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bobbydog

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Everything posted by bobbydog

  1. bobbydog
    see my post above
  2. bobbydog
    didn't have time to answer you earlier but yes and no.... the blob on the radar won't change direction as such, however, if you zoom out of the radar- http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ you can see the precip rotating around the low pressure system which is centred around NW france at the moment. it is taking a slight NNE'erly track and moving towards us. so all those "blobs" around the low are actually coming our way gradually but the winds rotate anti-clockwise around a low so the big blob will probably miss our region, its whats behind it at the 'bottom end' of the low which will most likely hit our region as the whole system moves NNE. the uncertainty is how far north and east it gets as it pushes against the high pressure to our north east heres roughly where it is now-
  3. bobbydog
    hi jason, sorry to jump in here but isn't that mcweather's point? he is pointing out that it may not be reflected in the models until very short notice, as they take into account current weather patterns in the troposphere but very few take into account longer term effects of the strat. the warming is still very much in place, therefore we are still in an evolving situation until the polar strat vortex regains any form of stability. regards rob
  4. bobbydog
    that is what the models are showing..... at present..... however, "uncertainty" is the key word at the moment we've had 'unusual' weather lately, in that there has been very little in the way of northern blocking, yet we have still had some good cold shots, which seem very much related to the recent SSW. just one example was yesterdays snow, which was from a low pressure system which came up from spain!!. we've seen the models wanting to bring the atlantic back several times and it hasn't happened yet. guess what.... still no polar strat vortex!!-
  5. bobbydog
    we seem to have a split LP system circulating around the country at the moment, with the south stuck in the middle. i think details and the track of any precipitation are going to be difficult to pin down over the next 24 hours, so yes, radar watch it is!
  6. bobbydog
    its not, its shifting north but as its a low pressure sytem its rotation is anti-clockwise therefore it appears to be shifting west. if you have been watching the radars and satellites all day, you will have seen the distinct line as the westerly flow collided with the LP system. if the easterly winds had been stronger it would have taken a more NWerly track. it appears to be 'compressing' against the westerlies which is why it appears to be "backbuilding". you can see it here- http://www.sat24.com/gb however, it is still on a northerly track. once it clears, temps are expected to drop giving a high risk of ice (which i can confirm after driving in it about an hour ago) it should be more or less dry (apart from some snizzle) until tomorrow morning when the next offering could come from the precip appearing off the south west at the moment- http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ as the Meto suggest, more could arrive but could be marginal along the coasts- Monday: Cold and mostly cloudy with some sleet and snow at times, particularly across southern counties but snow may also spread further north later. Rain is possible near the coast. Maximum temperature 1 °C.
  7. bobbydog
    credit where credit is due but in all honesty, its doing exactly what it was forecast to do by the met office, plus it extended over towards wales at its northern extent
  8. bobbydog
    been light but constant all day here but doesn't seem to have made much impact. heavier now but looking at the radar, its moving away so only another hour or so left
  9. bobbydog
    we hope so!!!
  10. bobbydog
    its ok, i'm going to make them give it back....
  11. bobbydog
    our snow is just creeping into germany now...... http://meteox.de/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur
  12. bobbydog
    if the germans nick our snow, i think that's grounds for another war!!
  13. bobbydog
    very slight thaw here but now snowing lightly
  14. bobbydog
    i shouldn't think so mate, can't imagine there'd be much interest..........
  15. bobbydog
    well the wind is supposed to be picking up and shifting ENE so maybe it might pep up some snowfall. a streamer would be nice lol! edit- (very) light snow here now!
  16. bobbydog
  17. bobbydog
    philip avery described that scenario happening on news 24 this morning but then added "we think...." i do hope they think right!
  18. bobbydog
    here's hoping! would be great if that comes off however, i don't want to pee on your snowman but, i was up at 5 am this morning and this never happened-
  19. bobbydog
    i would ignore location or postcode type forecasts and just watch the tv forecasts. the radar will reveal the truth though!
  20. bobbydog
    which forecast?
  21. bobbydog
    optimistic i think but heres hoping!!
  22. bobbydog
    to be fair though, we had 10cm here which was great but overall, it wasn't as "epic" as it could have been. its not as cold as has been forecast which always worries me, as its a fine line between a continuation of the snow and a gradual thaw into a slushy mess, especially as the Meto have temps of 6c forecast for the south coast on tuesday! hopefully we will stay the right side of that line and temps will drop back down again.
  23. bobbydog
    temps hovering around zero and light winds across most of the region. hardly a "bitter easterly"......
  24. bobbydog
    sunday anyone? -
  25. bobbydog
    7cm here and no signs of stopping!!
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