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Isolated Frost

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Everything posted by Isolated Frost

  1. Isolated Frost

    Far North of England Regional Discussion 28/10/13 ------

    http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Westerdale/long.html Ah, yep, very similar though.
  2. Isolated Frost

    Far North of England Regional Discussion 28/10/13 ------

    http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Wensleydale/long.html Have a deeks, 4wd, looks pretty cold indeed- and less marginal for Tuesday, and an ice day on Wednesday- but it's a long, long time away, meteorologically speaking.
  3. Isolated Frost

    Far North of England Regional Discussion 28/10/13 ------

    EC 12z, for Washington, next week...
  4. Isolated Frost

    Model Output Discussion 1st Nov.2013

    What a beautiful jumble. Cool/cold again at the surface with snow in the north; and the wonderful tri-trough in Europe, this time a bit too close for comfort. You wonder if that Greenlandic trough will dig SE and introduce a more vicious N flow after any retrogression, but it's definitely a good, albeit messy, EC suite.
  5. Isolated Frost

    Model Output Discussion 1st Nov.2013

    In fact the low slides under at 216, what a superb chart. Surface flow N/W across the UK, plenty of winter about that one, rain/sleet and snow for many northern areas at d9.
  6. Isolated Frost

    Model Output Discussion 1st Nov.2013

    The interruption in the retrogression at 192 is something to look at 216- the general flow seems to be that the EC has returned and supported the GFS modelling- and that is the main positive to reach from this run. -8c o/ Scotland at d8 is something to look forward to, at the least.
  7. Isolated Frost

    Model Output Discussion 1st Nov.2013

    Top class EC, attempted retrogression, but it doesn't need to be a 'pure' or full retrogression- a real pull of cold energy from the north associated with that Arctic trough. Shaping up for a N influence some time down the month.
  8. Isolated Frost

    Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2

    Early prediction- mixed December, some anticyclonic colder days, mostly W/NW/SW dominated, maybe one colder spell from the N January increasingly cold, possibly a SW start, changing SE/E with a potential later cold blast February very cold, dominated by E/SE winds, increasingly milder later on after a very cold first half
  9. 13c! Highest temperature in about 2 weeks.

    1. Isolated Frost

      Isolated Frost

      It's not been too mild or cold, a bit cool, but lovely recently. Fresh, sunny with some frosts and sunshine. Today was murky, humid and dull; not so nice.

    2. Eugene

      Eugene

      Yeah temps weren't that mild the week before, I was active delivering that week though and in the sun it felt very mild

    3. Eugene

      Eugene

      And on the dull days the air was mild and moist, only end of last week on Friday did it will feel cold and wet

    4. Show next comments  12 more
  10. If the minima for the 10th has already passed, we're 1.25c below the average to the 10th here at Durham. To be higher than the 1981-2010 average of 6.4c, the last 20 days must average higher than 7.0c. Higher than the 1981-2010 minima average of 3.4c, the last 20 days must average higher than 4.4c. Higher than the 1981-2010 maxima average of 9.4c, the last 20 days must average higher than 9.6c. A pretty cool first third, lots of notably cool minima, something that this year has lacked (January and March's cold mainly due to impressive -ve maxima).
  11. Best 2 months of the year, Nov and Dec. The long nights, increasingly colder outlook and festivities all add up to make it so atmospheric.
  12. Isolated Frost

    Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2

    High resolution EC(M) model. 48 hour projections.
  13. Isolated Frost

    Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2

    HREC has snow and sleet turning to rain early Monday here- unlikely but pleasing to finally see.
  14. Very large difference between the anomaly here and in the CET zone, noticeably cooler here, nearly 3c difference or so after the first 8 days!
  15. 1c after a high of 10c, another lovely day with clear skies, and a little bit of rain in the afternoon.
  16. Well, it's 1c again... it's been a fairly cold start to November, with 3 ground frosts in the last 4 mornings now.

  17. Well, it was a VERY mild autumn when it came to minima, but an air frost on the morning of the 2nd (counts as the 1st meteorologically, 0900-0900), and potentially another tonight (1.3c at 0000), that's 2 in 3 days. Very brisk, much more fresh than of recent.
  18. Isolated Frost

    Far North of England Regional Discussion 28/10/13 ------

    Got down to -1c at Durham Uni yesterday morning, already 2c there now. Brilliant weather recently, some sunny days, some heavy rain and snow for higher hills.
  19. 3c, definitely increasingly festive now! :)))

    1. Bobby

      Bobby

      Heavy driving rain here, lovely!

  20. -1c this morning, finally...

  21. what the hell's going on? It's 3c... are you sure we've got the right Autumn here?

  22. I'm still expecting a very cool-cold second half of November, so I'm happy with my guess.
  23. this time last year, it was snowing...

    1. Evening thunder

      Evening thunder

      Not been too bad down here

    2. cheese

      cheese

      Yesterday was OK, Thursday was stunning. Overall - a crap month. Good if you like relentless cloud and rain though (emo?)

    3. Thundery wintry showers

      Thundery wintry showers

      I remember the snow last year- the first time that I'd seen proper snow (rather than sleet mixed with rain) in October!

    4. Show next comments  12 more
  24. Hahaha- plenty of banter about that to come this Sunday... hopefully accompanied with a Sunderland win!
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