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Wivenswold

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    Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl

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  1. Ah yes, the old A120 Streamer in full effect this afternoon.
  2. I think Jo's answered that. The UK Met has a different threshold to the Irish Met, which tips the balance towards them naming a storm before the UK one does. Throw in that Eire generally sees our storms first, then naturally you would expect them to call it first. It's not a case of "wanting" to use the system, it's a little bit more complicated than that.
  3. I'm calling rain for the Tendring Peninsula in Essex. Unlike the Southend area, the system moves slowly over a greater expanse of mild sea (7oC at the moment). I think we're in a better place for a streamer tomorrow though.
  4. Possibly the timing is crucial. The Red box is during the evening drive home, the blue box is mainly rain at that point.
  5. I'm about 40 miles north of you and yet I've had a pretty good summer for storms. Okay so they tailed off July/August but I witnessed about 4 good ones this year. My wife even named our new summer house "Thunder Cabin" due to the amount of time I was in there watching passing storms. So, no, it' hasn't been a poor summer for everyone.
  6. Could someone start a thread where all these pointless and repetitive complaints about the warning systems could go? Some of us are in here for actual updates on what's happening, not what was said might happen and how that pans out for 14 High Street, Myback, Yardshire.
  7. Yes, I did think of SWT. I think they will escape the worst of the winds and they don't have overhead wires that tend to cause problems in the other areas. I'd expect a few train operators to issue advisories or even shut the service down earlier tonight and have a reduced timetable tomorrow morning. They're damned if they do and damned if they don't in these situations.
  8. I think this storm is being a little understated in the press who are still reacting to yesterday's events. From my experience in Railway ops, this one strikes at a bad time of the year and at the worst possible time of the day, while trees are in full leaf and at the start of service, in the dark. I think Greater Anglia, Southeastern, Great Northern, East Coast (LNER) and C2C could potentially suffer. Fallen leaves on damp track will also help to stuff-up the network tomorrow but I've known one broken branch to cancel in excess of 100 trains. So we don't necessarily need particularly high gusts for disruption. 35-45 mph gusts are enough.
  9. Back in the heady times of yesterday, there was speculation over whether Sunday would be Bronagh. I don't know, I think I need a sit down and a coffee.
  10. So, just to clarify. This is the thread for "Storm Bronagh" not the storm afterwards that was previously expected to be named "Storm Bronagh"? I wouldn't be unhappy to not erroneously post in an incorrect thread and cause confusion.
  11. As a juxtaposition, I've got arthritis in all my joints and dread any downturn in temperatures. I shall miss Summer.
  12. With so much going on, I think there will be a lot of cross-over between storms. Might be worth heading this up to encompass the "spell of storms".
  13. Good work all round for the Met Offices. It's interesting to see a few regular "warnings bashers" not in the forum tonight. Round 2 (or is it "3"?) on Friday. It looks interesting and not in a good way. No one should feel bad that these events pique their interest. I often wonder how many lives weather fans save by passing on weather information to their nearest and dearest. For example, I've just advised all of my friends on social media to work from home if possible on Friday "just in case", already had several "thanks, will do" from people. Knowledge is never a bad thing and our knowledge is the result of our interest.
  14. Your warning is for potential damage to and caused by broken branches and resultant disruption to travel. That doesn't seem unreasonable with a mixture of maximum gusts across the models of 36-50mph for South Yorks set against laden trees. That really is enough to cause some serious disruption, one branch can shut down a railway line for hours. There are far more variables than simply the wind speed to consider for each storm. . In this case there's still some variance in the models too which has to be factored in. While the second and third storms may well be stronger for longer, there's probably a reason they haven't issued a warning yet. If it's really causing you so much angst, why don't you tweet them and ask?
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