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knocker

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Everything posted by knocker

  1. Just had a quick scamper through the Mod. thread and I know not why but “Other than that Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?” flashed into my mind.
  2. I can't remember the last time I've seen so much frenzied .......
  3. It is because the low deconstructs as the jet hits the buffers of the block to the east and rapidly veers
  4. Shortwaveitus - an endemic disease that tends to proliferate in winter months. There is no known cure but can be treated with copious amounts of Diazepam and plenty of bed rest.
  5. Sacre bleu.......we are on course for possible the shortest winter on record
  6. Put simply the ecm next week has intense trough development in the Atlantic driven by a strong jet which at the same time amplifies the Euro ridge which effectively mixes out the colder air in the west, including the UK and isolates the colder air to the east. Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99584-model-output-discussion-into-winter/?do=findComment&comment=4965504
  7. Put simply the ecm next week has intense trough development in the Atlantic driven by a strong jet which at the same time amplifies the Euro ridge which effectively mixes out the colder air in the west, including the UK, and isolates the colder air to the east.
  8. The dash to make a silk purse out of a pigs ear is now well underway
  9. Yes when something looks odd the first question should be why?
  10. I take it you do appreciate that currently the analysis has a warm front edging slowly north on Sunday into the cold air so the ens not too surprising
  11. Well now the moderate rain here has turned to moderate snow for a while this morning. A good example of evaporative cooling
  12. Game over.....just as well close the mod. thread for the rest of the winter
  13. Time to wheel out "Will it Snow" by John once again https://community.netweather.tv/learning/basics/will-it-snow-by-john-holmes-r96/
  14. Oh God............just when I thought things couldn't get any worse in here
  15. There is a strong rumour doing the rounds that this thread is going to be renamed the gymkhana thread.
  16. I didn't say alone and bluearmy has pre-empted my reply which i have made in more detail elsewhere
  17. Because given the rather complex nature of the evolution minor changes with the energy flows can make a big difference as highlighted by the development and track of the frontal wave next Friday. Cryptic assertions like the one I responded to are absolutely no help to people trying to understand what is going on
  18. I do not agree with that assessment. The ecm is not completely different and still does not support the gfs surge into Greenland next Friday due to a wave developing on the front south of Newfoundland tracking NE to Iceland and inhibiting amplification of the ridge. The later ec amplification into Greenland is due to a Nor'easter tracking up the eastern seaboard. Having said that there are alot of options on the table so best take a watching brief
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