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A Winter's Tale

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Posts posted by A Winter's Tale

  1. Just light cold rain here but nice to see some mid-Spring wintry ness in places. It's coming to the time of year where I'd rather be looking out for some pleasant, warm weather as we get nearer to Summer but we're only half-way through Spring so no complaints about some late cold, fresh and hopefully clear and bright conditions. Some very cold uppers over the country aswell and under clear skies there could quite a widespread frost.

  2. 2 minutes ago, Bullseye said:

    Anything heading towards this way? We did fairly well last week with suprise snow, this week looks more widespread. BBC/STV news has central belt under band of snow around 9pm onwards. All the best for tonight. Sorry to hear about your mum Catch.

    It looks like the front is further north and east than expected so I think we've missed out but parts of the Borders, Lothians and Fife might do well. I'm hoping we get something out of the snow showers tomorrow but I think it's going to be a struggle to get a meaningful snow event for most but at least we've got some cold, winter air in place. 

     

     

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  3. Another dull day with some damp conditions as the unsettled theme of the padt couple of months has continued into 2016. Since the 22nd October, there has only been about 4 days without rain. And it's been so dull I can barely remember last time we had clear sky let alone sunshine.

    At least things are looking more seasonable temperature wise but we might have to endure further rainfall and possible flooding before possible drier and colder conditions might emerge next week and beyond but the details are very sketchy - a cold snap with the possibility of reloads and potentially snowy frontal breakdowns could be the case toward mid month but equally we could see a cold snap then a return to mild and wet or perhaps a more prolonged period of cold. 

    The flooding in Scotland over the past couple of weeks has been shocking. Before Storm Frank there had been flooding in the Borders and locally in some other parts of the country, but recently it's been as bad as I've ever seen in this country with numerous rivers breaking their banks all across Scotland, and the severity of the flooding, especially in the NE.

    The images and videos from Royal Deeside showing historic castles on the brink and roads washed away has shown the true power of water in eroding the river bank. It seems Aboyne has already recorded one of its wettest Januarys on record after just a few days.

     

     

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  4. Very mild with a high of 14c and a low of 12c. It really has been a dire couple of months of weather with so little sunshine or cold. In fact other than the first four months of 2015 which were quite decent - especially the second half of January - but May and throughout the summer was generally so wet, dull and cool. September, early October was quite decent with a light of dry conditions and some warmth. 

    It looks like there could be a change in weather conditions/pattern around Christmas (which seems to happen every year) so at least it looks like it'll be quite seasonable around the festive period with the possibility of some wintry precipitation at times with a bit of luck. We seem to be heading into a period of transition between different patterns if weather so there could be a variety of weather types on the cards post Christmas. We could have anti-cyclonic conditions, gales, more rain, polar maritime air, northerly toppler or more mild temperatures as we evolve towards another set-up. At least it looks like the unseasonable and gloomy period weather associated with high pressure over Europe is about to cease. What replaces it is up in the air, but at least things are likely to cool down nearer to average and opportunities for snow and traditional winter weather should improve from now in in - especially in the New Year.

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  5. 13 minutes ago, Medlock Vale said:

    I'm certainly not denying that Scotland on the whole is snowier especially on high ground - that is obvious you have higher mountains. I just wanted to point out some meteorological reasons where England does better - with an easterly. And that there are exceptions to Scotland's colder and snowier reputation. Like, for example, I singled out Glasgow and other low land places in Scotland which don't tend to get much in most situations. In fact I think Newcastle in England is a snowier city than Glasgow for example. Yet Newcastle is not high ground at all. Newcastle does quite well for easterly's, but better still places just a few miles more inland. And to some extent Newcastle can get some decent snow from Northerly's too. Would Scotland do just as good with smaller hills/mountains? No way. The seas/gulf stream around the UK moderate the weather a great deal no matter how far North you are. I think without the mountainous terrain Scotland wouldn't do half as good as it does. I think the reality is most towns & cities of Scotland have not seen lying snow in the past few days. For how far North all the UK is we really should do much better for cold and snow than we do given everywhere from Cornwall to Shetland is closer to the North Pole than the Equator.

     

    3 hours ago, Medlock Vale said:

    Scotland tends to get more PM/Northerly incursions but they rarely bring extreme temps nor is the snow long lasting on low ground with the exception of December 1995, there's also parts of Scotland that don't do well for snow at all like Glasgow and some other lowland areas. England tends to do better than Scotland with Siberian Continental air from the east and snow tends to settle at all levels with this wind direction because air from the east has a much lower dew point than the wetter type of snow from PM air. The Pennines can get absolutely hammered in an easterly flow. North-East England got 7 feet of level snow in March 1947 and I believe the drifts were more than triple that. It's just a pity that this wind direction is a rare beast otherwise Pennine England would give most of Scotland a run for the money. But yes overall especially with height you tend to get more snow mostly from PM/Northerly incursions.

    The reason locations further south tend to do better in easterly set ups isn't really down to factors such as Gulf Stream, latitude, topography/altitude - it's more to do with the fact that a set-up conducive for a snowy easterly involves high pressure tending to be situated closer to Scotland meaning less widespread and intense snowfall up here. And such a set up isn't something you'd typically expect throughout a winter, no more so than snow falling from a channel low. 

    Snow from a polar maritime air mass isn't really to do with elevation, it's more to do with the airfllow with cold air mire likely to be embedded in northern and Western sections of low pressure systems and Scotland's latitude us a more favourable in such set ups. 

    I agree that Newcastle, among other cities in northern parts of Britain, probably have better chances for snow than Glasgow. Not only would Newcastle do better in an easterly, but also a northerly with greater exposure to the North Sea. In Glasgow's case, the Gulf Stream, low elevation, westerly location, urban heat island doesn't help with precipitation more likely to fall as rain. However only a few miles can be the difference, for example 15 miles between the city centre and Aberfoyle, in a marginal set-up it might be sleet at best in the City, further north in the countryside with not much of a higher elevation, there could be 10-15cm in and around the Trossachs. In northerly or westerly set ups, the problem is a lack of precipitation with mountains and high ground surrounding the area, especially to the north and west. 

     

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