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Isolated Frost

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Everything posted by Isolated Frost

  1. Back home now, 0.9c/-1.8c. NMM said 0c dew point at 6pm, NAE said -3c. Both seem to have opposite biases (NMM milder, it does initiate at GFS points, and NAE colder). Split something in the middle and you say sleet/rain for the coastline, turning to wet snow at times. Snow further than 20 miles inland all day, 5-20 miles alternating sleet and snow unless you have some serious (>100m) elevation.
  2. BBC graphics had rain for the NE this afternoon and snow tomorrow, calm it
  3. Maximise the positive, maximise the negative- I could have 30-35cm this time tomorrow, or next to nothing... Exciting and intense!
  4. Heavy rain / sleet thing going on here, less snow than this time yesterday, hopefully a lot more this time tomorrow !!
  5. That band in SE England seems stationary, could be a long time before precip... Plenty of snow down there in East Anglia and the South East.
  6. I think Newcastle and Durham will see no rain, mostly sleet and wet snow, but if its very heavy (a la NAE) then we have a very snowy event - over 5cm for anything west of Coxhoe or Washington, small accu nr the coast (10 miles from the coast) and over 10cm on high ground at least 15 miles from it- Mind you, if it's a degree colder than GFS predictions and slightly (.5c) cooler than the NAE, then we have huge (10cm+ ) for everywhere away from the immediate coastline... It's very much a radar-lamppost-stopping up until 4am even if you have school/college/uni/work event.
  7. Looks like yellow warning east of Consett, with small accumulations (mostly sleet/rain on coast, wintry mix Tyne and Wear, Durham and Teesside)- all snow 50 miles inland or 150m asl. Tonight still looks interesting though.
  8. I think it's more the lack of real mild upcoming and the potential snow-fest for many on Monday and Tuesday - as the MJO phase shifts and we see a steady transferral of heights across northern latitudes - the fun from the NE, though delayed, is very much possible come Feb. I understand Alza's point about the mild sector at lower levels tomorrow, one to track certainly
  9. 6 snow lying days in a row, add on the 3 in December and 1 in October, it's already the best cold spell since 16-26 December 2010. I think the winter up to now has been average, but the next 2 weeks look like it'll turn it better than average. Today is all about watching the band off SE England and tracking its progress (which is hopefully from the SSE not S). Enjoy the snow, we currently have some of the highest depths in Britain in parts, and all of us do have snow!
  10. Snowing moderately again, this should take us past the half a foot mark.
  11. Anyone notice how the media is harping on about the 2-5cms in the south east and the couple of cms for most of middle England, but they've ignored the 5-20cms falling across E Scotland/NE England?!
  12. No sleet, rain and grains- just big snow flakes, very heavy too.
  13. I'm on phone so unsure but the shrs seem to be moving straight E atm, so perhaps a very slow shift to ENE as the evening goes on. Tomorrow it shifts back to E and then ESE before the convective window closes and the closed low move up from the S during Sunday- I'm expecting snow from that in the early hours of Monday before a wintry mix (sleet/rain nr coast, wet snow further inland) on Monday and Tuesday. After that, it's all to play for.
  14. Hope you're okay mate- similar snow cover to here, here's hoping we see more showers over the next few days.
  15. Nick , we have a E turning ENE tonight, much better and this trough should push shrs in for most of the region, loads in Northumberland already, surely over 30cm in parts there. Some shrs moving into Tyne and Wear in the next few mins- plenty likely to move SWwards over the next few hours , hit and miss though, but less so than yesterday.
  16. Hope you guys have some big totals and enjoyed the trough, looks like its coming to the NE of England now. Awful news about the avalanche though , thoughts with their families
  17. It seems to be intensifying. Tomorrows band could easily intensify and clip us from the SE.
  18. Just checked the radar, convective e'ly time... What are the depths around Alnwick?!?!
  19. Melt stopped earlier here, intermittent sleet and snow pellet showers... Baltic, not Arctic, and that describes the airflow pretty well. Greenland high north-easterlies please! Though this is the next best thing, 13cm lying.
  20. Sc over the North Sea right now, lots of low cloud around, a bank of higher cloud to the SE of Scotland and some stuff off the NE coast with some light-mod precip.
  21. Moderate snow here, it's been wet snow flakes/grains mix since before 8 here, in lighter spells thawing the cover, heavier spells adding to it. 13cm/5"
  22. EC, UKMO and GEM disagree alza, and they have always beaten the GFS this month.
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