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bobbydog

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Everything posted by bobbydog

  1. Fortunately, I remember the seasonals 'signposting' mild for winter 2010...
  2. Why all the doom and gloom about F.I.? The trop vortex is showing no signs of getting itself together, The colder 850's are creeping ever closer, And the strat, which is always more reliable in modelling terms, is showing a potential warming event. This only takes us up to the 3rd of December! Give winter a chance, it hasn't even started yet....
  3. The PV IS feeling the squeeze by 180hrs at 30hpa. Long may it continue....
  4. Stop worrying... Who would have known.... Dec 9 2010 Dec 19 2010 Que sera sera....
  5. Hi Mike, in my experience, long range weather forecasts are often 'revised' at short notice... From what I've seen, the teleconnections are a little 'unusual' this year. I don't expect this winter (or the next...) to conform to our usual expectations...
  6. Well... after a busy year so far, I haven't been on here much and whilst I've not really been keeping up, I have been watching the CFS for general long-term trends, some of which have been spectacular for (northern hemisphere) winter. What's the general consensus?
  7. Apparently, 222 (hrs) is the number of the beast...
  8. "Hey! What are you doing in the wardrobe?" "Narnia business..."
  9. Seriously?? You've never seen/read 'The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe??
  10. Lol here we go.... The FV3 has detected a pulse... Its begun CPR on winter.... 3-2-1- CLEAR!!
  11. Well some light snow again now, so maybe something to see by the morning
  12. A few flakes on the ground and in the air here in Capel. Disappointing considering the forecast and Meto warnings but expected really. It's only weather and that's the way it goes. There are worse things in life to get annoyed about. My only real disappointment is that we won't have enough snow to build a snowman. Yet another year my little Molly (7 next month) hasn't had the chance to build one. I'm not giving up totally yet though, still time, as we still have a month left of winter
  13. Just out of interest, latest GFS snow chart for 1500hrs compared to radar at 1500hrs
  14. They are for tomorrow night into Wednesday. That's two posts explaining that as well...
  15. Not quite sure why anyone should be arguing tonight... I suggest those involved should sort it out with a snowball fight...
  16. There are two threads though Nick, personally, I really don't find it difficult to scroll past a few posts if they don't interest me.
  17. Yes, I know. That's why we have 2 model threads. This thread is for models and banter. Read the title. That's also quite clear.
  18. Look mummy! We can see the south side of the M4!
  19. Very true. Take the 06z GFS for example. At first glance, it doesn't appear overly impressive for long lasting cold or snow. However It actually shows snow on every day from this Sunday onwards, with virtually every part of the UK seeing significant amounts at some point.
  20. But the key to the easterly is the trough disruption at +144hrs That's not F.I.....
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