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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Yes unless theres a shallow melt layer & we get freezing drizzle -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Temps at home 0/-0.5 -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
light snow west wickham temps ~ -1c -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
SMU replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
SMU replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We dont want the parallel outcome > thats really poor with weak blocking vis a vee Northerly toppler... -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
SMU replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
SMU replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The heights over the NE in Russia will exert a force on the jet upstream - the net effect would be to create more amplification than a scenario if there was no high pressure, Also the reaction in the models to the SSW & reoccurring phases of SSW will probably mean they underestimate the level & intensity of blocking as well. With that all in mind as 192 becomes 168 & that becomes 144 & so on then everything will probably sharpen up anyway like it has so far > The ridge in the atlantic at 138 is nicely timed because it forces some energy SE under the block which then allows some backing of the cold west, as that then subsides & the next one builds so the cold to the North &!east is that bit closer... -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
SMU replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
what was that -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Chilly here -1.7 / -2.2c -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
SMU replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi ^^ There is no such upgrades expected in the 120-144 - The position of the advancing low V 2013 is a long way further south with an angle of SE > NE where as the 2013 low had a position to the North with a movement of NE > SE The best we do here is -7c straddling the east - I cant see a GEM type solution its to progressive. -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
SMU replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good afternoon- Perhaps just an inclining of consistency across the GFS now as we head to day 8/9 with blocking appearing across the pole & the vortex lobe dropping south into Scandi> very much inline with the strat anomalies... The 12z could be impressive -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
422pm -0.1 / -0.6 Below freezing in daylight hours ... Just! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
1.4c & blue skies appearing- going to be very cold tonight!! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Wifey reported snow falling m25 jnct A20 -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Just glanced out on the main drag it was flooded with big massive puddles earlier - however it's drying up uber quick here- That glossy sheen on the roads means ice will be a big problem tonights Currently -0.2 / -0.6 S -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
SMU replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Good afternoon A welcoming site towards home Temps in Eltham ( picking kids up) +4c Temps here at the top +1c Est lows. -5c tonight. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
0.4 / 0.1 at home probably still snowing I be to WK up at about 6-7CM now -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Make the most of it- dewpoints back up now raining at keston -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
AM snowline trace 75M 150M 2-3Cm 250M 4-6CM -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
SMU replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Lashing it down with snow 0.3c