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UV-RAY

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Posts posted by UV-RAY

  1. There's been some cracking weather these last few weeks. I've recorded more frosts and cold temps during this spell than the rest of winter put together. Next weeks cold spell will hopefully bring more in the way of sunshine and frosty nights, hopefully we won't see those horrid grey laden skies which dominated much of this winter.

  2. Lol, for my locale it was terrible and certainly on par with any of the late 80's, 90's and noughties winters for cold, frosts and snow. IMBY I recorded more frosts during October and November than the whole of December and January, February faired better on the frost front. As for snowfall that was truly woeful and only two winters in the last 30 years of keeping records have been worse, aside from all of that the real disappointment has been the lack of any deep cold, temps have largely been a few degrees above freezing by both day and night with little in the way of any sunshine.

  3. UKMO just issued new analysis noting GFS "stubborn" re northerly whilst EC has this only temporarily. EC favoured with hill snow "perhaps spreading somewhat further south with time.... then becoming confined again to the N." . They continue to note "weight of ensembles.... continue to favour cyclonic W/SW into trend (10-15d) period.... with recovery in temperatures" . So, story remains consistent in their analysis of 00z ensembles versus those throughout yesterday. Certainly no mention of any widespread snow issues (north temporarily aside, perhaps) based on EC EPS or MOGREPS-15.

    I always felt the GFS handled Northerlys better then the Euros, I don't know whether any stats back this up though.
  4. It would be funny if march ends up being synoptically the best for wintry weather after hoping a decent greenland high would form for months, it now looks like we will get one, just as well the arctic is perishingly cold right now and despite the 6z, we could still be on track for a potent arctic blast.

    Indeed, temps in the arctic are well below average for the time of year so any arctic incursions will certainly have a bite to them.
  5. lordy, theres some rubbish being posted on the model thread. snow chances are being ramped up and the willing are suckering it all in. tbh you only need to read martin gibbs excellant posts for a realistic take on the weather, nearly all the rest is just gibberish. its as if people talk about it enough, itll happen. listen to the unbiased, otherwise you run a great risk of dissappointment.... but theres nothing new there.

    As much as I love my cold and snow mushy I have to agree with you, I'm all for looking for cold charts but it's the constant bigging up of charts at +240hrs which grates me. Also like you I like a sense of realism in what I read, unfortunately some in the MOD thread prefer escapism to realism and god forbid if you comment on anything other than cold chances.
  6. Surprising that as we are now at -1.6c.

    The difference in the feel of today compared to yesterday has been amazing and even today will probably seem ok compared to what the weekend has in store.

    Maybe even a bit of snow by Saturday although I'm not holding out much hope of that.

    That's probably due to your location and height I would guess, temp here 2.3c.
  7. I disagree with you because the Pennines prob blocks the most of the cloudy weather so it will still be a good day tomorrow but few more clouds than today.

    The wind is still light tomorrow so I cant see clouds coming over here anyway. Its only 15mph at best so it will not enough to bring clouds from the east.

    The graphics on the beeb weather showed a cloudy start to the morning but this breaking up in the afternoon, fingers crossed.

    Timelapse of tonight's sunset.

    https://www.youtube....h?v=UQ-s1eE-cJ4

    Is that you recording BT?
  8. If you're looking for an indicator of where we may end up into March, the CFS currently has it's colours firmly nailed to the mast with northern blocking extensive..

    post-2-0-26540800-1361302664_thumb.png

    And that equates to a slightly colder than average month in terms of forecast temperature anomalies.

    The CFS has been quite good since February last year, it picked out last Summers washout as well as being pretty good at picking the right signals for this winter back in early Autumn.
  9. I really do not like that description.It is not false, it is cold.....The forecasted high is not set to bring low overnight minima http://www.wetterzen.../Rtavn16217.png

    but if it did it would be cold .If i have to scrape the car in the mornings it is because it has been cold overnight not falsely cold or with a false scraper.

    And i know you poste "Faux dry" whatever that means

    It was meant to be a tongue in cheek post, directed at the faux cold brigade. Dry is dry, cold is cold.smile.png
  10. I think we may run out of ways to describe high pressure in the next 10-15 days and if the ecm 00z is anything to go by, the next 20+ days, it looks very stagnant, anticyclonic, settled, high pressure dominated and benign for most of the uk apart from the south where it will be breezier, colder, cloudier and with a risk of powdery snow flurries but the calm weather in western, central and northern areas will then also engulf the southeast during next week.

    Faux dry?
  11. Indeed, Just a shame you missed most of the snow events also could of made the winter more interesting from an in your backyard point of view.

    I think March could be a rather diverse month, more so than usual.

    Indeed, this IMBY is the second worst winter for recoding frosts and the third worst for recording snowfall in over thirty years of keeping records. A very poor winter in these parts, luckily Spring is around the corner and after a few cool/cold days temps look like recovering to normal values and beyond, hopefully.
  12. Not really, going off the averages for the month today will be pretty much bang on..... This month is a winters month, therefore it feels pretty much normal for a winters month! Rather than a below average spring day!

    Indeed it is a winters month and these last few days have produced the coldest temps of the winter, which shows just how poor the rest of winter has been for cold and frosts.
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