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Midlands Ice Age

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Midlands Ice Age last won the day on May 2 2016

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  • Gender
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    Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .
  • Interests
    Golf and weather.

    Veteran who can just remember the winter of 1947 as well as 1963.
  • Weather Preferences
    Sun, Snow and Storms

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  1. US nic out early today.... Snow cover made more smallish gains, with Switzerland now covered as well as the aforementioned snowfalls around Tehran. Ice situation... Kara increased today after the large drop of yesterday. General moderate increases in most sea areas apart from Barents and Greenland which are still seeing the effect of the southerly winds. MIA
  2. Welcome Celt... I do not seem to be able to link to the above.. Try and just display it as a link instead. Anyone else have the same problem? First posting on this thread … I am thrilled for you. I hope that you continue and it gives you much interest.! Your post I am sure is interesting, I am just a bit worried as to how these bacteria on the sea floor get into the atmosphere. For at least a third of the year (maybe more) they are cut off by the ice? I spent some time a while ago looking at chemistry/biochemistry research into the various forms of sea life on the ocean floor up there. It was very interesting as they claim that from the layers they found on the floor and from that the different type of biogenetics there that they could tell eg that the Arctic had suffered periods of clockwise and also anticlockwise ocean movements lasting about 10,000 years. This was from the fact that sediment was different depending upon whether the ice layers were thick or thin. It gave a pretty good 'proxy' for the past climate of the Arctic. I am sure that this sort of research will help our understanding of the Arctic climate. MIA.
  3. Maisie Report Another modest increase (this time of 55K Km2) has been recorded, mainly by virtue of a Kara(-41K) drop. This was part of a push back in the Atlantic front, which also saw drops of Barents(-2K) , Greenland(-2K) and Central (around Svalbard) which dropped by -7K, caused by the switch to westerly winds.. Elsewhere the Pacific front was steadily being dispatched back to where it belongs with Beaufort(+6K) and Chukchi(+27K), and even the ESS joined in today with (+13K), Baffin added another (+13K), and Hudson Bay 'burst through' with (+38K). All the western coast is now iced over in Hudson and it looks like it will maintain a high rate of freeze now. The minor areas all made steady gains with Baring(+5K), Baltic(+2K) and SOO(+2K). With regard to Hudson this is the 3rd consecutive year that the refreeze has started earlier than the seasonal norms (though not as early as last year), and is exemplified by all the polar bears moving back onto the ice. Apparently there is a 'bear count' of these animals, held in Churchill, and the locals use this to determine the start of winter (when the mother bears take their cubs onto the ice). Also, in N America the refreeze has started early in the Great Lakes, with the northern lakes of Lake Superior, Lake Michigan and Lake Huron all icing on the northern shores. Temperatures are forecast to remain low all week here - so it likely that the ice will continue to grow. A weather forecasting service in the USA has just reported that everyone of the North American continent's states (except Florida) now has warmings of ice or snow. Apparently the earliest that this has ever happened. So as KW has been reporting, the cold in N America is (in addition to be becoming some of the coldest ever recorded), is now extending its grip to cover the whole continent. MIA
  4. US nic today... Snow increases generally, with losses in France, but snow showing now on the Atlas in North Africa. Alaska is now finally snow covered, in the last 2 days. Sea ice looks a repeat of yesterday with a large drop in Kara, driven by the new minor low formation over the top of it, however there were general though smaller gains everywhere else, as the ice front is driven towards Being. News from the Mosaic project is that they are in a fierce storm with temps of -6 to -8C and 50Kmoh westerly winds, which is driving them rapidly eastwards. This is the wrong direction for them as they hoped to be able to measure conditions in the Fram strait. In addition, apparently, the ice has become very unstable with much movement and large cracks( leads) endangering the major ice flow that they are using for their multiple experiments.. It must be tough up there at the moment, for the young scientists on board. The Arctic can be a very dangerous place, with ice movement and gale force winds and drifting snow. MIA
  5. Todays Masie Report.. Gain of a moderate 52k KM2 in total. As suggested Beaufort(+11K) and Chukchi(+26K) were the main gainers as the ice was pushed towards the Bering Sea by the newly formed depression. Losses of -27K Km2 in Kara as a further small depression formed directly over NZ and pushed the ice back north, and ESS(-10K KM2). Gains in Barents(+27K),Greenland(+5K) and Hudson(+21K) made up the remainder of today's gain. In the perimeter sea areas the SOO doubled to 8K (+4K). Interesting to see where we move from here. MIA
  6. Todays US nic for snow and ice . Snow not much change hemispheric ally, but on a local basis France and Spain or showing quite large increases today, Also that Alaska has 'filled in' again. There are large changes in the ice redistribution. Basically all the 'eastern' areas have dropped (Kara, ESS) whilst the 'western' ones are continuing to increase. This change has been brought about by a low pressure having developed right between the pole and Greenland. forcing westerly winds into the Russian Coasts - This is a total change from the last month or so, and it also explains why the central Arctic has warmed. Is this the start of Vortex formation? or will it be crushed. Back later with the ice figures, to see the impact on the ice. MIA
  7. As promised earlier I would like to show the current status of the various areas in terms of their total possible ice extent. Area Approx.Max Extent Current Extent Comments K Km2 K KM2 Beaufort 1069 1048 Full Chukchi 966 329 Currently Freezing ESS 1087 1069 Full Laptev 897 897 Full Kara 933 831 Rapidly Filling Barents 507+ 231 Filling Greenland 608+ 487 Filling Baffin 1385+ 293 Currently Freezing CAA 852 849 Full Hudson 1257 127 Just starting refreeze Central 3245 3228 Full Bering 889 14 Just starting refreeze Baltic 200+ 4 Just starting refreeze SOO 877+ 5 Just starting refreeze + indicates an estimated realistic maximum as they are actually larger. Other areas not presented Yellow Sea, and Cooke Inlet Hope you find the above useful in terms of the current and future of the 2019 refreeze. More info from Masie - Current extent 9,400K Km2 Approx left to refreeze 4,600K Km2 (from above) MIA
  8. At least it confirms the Rutgers snow map. The west coast of the USA has escaped the vicious cold now enveloping the rest of the continent. The snow chart above I have just posted confirms it. Just checked the forecast for Anchorage and it is due to start snowing in the next hour! Also just checked the weather (and forecast) for Barrow... and it looks as if it is only temporarily milder in Alaska. Its currently a very mild -7C. Its going down to -20 to -30C for mid next week with a brisk N east wind. I suspect that the ice will be there by next week. I guess that will cool the temps down in Alaska …. not sure about the snowfall. MIA
  9. Just to say that yesterday saw my temp drop to 3.0C as the rain ceased. So did not quite manage a flake. I recorded 27.8mms in this event. MIA
  10. Hi Catacol. The data is provided in the link in my original post - https://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/files/moncov.nhland.txt The up to date graphic is as follows However, I have looked into the data and provide the following info going back to the earliest date of 1966 - 1976 Oct 25.72K Km2 Nov 34.64K 2002 23.34K Km2 Nov 35.60K 2014 22.87K Km2 Nov 36.56K 2016 22.95K Km2 Nov 36,92K 2019 22.24KKm2 Nov From the above it can be seen a decreasing trend since 1976 in the highest Oct snow figures, but an increasing trend in the Nov series for those same years. This Nov will be interesting?. I have also provided the annual anomaly graph for reference - MIA
  11. Masie today has just posted an average increase of just 55K Km2. It is lower due to a very large 'suggested' drop in the ESS(-32K) - which I personally cannot see! However as 'called' earlier there were large gains in Chukchi(+51K) and Beaufort(+11K), Chukchi in particular (If weather conditions remain the same) could undergo a partial flash freeze. There is little left to freeze in Beaufort now. Arthur - it looks as if Chukchi is ready to freeze now without any lower temperatures, although it may help the Bering Straits to freeze more quickly. Elsewhere Kara(+22K) is filling its hole in front of NZ, and Greenland(+4K) and Baffin(+9K), continued with their in situ freezing. Barents as suggested above dropped -11K, but Hudson showed a gain of +4K. No changes in the smaller sea areas. If I have time later, I will do a summary of the status of all sea areas at this point.. MIA
  12. Can I just post a Met Office chart of the CET since 1910 to counter balance some of the recent postings. When (if) this chart starts to show a downward trend then I will begin to look in more detail at what the data is telling us. The last 2 months of weather need to progress to next spring at least before we should start to believe that this is a purely natural phenominum. My mind is still open as to what could be causing these changes. The MO chart shows a natural variation in CET temperatures (I feel it is representative of the global climate), but with a slow upward trend. It needs to turn downwards before anyone can accept that changes are occurring. It is an actual temperature graph of the 'mean' CET, rather than an anomaly. Meanwhile can we now get back to simply reporting the data MIA
  13. Morning all... Just noticed a big increase in snow over the French Alps and Spain this morning.. Also that the snow line has now reached the Pacific. So the whole mass has moved Eastward. US nic this morning - thanks to Katrine for posting the graphic.... A general increase in ice cover with only Barents looking to lose out, Southern Kara is rapidly filling in, but Northern Kara was reduced somewhat by the movement of the polar ice cap slightly north. Large increases in both Beaufort(if not already full!) and Chukchi again, despite the warm temperatures shown there. This morning we have some information from the Mosaic project... It seems that they were buffeted a storm for 3 -4 days from around the 10th of November and hence communication was negligible. A very latest report has shown that the temperature in the area has increased to round -14C this week. So an increase of around 7 -10 degrees has occurred. Back later with more data. MIA
  14. Thanks for the above Liltbrockie(?) How did you count the pixels? As for the 'tipoff' from KW.. At least it is now being looked at and researched. Is it coincidence that the hole and the open ocean are coincident(!) …. However - they have not yet picked up that 'atop' of all that is the very high levels of ozone. I will check the current Ozone levels out again later. I now come back to my reporting on the Masie figures. Once again I under estimated the growth!!! I must give up guessing. Yet another century increase of +117K Km2. Double the seasonal average value. As applicable to the discussion above - guess where the large increases are? Yep...you guessed it. No less than Beaufort(+54K) and Chukchi(+23K). That is well over halve the rise recorded. What did I say about the sst's having a chance to cool down? I really do think that the stratospheric anomaly in ozone is having some effect on the surface readings coming from the area. It does seem to me that the alleged slow down in the ice refreeze may be incorrectly based. Closer examination of Masie in Chukchi shows large amounts of scattered ice. This is a signal for a quicker refreeze coming up - not slower. Elsewhere, large gains in Kara(+22K), Baffin(+11K) and Hudson(+19K) - all expected. Small losses in Bering(-3K, I thought the loss would be classed as ESS), and a larger loss in Barents(-9K) - again expected. This latter may be more significant as the ice front was pushed slightly north around Svalbard. MIA
  15. Temp drop underway.. Now at 3.9C (DP 3.8C) down from 5.5C an hour ago. Rain has been moderate to heavy for the last hour. Now up to 18,0 mms since it started. I note that snowyowl9 is still reporting rainfall with the temperature dropping from 3.6c to 3.3C on the Wales thread. Where is the colder air coming from? Evaporative Cooling - but it is still quite breezy. Perhaps a few flakes - but probably not.. MIA
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