Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

bobbydog

Members
  • Posts

    4,530
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    13

bobbydog last won the day on January 2 2022

bobbydog had the most liked content!

1 Follower

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Interests
    the weather, building things, diy, horses, wildlife, my dog, drinking beer, pc gaming

Recent Profile Visitors

45,042 profile views

bobbydog's Achievements

Maestro

Maestro (14/14)

  • 30 days in a row
  • Dedicated
  • Week One Done
  • One Month Later
  • One Year In

Recent Badges

14.8k

Reputation

  1. Morning all, Just been woken by the wind to find we now have a red warning.... Going to be fun at work - in an open yard full of fencing products, surrounded by tall oak trees.....
  2. Well there's still a little bit of hope left, we're still in with a chance of a nuclear winter....
  3. The problem is, there is no forcing to disrupt the current hemispheric pattern. Even the strat vortex is a feeble mess. This limpet high pressure over us, whilst it is bringing frost and fog, is becoming about as welcome as Prince Andrew at a prom party...
  4. The divergence happens around 144hrs the low sinking into Europe doesn't have enough energy to keep going and the jet then fires up and flattens our HP.
  5. Ok... commence toy launch sequence.... (It actually doesn't end badly but it's a long slog to get where it's going...)
  6. I think that HP centred over the Russia/Kazakhstan border is the key here. (In this scenario). I've seen this modelled previously. It forces the jet into Europe, the euro high retrogresses and the TPV is forced through the gap, pushing a big cold pool with it. Its a long way off but it's a plausible evolution.
  7. I always think, winter model watching is like watching England in the World Cup. We go 1-0 up early on, then the opposition equalises in the second half. We get numerous chances and shots on goal, only for them to be saved or called offside. We then sit frustratingly through extra time, only to lose on penalties.... Thankfully, we've had a lot more epic winters than we've won world cups so the chances are much higher... "They think it's all over..." Not yet....
  8. So am I... I (partly) agree with you regarding January, it's highly unlikely there will be anything particularly wintry for the next week or two but after that, some models are showing an evolution to more substantial winter weather. Even when the "building blocks" are in place, it's a fine balance to hit the jackpot on our little island but we can never discount any chance of it happening.
  9. It shows your statement to be wrong though- and several of the GEFS are showing cold solutions also.
  10. To be fair Rob, it's "the hunt for cold" because it's what the vast majority of people are looking for in winter. (Though it should really be called "the hunt for snow"). Therfore most posts will naturally lean towards cold prospects. If a route to cold wintry weather appears in the charts, in a country more prone to Atlantic westerlies, it's fair to assume that people will highlight this, even though most of the time it fails to materialise. (The "hunt for mild" would be like looking for a bit of hay in a haystack ) On the other hand, if the foreseeable outlook is mild, it is still the model thread and as you say, posting charts showing mild weather shouldn't be a problem to anyone and are perfectly entitled to be in this thread, as much as any showing cold.
×
×
  • Create New...