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UV-RAY

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Everything posted by UV-RAY

  1. So it's Net Weathers and the MetO's fault that his forecast is bust ( again ) then.
  2. The trend remains much the same IMO, a big block to the East and toughing aligned over poor old rain soaked blighty. Until we see model consensus then I'm sticking with no changes to the status quo in the next 7-10 days at least.
  3. I still can't get enthused by the latest ECM output, it's like deja vu in the MOD thread. Anyway until the GFS comes on board then I'll continue to live up to my username.
  4. Sadly I feel those confidence levels will bear true and the best we can hope for will be Northerly topplers and probably a MLB towards the second half of next month. Nothing in any of the model output to be positive about if it's cold your looking for anytime soon in England and Wales. Some colder PM air for Scotland at times which will bring some wintry weather to lower elevations up there, but the rest of us, well the same old tumbleweed blowing across the output.
  5. Solar activity had been increasing since the back end of last Summer, so being the excellent foreseer of all things metrological he should have known that. Also with the higher solar output and a QBO which west based, he should have foreseen that a SSW event would me more than likely later in the season, though this may happen it will be sods law to be in the wrong location for us anyway. Luckily we should see far less solar activity for next winter and with an east based QBO expect lost of ramping from Madden sometime in July.
  6. Well after a forced absence it appears the models are still as confused as ever, but the favourable outcome still appears to a trough more or less sat over us with rain/cold rain being the form horse for lower elevations in England/Wales with any snow restricted to higher ground and at times lower elevations North of the Border. So it's as you were then, lots of promise but the same old same old continues.
  7. When we get to +48 I'll believe it until then I sense another huge disappointment from the ECM again, for me the GFS will be nearer the mark as it's been throughout this winter.
  8. What the hell as any of that rant got to do with my licence fee being wasted on things that have nothing to do with TV programming. Scrap it as it's another outdated form of compulsory taxation which I totally disagree with. Edit; And what as my rant got anything to do with this thread, apologies.
  9. Disgraceful and adds even more fuel for the scrapping of the licence fee.
  10. I suppose it's a few crumbs of comfort which have been in very short supply this winter.
  11. Indeed, but we're slip sliding into a pretty ordinary few weeks with the emphasis still on rain albeit the colder variety.
  12. You know things look grim when Frosty refuses to post any charts in the MOD thread. I suppose this weekend may have some sort of interest with some surface cold and slack easterly with a trough nearby. hell we may even get some sleet out of this set up.
  13. Your link appears faulty as there is some white fuzziness spoiling the view of the waterfall, what is that?
  14. That's amazing if only we actually had a climate instead of mildness and drizzle nearly 12 months a year.
  15. Indeed, but unless we see heights becoming established over Greenland then any such Northerly/North Westerly would be of the toppler variety. As for cold in March and April well as last year showed we can still see cold and snow but we are then in Spring. This winter is looking like a dogs dinner tbh with no sign anytime soon of a cold spell developing, and I stand by my comments of us seeing nothing but the odd day here and there of cold.
  16. The warmies are now claiming we should only use warm weather events as evidence and ignore cold ones as we now have to look at the ratios. Lol, so we now have missing heat content that remains AWOL and now we can only accept weather events that support the warming agenda. Stop the world I want to get off as the lunatics have finally taken over the asylum.
  17. Quite agree TWS, theres no need for anyone to have a go at anyone for liking mild drizzly weather or cold frosty weather, we all have our favourite weather types and it matters not if that's mild or cold.
  18. Quite a few hundred of them to be precise. Well the hunt for cold continues but this is shaping up to be a nineties, noughties type winter with promises of cold in FI that never come to fruition. Hopefully February will bring us a change of fortunes but for now the winds may have slackened but the rain looks like intensifying over the coming weeks.
  19. Another weirdo, or maybe it's all us coldies Gav . :-)
  20. Indeed, but that's irrelevant Pete as if we are seeing cold records broken and proclaiming that's weather then regardless of ratios the same has to imply for warm records. Talk about making the rules up as you go along, first the missing heat content, now we can only look at warm records because there are more of them, for now. What happens if/when those records are equal, or heaven forbid the cold ones outnumber the warm ones. do we move the goalpost again or maybe rebrand global warming, climate change, again?
  21. Besides the cryptic nonsense are you implying that you'll only accept records which show record breaking warmth and anything else regardless of the source you'll ignore, because if you are you've lost the argument and no matter what spin and agenda you attach to your ramblings, they are and will remain irrelevant. So your implying we only take account of the warm records and any cold ones are weather. Cuckoo, Cuckoo!!
  22. I know where Tim is coming from as December and the first 11 days of this month are following a similar path, what we did see in the bad old days was a block to our East wit sub zero temps whilst we where on the outside looking in. Of course there's still plenty of time for things to change and as others have posted the upstream pattern is far more favourable now that what it was, for me though we need to see this taking effect by the months end or we maybe looking at continuous FI charts showing the next close but no cigar scenario.
  23. I don't Pete as I still class it as weather and I know there are few on this thread who do the same with warm records.
  24. GW, are you saying we should ignore any data that doesn't back a warming trend, because if you are then we are heading into a dangerous place which I'm sure most proponents of AGW won't agree with?
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