knocker

In line with the displaced stv being over N. Europe at the end of this period although it should be noted the gfs does not follow. All to play for

February looks like turning into a grand month, so much so Sidney's offspring have been raiding the larder

The chasing cold thread is morphing seamlessly into a 'chase the SSW' thread. Where will it all end I ask myself.

Interesting....this evening the gfs slips a trough running down the eastern flank of the amplifying ridge and phases it with the one to the SSW of the UK. This effectively splits the ridge and cuts off CAA at the pass Back to

The 500mb charts with just the anomalies without the contour lines are about as useful as a chocolate fireguard imho

Of course they not useless when it comes to the UK. They are designed to give a pretty good idea of the 500mb upper air pattern within which the detail of the det. runs should be operating. They are not meant to pick up daily variations, or as is frequently the case in here, six hourly ones. In a nutshell they are frequently misused.

It is quite noticeable that since the arrival of much more open access info on the web the number of self-appointed experts has risen exponentually

The continual changing of the geographical position of Scandinavia never ceases to amaze me It appears to move to wherever the high pressure is.

I don't follow why the UKMO is relevant to the medium term solution as that rather depends of the movement of the tpv lobe moving into Greenalne post t156, resulting in a pumped up jet and amplification of the ridge north east across Europe. To my simple mind it is pinning down the energy flows around the subsequent Euro high and thus pinning down the detail is quite a headache and at this range and best treated with great caution Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/98326-model-output-discussion-into-february/?do=findComment&comment=4799780

I don't follow why the UKMO is relevant to the medium term solution as that rather depends of the movement of the tpv lobe moving into Greenalne post t156, resulting in a pumped up jet and amplification of the ridge north east across Europe. To my simple mind it is pinning down the energy flows around the subsequent Euro high and thus pinning down the detail is quite a headache and at this range and best treated with great caution

Defibrillators are on standby

In the years I was a regular poster on this site this discussion cropped up at frequent intervals. I feel this would be pretty much resolved if the MOD thread was renamed to ,'chasing cold - winter 2022-23' which, when all is said and done, is the raison d'etre of the thread anyway

It is way past the time when 'Scandi High' should have been locked in the swear filter.

I have been wondering if this is not a bad time to close the mod thread for a brief period to allow punters to regroup and gather their thoughts,,,,,,,,,,say five years for starters

At last some realistic reflection in the mod thread on the misuse of anomaly charts. Particularly applicable during the annual promotion of the 'Scandi High' accompanied by the usual mounting excitement and hysteria.

To paraphrase Mark Twain. The demise of the SPV has once again been greatly exaggerrated

The hills are alive to the sound of music

Alarm bells have been ringing lately as one or two new cases of the ''Portuguese disease' have appeared. A beady needs to kept as it may well be a more contagious mutation

Your lucky I was the 'Resident Sarky Sod' but hey that was in another lifetime

Sun spot is the pseudonym for red herring in here.

My humblest apologies but I'm persona non grata over there. Mind it is a stonker

After a quick run through the posts the quote that flashed through my mind was, "Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln?". I know not why

I have a feeling that the ec weeklies update in a minute will be a stonker

An image you do not see very often, Wheal Coates yesterday https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=610355477764390&set=a.502827261850546

Brilliant output from the gfs this evening. The cut off upper low over southern Europe facilitates Azores/eastern Europe HP linkage which effectively cuts off the colder air. Oh my...........