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SMU

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Everything posted by SMU

  1. Yes unless theres a shallow melt layer & we get freezing drizzle
  2. UKMO is way ahead the best run today lows cutting ESE & pressure build to the west...
  3. We dont want the parallel outcome > thats really poor with weak blocking vis a vee Northerly toppler...
  4. The heights over the NE in Russia will exert a force on the jet upstream - the net effect would be to create more amplification than a scenario if there was no high pressure, Also the reaction in the models to the SSW & reoccurring phases of SSW will probably mean they underestimate the level & intensity of blocking as well. With that all in mind as 192 becomes 168 & that becomes 144 & so on then everything will probably sharpen up anyway like it has so far > The ridge in the atlantic at 138 is nicely timed because it forces some energy SE under the block which then allows some backing of the cold west, as that then subsides & the next one builds so the cold to the North &!east is that bit closer...
  5. Hi ^^ There is no such upgrades expected in the 120-144 - The position of the advancing low V 2013 is a long way further south with an angle of SE > NE where as the 2013 low had a position to the North with a movement of NE > SE The best we do here is -7c straddling the east - I cant see a GEM type solution its to progressive.
  6. Good afternoon- Perhaps just an inclining of consistency across the GFS now as we head to day 8/9 with blocking appearing across the pole & the vortex lobe dropping south into Scandi> very much inline with the strat anomalies... The 12z could be impressive
  7. 422pm -0.1 / -0.6 Below freezing in daylight hours ... Just!
  8. 1.4c & blue skies appearing- going to be very cold tonight!!
  9. Current conditions -0.1/-0.4 Snow dusting of this morning not melting & grass cover semi intact
  10. Just glanced out on the main drag it was flooded with big massive puddles earlier - however it's drying up uber quick here- That glossy sheen on the roads means ice will be a big problem tonights Currently -0.2 / -0.6 S
  11. Good afternoon A welcoming site towards home Temps in Eltham ( picking kids up) +4c Temps here at the top +1c Est lows. -5c tonight.
  12. 0.4 / 0.1 at home probably still snowing I be to WK up at about 6-7CM now
  13. Make the most of it- dewpoints back up now raining at keston
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