Kirkcaldy Weather

First tornado warning WCBI Live | WCBI.com WWW.WCBI.COM

"This is an uncommon, upper-echelon parameter space. In such an environment, any relatively discrete supercells will be capable of multiple tornadoes, some long-tracked and strong to violent (EF2-5 possible), with considerable destructive potential. A very moist boundary layer also will reduce potential cold-pool/outflow strength via less subcloud evaporation, so that even closely spaced storms may have substantial tornado threats. Forecast wind fields and model soundings reasonably suggest any sustained supercells and their tornadoes will be fast-moving (45-55 kt), with individual tornado paths nearly as long in miles as their duration in minutes." Hoping it doesn't end up as bad as it could be, not often you get wording like that.

Greenland blocking looks likely and matches up with recent phase 1 of MJO

Thread on this tweet

Enhanced risk for day 3 just like last time

Easter wintry weather

The motion on that one is insane

Hadn’t looked at the temp but got to 21C here and plenty other stations around Edinburgh the same

High of 21C here today, plenty other stations near here and in Edinburgh around that temperature

Studying the August storms a bit more this is a more useful summary from the MO and has the radar images I had been looking for https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/weather/learn-about/uk-past-events/interesting/2020/2020_07_august_rain.pdf also interesting the intense cells are on the left at first then as the trough moves back east they are on the right, presumably to do with the curve of the trough. this from Nick F’s blog on thunderstorm types looks most accurate Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) - is a collection of thunderstorms that act as a system. An MCS can spread across several counties and last more than 12 hours. These storm systems can contain supercells and sometimes can develop their own low pressure circulation or Mesoscale convective vortex (MCV). These thunderstorms systems usually form and are driven by strong wind speed shear aloft, if vertical shear (veering winds with height) is strong too, embedded supercells are possible. Severe weather can be produced by these systems, particularly large hail, damaging winds and flooding, tornadoes are also possible with any embedded supercells. Mesoscale Convective Systems in the UK are relatively rare, occurring once or twice a year on average.

Steven MacLeroy on that storm tornado sirens, looks like an impressive hook Live Storm Chasing LIVESTORMCHASING.COM Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and...

Missouri getting in on the action WWW.KY3.COM

Yeah think there could be 3 rounds with the low level jet moving in through the night, big Tornadoes in tree filled terrain at night terrifying, and another big day tomorrow in the carolinas