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SMU

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Everything posted by SMU

  1. SMU
    anyone got any snow falling Home data 2.3 / 1.8 S
  2. SMU
    I dont see anyone in this thread ramping up false hope, the line of snow has always oscillated between 100 & 300M however in the past 48 hours the models reduced the scope of the cold from a possible -9c to a weaker -7c. The net effect of this through the dewpoints has been raise the freezing level up by about 200M We all understand the variables & on this particular occasion its gone the wrong side of favourable
  3. SMU
    145 heavy Rain/ sleet mix new ash green 2.5 / 2.1 150M West kingsdown Heavy sleet & snow ~ est 1.8 / 1.4 240M Est freezing level today 400M. When you take into consideration the height advantage we have fallen short by about 4c. Net 2-3C on the uppers & 1c modification on the short sea track. Based on all of tbe above -11c uppers seems to be the new benchmark for settling snow ( convective ) at sea level for kent....
  4. SMU
    Bit of moderate snow here Ignore pepper pig in the background IMG_6537.MOV
  5. SMU
    GFS Moves to UKMO as it transfers more energy northwards over France @96
  6. SMU
    Showers nearly all of snow here now. 1.3C 0.8D Big fat flakes in the mix. Showers clumping over clacton.
  7. SMU
    Biggin hill 1C/0D now. Nice conditions...
  8. SMU
    Missing the showers here ATM ( just sliding to the south ) but in the mean time the air dries out more & conditions become more favourable. My heavy snow shower 'settling' parameter is still a few hours away but its coming into range...
  9. SMU
    150M So WK would be nearly all snow - IMG_6516.MOV IMG_6516.MOV
  10. SMU
    715 - 1.6C 1.2D Sleet & Snow flakes Bang on 7pm transition time.
  11. SMU
    @Tim Bland ECM 72 Snow moving south further East than GFS
  12. SMU
    @Daniel ECM 72 is excellent -8c & PPN a bit further East
  13. SMU
    No the uppers are to warm but the 120 could!
  14. SMU
    Im the long term id rather take GFS > UKMO 144 surface cold by then> by you never know some sort of retrograde Day 7/8...
  15. SMU
    ^^ But guys @Scott Ingham @Kasim Awanwe were here but 24 hours ago & the GFS > p has now moved to the UKMO Its no good keep backing the same horse that pulled up lame even if it does look great.... More energy that anticipated is going to push up from the south- The 12z (p) Creates a steeper easterly than the UKMO but look how far away it is from the GFS. GFS totally out on a limb now dont fall for the same mistake twice-
  16. SMU
    I will take that. Bitter!
  17. SMU
    UKMO 12z now touting a colder Easterly Sat!
  18. SMU
    As said many times look East.... UKMO 120
  19. SMU
    Christmas Brussels !
  20. SMU
    Suddenly a whiff of optimism drifts across the thread.... GFS / METO raw goes for 2-4cm here...
  21. SMU
    Seems we might snatch cold from the jaws of mild after yesterday snatching very mild from cold... Looking for upgrades today!! Especially in Fridays snow potential as The slider from the North interacts with the Energy from the East over the UK! Remember SSW = 0 Easterly momentum !
  22. SMU
    -10 on the nose
  23. SMU
    yes Better profiles for snow > taller clouds & heavier showers > better convection & insabiiity!
  24. SMU
    Yes thats why the GFS pixel of snow was left 1 pixel of kent & it was the kent / sussex grid because of the DP sinkage! 2.9 / 2.5
  25. SMU
    Remember overnight thurs into Friday still looks ok> improved potential today.
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