu'. Also, note/watch the snow develop to the East of London.(Worthing is just reporting snow as well). The snow in the Midlands is extending/developing from Worcester eastwards and northwards just north of Oxford, and recently has spread down towards Milton Keynes. Light at the moment, but could pep up. This will end up moving this way if the low develops further. UKMO did say yesterday that multiple small lows could develop along the front. There could be others. Although Liam Dutton dissed it, I think it is a real possibility that it could help us. Just noticed he has retracted his previous statement!!! With snow all sorts of things can crop up! I did notice a very flakes half an hour ago here. The chances are increasing for a lightish fall here tonight.(couple of centimeters, but possibly more,if further moisture is pushed up from France). Keep the faith in the Central Mids. We could yet see ICON was correct. Temps have fallen further here to 0.2C,and the dew point is still -1.7C. Any snow will settle readily. MIA
  10. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    Snow A... Its already moved up past Bristol, and its now on its way to Gloucester. It seems to be pepping up in the south of England as the newly formed low in the Channel moves East. It depends how quickly it moves and whether it is developed enough to push the warmer air in front of it Northwards. MIA Edit.... Temp now falling here. Max temp reached was +1.6C now down to +0.4C with dew points falling steadily now at -2.2C. Snow grains have just fallen here, nothing of note, but it does show moisture is developing.
  11. 4.2C and 55mms please MIA
  12. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    Relax guys.. The precipitation has only just reached Devon. It currently sits from Bridgewater to about Weymouth and is moving NNE. It has started off as rain, but has rapidly turned to snow and more and more snow is being reported down in the SW thread. The rain/snow is still strong and a clearance has now moved into SW Cornwall. Snow is reported on the beaches of North Cornwall. They are reporting what look to be a secondary low forming south of Plymouth. If this moves up the Channel it could be better for us. Trust in the ICON, Its latest move is a slight northward shift. Snow here between 9:00 and 10:00 tonight. If the low forms this could be quite good and if you look at the precipitation (snow) down in Northern France which is moving east., it could start to move North for later. MIA
  13. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    BBC have just stated that further snow showers COULD occur tomorrow morning as the wind will use the North Sea even though the front is decaying. Lets see . Ithink it is positive that ICON still gives some snow for most. The 10:00 output could be the one to watch. (Remember my post on the 10th Dec 2017 event?).It was the only model to get it correct. I personally think it is positive that it is coming in quicker, but we will see. MIA
  14. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    Worth mentioning that my low was -7.3C (coldest for this year so far). Currently at -6.3C,but a beaufuiful white scenario, What will later bring? Still I am hopeful here, but we will see. Good luck to everyone. MIA
  15. Midlands Ice Age

    Midlands Regional Discussion

    DWW.. Nice to see you are still positive. I would like to back you up on this posting. I would, even more so, go back to 10th Dec 2017. It is more relevant as it involved that great slider for us (15cms in and around S Bham - country sweet spot) whereby a slider was involved. Models where equally undecided about the track for 3 - 5 days before hand, but ICON stuck to more of a central path.(varying by 100 miles North and South as a max). Come the high resolution models (48hrs) and they were varying around the South coast to the North Mids. The generalised models all plunged southwards, but ICON hung on to the south Mids.. I expected hardly anything here on the morning (Sunday, I think), but got up early to watch the Test Match. Just in time for the snow to start. It rapidly gained in intensity and we had snow for 24 hrs. Further north (Keele) had only a dusting. Further south Bristol had rain. Now it is not quite the same situation but similar, and ICON has been the most 'stable'. The high res (inside 48hrs) are in general showing more snow for us, than the generalised models(which are all plunging south!).ECM is the best for our area, One never knows,and I think the models do not either. Time will tell what happens tomorrow. I have still not lost all hope. It will come down to a 'lamp post' and 6hour situation forecasting job. A small strengthening of the low will drive it on a more North east path, a slight disturbance in front of the main low (shown on some runs) will cause the front to pivot over us.. MIA🤔
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