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Kirkcaldy Weather

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Kirkcaldy Weather last won the day on October 31

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    Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
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    Snow, Thunderstorms

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  1. Kirkcaldy Weather


  2. yes GFS P still the best in terms of most widespread snow could be quite a close call between rain / snow but it might just be helpful if this ends up being a night time event with the cooler temps / dew points
  3. looking through the 12z GEFS these 2 members seem to have the snow slightly further south than the rest (still time for the boundary between rain/ snow to move north or south in the coming runs)
  4. Kirkcaldy Weather

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 16/03/2018 Onwards

    found some ECM members which has the two of you in the sweet spot for the possible snow on Saturday (these will change once the 12z rolls out later tonight) https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/perthshire-and-kinross/m24_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/perthshire-and-kinross/m19_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/perthshire-and-kinross/m12_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/perthshire-and-kinross/m6_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/perthshire-and-kinross/snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html still looking good for the majority of Scotland to get some snow cover by the end of the weekend, might be temporary if the milder air can make its mind up where it is going https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m10_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m12_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m19_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html heres one for anyone in the SW of Scotland https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/south-ayrshire/m49_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html 11 inches! (again dont take depths too literally but depending on the strength of the front / Atlantic air something in the 7-10 inch range somewhere in Scotland wouldn't surprise me) https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m40_snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html if these kinds of charts are still showing by late Wednesday / Thursday I think we might need to get the number ready for Mr Plow to dig us out and send supplies to @More Snow and @edo who have been cut off by the snow and @edo's hot tub has frozen over BBC also going for heavy snow here on Saturday morning https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/0/2645298/day5
  5. Hi, as I have said before I am not overly knowledgeable when it comes to the stratosphere but it certainly looks good / interesting at the moment and given GP's thoughts for a warming on the 26th December things look like they are coming along nicely. I was comparing current outlooks to this time in 2015 and I know which year I would prefer predicted 2018 chart same time frame in 2015 other years for comparison with what was being forecast on this day 2017 2016 there was an error on meteociel trying to get 2014, 2013,2011,2010,2009,2008,2007 2012 of course what happened back in February this year gave us amazing results with the beast from the east, we can end up with something that has even half the severity of that event
  6. some interesting charts starting to appear at the end of the 06z GEFS, again possibly a quick reaction to the predicted stratospheric warming 06z 10hPa mean
  7. a few of the best looking ones looks like Santa could be bringing a stratospheric warming with him on his sleigh this year
  8. these 2 GEFS members caught my eye from the 12z, possibly an immediate response to the stratospheric warming, could be some cracking charts appearing in the next few weeks I think
  9. Kirkcaldy Weather

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 16/03/2018 Onwards

    keeping an eye on the potential for us Scots to get some snow at the end of next week (click on the link to see the snowfall charts, tried to save and copy the image but it shows up blank) https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m6_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m12_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m16_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m17_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m18_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m33_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m38_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m40_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m42_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/m49_snow-depth-in/20181215-0000z.html https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018120812/9bf9b6df2472b53b5595bbf4f65d059f/snow-depth-in/20181215-1800z.html obviously given the time frame its just a chance at the moment but I definitely wouldn't be surprised to see a frontal / battleground snowfall event across Scotland at the end of next week GFS P also going for snow stratosphere also looking like heating up towards Christmas Here's to a cold / snow filled winter across Scotland (hopefully)
  10. Kirkcaldy Weather

    Late Autumn/Early Winter "Fantasy" Horse-Racing

    LATE AUTUMN/EARLY WINTER "FANTASY" COMPETITION (PART 4) SAT. 8th DEC.. ALL AM ODDS AINTREE 12.25 - SELECTION: Granville Island 1.00 - SELECTION: Notwhatiam 1.30 - SELECTION: Present Man 2.05 - SELECTION: One For Arthur 2.40 - SELECTION: Giving Glances 3.10 - SELECTION: Catamaran Du Seuil (NAP) CHEPSTOW 12.20 - SELECTION: Atirelarigo 2.30 - SELECTION: Ballycross 3.05 - SELECTION: On The Road SANDOWN 12.50 - SELECTION: Miss Tongabezi 1.20 - SELECTION: Loose Chips 1.50 - SELECTION: Pingshou 2.25 - SELECTION: Apple's Shakira 3.00 - SELECTION: Altior 3.35 - SELECTION: Shanroe Santos SUN. 9th DEC. PUNCHESTOWN 2.05 - SELECTION: Edwulf (NAP)
  11. I am not very knowledgeable when it comes to the stratosphere but this from P5 looks tasty and hopefully could lead to a knockout punch for the PV (yes its FI but it is a growing trend among the ensembles and main GFS runs) a few other ensemble members with some sort of warming in that area at the same time frame
  12. -8 850's over large parts of the UK and -9s moving in from the east whilst the Atlantic tries to nudge in which screams the potential for battleground / frontal snowfalls to me and still some snow showers coming from the E probably (does anybody have a link to the ECM precip charts, thought I had it bookmarked but must have lost it, cheers in advance)
  13. 18z control run some snow showers from the east then the Atlantic tries to get in = possible battleground / frontal snowfalls (obviously not to be taken to literally at the moment but positive wintry signs continuing) somewhere could end up with a good dumping of snow if the GFS P comes off P15 goes for a reload from the north and probably into the freezer in the week leading up to Christmas control a bit of an outlier later on but still a good set of ensembles and the slightly less cold runs are probably more to do with the position of the high rather than Atlantic influence
  14. some interesting charts starting to appear more frequently for us coldies, some of the better ones from a UK point of view from the 18z GEFS blocking galore then retrogression possibly as @feb1991blizzard says good looking ensemble graphs too if this develops into a colder pattern it could be an interesting festive run up to Christmas