Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

knocker

Members
  • Posts

    46,816
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    333

knocker last won the day on February 5 2020

knocker had the most liked content!

About knocker

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Camborne

Recent Profile Visitors

73,639 profile views

knocker's Achievements

Maestro

Maestro (14/14)

  • 365 days in a row Rare
  • One Month Later
  • One Year In
  • Ten years in
  • Five years in

Recent Badges

62.1k

Reputation

  1. I think serious consideration should be given to the possible temporary closure of the mod. thread as a humane gesture to end the suffering.
  2. Addicks Fan 1981 Signals do not lead the models and to say this rather makes a mockery of 70 odd years of model development. The sun drives the models via Atmospheric/ Oceanic interactions using mathematical and physical equations and the teleconnections are part of this complex evolution. And of course forecasting. This is of course a very short and simplistic explanation.
  3. I notice that over in the mod. thread a relative newcomer to the thread has made the rhetorical comment , "Seriously how can any model promoting cold weather now be a good thing". There is of course no intelligent answer to this.
  4. Met4Cast I wasn't aware that I was suggesting that knowledge in itself is a bad thing. What I was suggesting is that posting comments on teleconnections, Stratosphere/Troposphere interactions and synoptic meteorology all in the model discussion thread, is in my humble opinion operation overload and asking a lot from many punters, including myself.. And there really is no need for the separate threads in that case. I will leave it there as I realise my opinion is not welcome in here
  5. Why should this thread become even more filled with teleconnections and Stratosphere talk? There are separates threads for those subjects. It is almost as if synoptic meteorology, and all the interesting complexities of that, is a no go area. Without this being addressed adequately I am not sure how punters relatively new to interpretating models can possible get to grips with it.
  6. I am very saddened to note the the air of despair and desperation that has crept into the Mod thread over the last few days.
  7. Climate Change would appear to be hastening the redundancy of the chasing cold thread............it just doesn't bear thinking about
  8. Flub136 I do not think this a true representation of the warming An important character of sudden warming is its downward propagation from 45 km into the lower stratosphere. This feature is not zonal in character, but has nonzonal structure, with a planetary wave tilting westward with height. In the middle latitudes, warming in the stratosphere (40 km) is followed by cooling in the mesosphere (65 km). Simultaneously, the opposite occurs in low latitudes, with stratospheric cooling and mesospheric warming, but the magnitude of the changes in the lower latitudes is one order less compared to that noted in higher latitudes
  9. Neilsouth There is a problem with pinning down the detail at this range as it the start of pattern change. All one can say at the moment is it is likely to be cool and breezy (depending on where the dig is) and with a wave on the front crossing the south late on the 24th according to the gfs. Not very helpful I'm afraid
  10. Weatherman_93 That's a bit like expecting a vegetarian to salivate over a fillet steak
  11. Not that the my opinion is worth diddly squat in here but the development of yet another Nor'easter and it's subsequent track is having ramifications downstream regarding HP amplification.
  12. I've just noticed that there is new 'Post Mortem' thread. and I came quite faint for a moment assuming it was the last rites of the mod thread
  13. I have to say there is an awful whiff of desperation in the air.............time to break out the Prozac
×
×
  • Create New...