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Wivenswold

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    Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl

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  1. I'm about 40 miles north of you and yet I've had a pretty good summer for storms. Okay so they tailed off July/August but I witnessed about 4 good ones this year. My wife even named our new summer house "Thunder Cabin" due to the amount of time I was in there watching passing storms. So, no, it' hasn't been a poor summer for everyone.
  2. Same here, last couple of gusts sounded like they mean business.
  3. Could someone start a thread where all these pointless and repetitive complaints about the warning systems could go? Some of us are in here for actual updates on what's happening, not what was said might happen and how that pans out for 14 High Street, Myback, Yardshire.
  4. Yes, I did think of SWT. I think they will escape the worst of the winds and they don't have overhead wires that tend to cause problems in the other areas. I'd expect a few train operators to issue advisories or even shut the service down earlier tonight and have a reduced timetable tomorrow morning. They're damned if they do and damned if they don't in these situations.
  5. I think this storm is being a little understated in the press who are still reacting to yesterday's events. From my experience in Railway ops, this one strikes at a bad time of the year and at the worst possible time of the day, while trees are in full leaf and at the start of service, in the dark. I think Greater Anglia, Southeastern, Great Northern, East Coast (LNER) and C2C could potentially suffer. Fallen leaves on damp track will also help to stuff-up the network tomorrow but I've known one broken branch to cancel in excess of 100 trains. So we don't necessarily need particularly high gusts for disruption. 35-45 mph gusts are enough.
  6. Back in the heady times of yesterday, there was speculation over whether Sunday would be Bronagh. I don't know, I think I need a sit down and a coffee.
  7. So, just to clarify. This is the thread for "Storm Bronagh" not the storm afterwards that was previously expected to be named "Storm Bronagh"? I wouldn't be unhappy to not erroneously post in an incorrect thread and cause confusion.
  8. As a juxtaposition, I've got arthritis in all my joints and dread any downturn in temperatures. I shall miss Summer.
  9. With so much going on, I think there will be a lot of cross-over between storms. Might be worth heading this up to encompass the "spell of storms".
  10. Good work all round for the Met Offices. It's interesting to see a few regular "warnings bashers" not in the forum tonight. Round 2 (or is it "3"?) on Friday. It looks interesting and not in a good way. No one should feel bad that these events pique their interest. I often wonder how many lives weather fans save by passing on weather information to their nearest and dearest. For example, I've just advised all of my friends on social media to work from home if possible on Friday "just in case", already had several "thanks, will do" from people. Knowledge is never a bad thing and our knowledge is the result of our interest.
  11. Your warning is for potential damage to and caused by broken branches and resultant disruption to travel. That doesn't seem unreasonable with a mixture of maximum gusts across the models of 36-50mph for South Yorks set against laden trees. That really is enough to cause some serious disruption, one branch can shut down a railway line for hours. There are far more variables than simply the wind speed to consider for each storm. . In this case there's still some variance in the models too which has to be factored in. While the second and third storms may well be stronger for longer, there's probably a reason they haven't issued a warning yet. If it's really causing you so much angst, why don't you tweet them and ask?
  12. It was clearly still relevant anyway as it's been updated. I didn't say they shouldn't be valid, I was saying that if there's doubt, keep the warnings up.
  13. It's much better to keep warning and it turns out to be nothing much than take them down and then have lots of complaints if it strengthens. I'm with them on this, a safety first approach is best when dealing with the great unwashed.
  14. Wivenswold

    Hurricane Florence

    You've made a fantastic point there. How tragic and a timely reminder that many will have heart-breaking decisions to make.
  15. Wivenswold

    Hurricane Florence

    No, I really meant the Gulf of Mexico. Some of the outliers track her South West, maybe not as a hurricane but as a system that could erupt again over warm water. I don't think it should be ruled out yet until the spreads become a little less chaotic.
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