Isolated Frost
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Posts posted by Isolated Frost
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Was August really that cool, or September just stupidly mild?
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I don't have a clue. 14c seems normal enough. 14c.
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Dropped down to 3c last night; coldest August night since 2010, and the coldest night since May.
Real shame that it's mild, drizzly and moist weather for the next week.
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Lovely weather; mostly days with sunshine and highs in the mid-teens, and lows between 6-8c. Tonight looks really nippy as well, touch of frost in isolated glens?
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March: 10-15c high, -5c-0c low, mostly clear skies, some snow, some showers.
April: 15-20c high, 0c low, mostly clear again, less snow, increasing heat.
May: 20-25c high, 0-10c low, mostly hot by day, cold by night, some t-storms/showers.
June: 25-30c high, 5-15c low, very hot most days, cooler by the evening.
July: 25-35c high, 10-15c low, hot and dry days and warm evenings.
August: 20-30c high, 10-15c low, hot still, but increasingly humid/erratic, plenty of t-storms/storms.
September: 15-25c high, 5-15c low, increasingly cool, plenty of rain/wind/storms/t-storms with a few sunny days.
October: 5-15c high, -5c-0c low, increasingly cold, first snows, plenty of storms/wind.
November-December: very cold, increasingly sub-zero highs, ice days, heavy snow/storms, little sun.
January-February: still cold, though in Feb less so, increasing sun.
Basically anything with plenty of snow/cold/storms between September and January; and hot and sunny between May and August. And a fair few t-storms throughout the year.
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It gets fun now, long live the darkness
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It's boiling is all I know here, but definitely seeing signs as shown above. Remember though, reactive, not proactive!
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22c at Durham for 1300; hopefully we can hit 25c sometime (someday, far away); lovely though.
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What a lovely day, warm, slight breeze; too much cloud cover up here though.
Still hoping for one big Summer blast where we can actually get a 30c here on the Wear, I don't think they make them anymore. Arthur Scargill will have reclaimed Labour by the time we get 30 here.
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Haha I was jesting of course, I'm very much for Scotland to say YES!
It's turned into a OK day, which is little consolation as I'm spending it watching daytime TV.
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Ah, we're all together- Scotland and the Far North of England... don't you think we're better together?Anyway... drab day here, rain in the morning, clouds clearing out now, but still pretty cool.
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Lazy Sunday afternoon's, ey?
With July looking to move slightly positive, I'm going to see whether, using more concise use of the AO index, I can match anything up; this time around.
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Only 18 days until the days get
bettershorter...I jest of course, love the light days, plenty of parties/football to do over the summer, but it's not long until the real fun comes back!
Waking up at 5am and it being light is always weird for me, but it's great to be out until 10pm whilst it's light, but nothing compares to walks in the dark at 7/8am in the winter, and even coming back home while it's dark, more eery/festive.
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My winter f'cast was effectively, a mild start, staying mild, turning cooler and wetter in January and cold in February.
It was wrong.
Probably spent the majority of winter expecting that shift in late Jan/early Feb... and it didn't surface.
Roll on winter 2014/15!
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This winter has taught me...
July
June
May
AugustApril
September
December
November
March
January
October
February
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Just had a look at the EC, that's a suite and a half, especially compared to previous... Time to buckle in- winters REALLY about to start; caution is always urged though, as many on here know...
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Early prediction-
mixed December, some anticyclonic colder days, mostly W/NW/SW dominated, maybe one colder spell from the N
January increasingly cold, possibly a SW start, changing SE/E with a potential later cold blast
February very cold, dominated by E/SE winds, increasingly milder later on after a very cold first half
I feel as though December didn't go to plan as much as I'd like- mainly due to the lack of any actual cold spell. I'm still optimistic about Jan and Feb; on a limb with the ECMWF atm; but you got to hope that we see that Strat finally see that breakthrough.
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4.7c. Cold at times, particularly around early-mid month and Christmas time, lots of nearby high pressure though, and a mean SW flow.
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Just snowed.
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I'll need to update my Extra to see the NMM but yeah, pretty minimal to me- though there will be windows w/ colder air, just got to hope we get lucky and see the first fall.
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First wintry graphic I've seen since March on the HR-EC, here we go...!
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I do believe that we are in for a rather more prolonged, cold spell, rather than snap- it may gradually take some time to get into; but the EC again, is very encouraging and the 216/240 profile leaves you begging for more.
168 is my favourite (IMBY) frame though. -6c to -8c uppers with such a large temp difference? Convection overload, plenty of snow for eastern areas. Plenty of good stuff from the N and NW beforehand for the West as well. All in all, it does look pretty promising.
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Perfection from the EC; best chart I've seen since March or beforehand. Very interesting times ahead, as Nick says, general pattern > local details... but looking at H5 and NWP recently, reason to be excited.
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OCTOBER PATTERN INDEX (OPI) MONITORING WINTER SEASON 2014-2015
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Threads like this are brilliant, cheers Riccardo, Chiono, Steve, LS, BFTV and more, brilliant input, and all of a sudden October is as exciting as Christmas!