UV-RAY
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Posts posted by UV-RAY
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Plenty of time for warmth, we don't want any warmth showing it's hand early, one only needs to look back at the last few years where early spring warmth was followed by one abysmal summer after another. Cracking output for those of us in the North next week, someone, somewhere will see some significant falls of snow during the course of next week. Thereafter I expect too see less cold but unsettled weather for the foreseeable.Equally the cold could be pushed further north on subsequent runs, which I and many others are hoping for, it's still not completely clear at this stage.
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Great chart, but Easter Monday is April 1st CC.Easter Monday...
Phenomenal. As a lover of interesting weather and deviation from the 'norm', charts like these excite me greatly.
If charts like this come to fruition, it'd be well into April before the trees came into leaf.
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You can tell when snow prospects are looking good for the NW, when our southern contingent in the MOD thread are disappointed in the output. Game on next week I'd say.
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I think anyone south of the Midlands will be looking at rain only, the further North you are then snow will be more likely.I'm in dave's camp - still a chance of transitory snowfall but altitude and latitude becoming more relevant.
The ecm ens mean becoming less wintry each run and the gefs likewise.
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I don't want too see any corrections southwards Nick, that's been the story of this winter IMBY resulting in mostly rain events here. Cracking run for those in the Midlands Northwards.Yes but as that low pressure moves in from the nw it does send some milder conditions northwards into central Europe, hard to say at present how far north that gets and what the snow cover will be like by the time of the possible undercut.
I'll be keeping a check on those temperatures, dew points over the next few days. At least this time its highlighly unlikely northern France will be stealing the UK's snow!
I think in this instance its not will the pattern be too far south, but too far north. So at the moment I'd say a lowish risk for southern areas increasing as you go further north, that might change depending on the trend of the models.
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Around 20 minutes ago the temp was -2.4c, now it's rose to 0.8c. I'm getting quite excited about the out put for next week, we could be looking at a big snow event here in the NW.
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Going by the latest MetO update, then next week looks very wintry for much of the UK. Quite remarkable for the time of year, could we be looking at one of the coldest March's on record?
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Recorded the lowest temp of the winter/spring last night with temp getting down to -4.9c. Today temp reached the dizzy heights of 6.1c.
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How ironic that spring has brought the lowest daytime temp and the snowiest weather IMBY, it almost makes up for the shocker of a winter proceeding it.
Lets hope they are more accurate than they were for the past winter Gavin, they was showing us being in the freezer right up to late November then switched dramatically.The met office probability maps for March have updated today for April to June
850hpa temperature has a 40% chance of been above normal and 20% chance for below normal
Precipitation has a 40% chance of been below normal for the same period
Early days yet but its looking good for a warm summer a 40% and for some in the north a 60% chance of above normal temperatures!
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How ironic I have to wait until March too see the heaviest falls of snow of the winter, granted it may only be 4cm but after the shocker of a winter which proceeded this I'm more than happy. Temps haven't risen above freezing since before lunchtime, resulting in powdery snow blowing around in shaded areas away from the any sun.
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I'm off out for a walk/hobble on my crutches soon, I haven't managed to get out in any snow this year, due to there being none and in too much pain.
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Temp in the last hour has dropped from 1.9c to 0.2c.
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March 1975 brought 6" snow around these parts with drifts in excess of 5 feet.
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Had an heavy snow shower around 30 minutes ago which left a dusting and the second heaviest fall of snow this winter/spring.
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That's more than I've seen all winter.Dandruff blowing about on a very cold wind. Lying snow visible on Winter Hill.
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IMBY easterlies are bobbins and rarely produce anything,I have thirty years of data backing up such claims.
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No snow reports from me, cloudy and dry here with a temp of 2.6c.
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Good old fashioned cold rain here still, temp at 3.4c.
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It's been the story of the winter in these neck of the woods Frosty, abysmal winter for cold, frosts and snow for many in the NW. Looking good for those areas you highlighted though.Just a quick update on the snow, a large band of wet weather this afternoon across central/central southern britain is already turning sleety and to snow above 100m, it looks like the east midlands and lincs are in prime position for a good covering, maybe 2-4 inches and perhaps 4-6 inches overnight into tomorrow, the risk of snow tomorrow extends further south. NW england probably staying as rain since the rain will be turning lighter and fizzling out but as time goes on today and tonight, colder and colder air will be increasingly in the mix, most of scotland cold and dry but snow showers from tomorrow to n and e coastal areas and similar next week.
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Looking like another cold blip will go out on a whimper IMO. TBH I wasn't even interested this time around as this winter has been pretty bobbins IMBY and I'm now only interested in Spring warmth and endless days of sunshine, so I'm now preparing myself for more disappointment as heights over Greenland become established over the Spring/Summer months.
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Indeed, another awful grey laden cold spell around the corner. Oh how I hate easterlies!Looking like a washout Saturday for the region with a cold wind throughout and the chance of some snow across the Pennines as the day moves on.
After that it just looks like a rinse and repeat of earlier easterlies with cloudy dry conditions and just the chance of some dandruff in more prone areas.
It will however feel bitter, certainly until the wind dies off and any clearance will probably mean quite sever and penetrating frosts.
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So after a few days of the models showing heavy snow and sub zero temps, we now have a day or two of below average temps with a few snow showers in the East. It's a pity those in the MOD thread never learn, every year we have the same ones going OTT regarding easterlies, cold and snow. Still next week still looks pleasant with frost by night and sunshine by day, fantastic!
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I'll have a drop of what that young man has been drinking.Ok i have seen enough to convince me we are on the cusp of a significant event,perhaps a one in fifty year event
i have heard DEC 2010 mentioned many times,in recent days i do not think it will be that special,however many areas
will possibly see there deepest snowfall of the winter
C.S
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Back out of hibernation for what could be the best shot at cold and snow nationwide this winter, in spring. I think the GFS is being a tad too quick at bringing any deep cold to these shores but a cold/very cold outlook for the rest of this month looks the form horse.
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