Thundery Shower

I thought it was supposed to be clear??? constant low cloud rubbish

Next week from friday looks bleh.. sods law the week i go on holiday. however this is all changeable of course.

interesting GFS runs atm, next week looks like cool and unsettled mon - wednesday then by friday warm settled weather arrives again with high pressure dominating, with temperatures between 24 - 26'c, gotta say September has been the best of dry weather in terms of sunshine amounts, and with the polar marinetime airmass temperatures in the evening keeps the evening temps cool so not so stuffy. going into FI when i go on holiday on the 21st September high pressure still holding on with temps averaging 21 - 23c, for this time of year is very warm.

Im dissapointed with todays run, yesterday look promising with mon > wednesday looking high twenties even 25 - 26c possible. It's looking more between 22 - 24c. what happened to the models or is this just a blip?

It certainly looks like a breakdown from thursday next week onwards. Mon - Wed 24 -26 then by thursday evening cooler and fresher weather returning.

Agreed, next week looks a case of NE/SE split, with warmer dryer weather in the south with mid twenties possibly 24 - 25'c on Wed/Thurs. before another atalantic low dominates. This weekend looks non changable with Friday Evening looks like heavy rain pushing through before Saturday morning, which has 50% of storm risk, so possibly a rumble of thunder thrown in for good measure, Saturday looks like sunshine and showers but struggling to get above high teens. Sunday looking at the latest fax chart has a tough sitting through midlands and to the east, could be something watch for storm lovers, then by Monday looks alot better with high pressure moving up from the south temps between 20 - 22'c so not all doom and gloom.

theres actually a UK site you can buy them from, but they are not cheap minimum of £220, but it's very good similar to the strike alert v2 but it can also tell you if it's a severe storm. like many other members im addicted to tstorms, and one thing i was missing was a strike alert/hand held device, as you know that current software can sometimes loose track of storms and cannot always pinpoint the exact location, so im looking to buy the V2 tomorrow then, upgrade to Skyscan P5 before next year. im also looking at the Boltech hardware but it's a whooping £300 quid. same software i believe that the isle of wight lightning detector use.

Thanks im purchasing v2 then save up for Skyscan P5 The software i use is either isleofwight lightning, for imports. or Nowcast strike dsiplay for home grown. which gives you details/summary of where the storm is heading, distance, and speed of tstorms. there is a small subscription fee, but it's a great tool.

Pretty good the highest potential is between 3-6pm tomorrow, when the cape values reach between 800 - 900

lol Your area looks pretty good for storms, so whats version 1 like? does it work?iv'e heard that it gets interference from electromagnetic devices like, PC, TV's ect..

looking at the latest GFS the most areas at risk tomorrow between 9-5pm is South Western areas & some parts of CS England, Wales and parts of the midlands, where cape values are higher. My area has a 40/50% risk of storms tomorrow. cape 600-700kj lift index - 2 looking good so far. Abit off topic anyone used either Skyscan P5 or strikealert V2?

it was one of the biggest storms i can remember this was taken from archive. Looking at the Dundee satellite quick-looks the storms generated were a result of warm moist air being dragged up from the continent being lifted by an approaching secondary cold front wave from the west. Looking at the 02:15 IR image it is clear that there were large amounts of convective activity running in a line up the country, and possibly also in the North Sea. The difference in the IR signal can be seen behind and ahead of the front showing a strong temperature gradient. By this time a new "cut-off low" appears to have formed in the Bay of Biscay along the waving cold-front. This waving line of slow-moving but intense convection is the likely cause of such a succession of storms in the north-west region on this night.

i know the feeling, the last supercellular storm i remember was back on the 7th June 1996, hot day 30c then buy evening continous lightning, gusty winds, hail, these were the all nighters. The storm tracked from west to east hitting hampshire and oxford area then towards london, and i remember my dad telling me to get away from the windows as it was so severe. if anyone could get a archive grab of the cells that would be great for everyone to see.

but main question is why, why is it the head north then veer off NE and dissapate?

Can someone here explain why any storms that hit the channel dissipate? back in the 90's through to around 2001 most percentage of storms, would explode into life when crossing the channel and hit the IOW & CS england, iv'e noticed over the last the last couple of years that are chances of any storms from the near continent is very marginal at best, i have the understanding in respect of trough's and spanish plumes. my only opinion is that due to changes in sea temprature and global warming that the trigger of moist air used to produce storms has reduced, thus anystorms that cross the channel losses it's trigger and turns to heavy rain.