UV-RAY
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Posts posted by UV-RAY
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After viewing the models without sleep still in my eyes, all still seems good for IMBY. Looking like the NW is still in the sweet spot for fun and games.
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This could be a now forecast for IMBY, looking at the models bar the NAE which I don't rate, there appears to be a Southerly correction on tomorrow's snow line.
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Indeed, how many times have we had burnt fingers.I'm not saying a word till t0. After all the let downs this winter, snow here there and everywhere apart from imby I will not actually believe it till its snowing.
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The way this winter has panned out, rain wouldn't be that surprising CS.Rain for you LOL
Seriously hope we all get a pasting by god dont we deserve it
C.S
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Sleet for you BT.Just gonna leave this here.
ALSO
The Met Office have NOT used the word 'rain' in their forecasts. Hello
Outlook for Friday to Sunday:
Strong winds and sleet or snow on Friday, with drifting and blizzard conditions over hills. Remaining very cold and windy through the weekend with further sleet or snow likely.
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I said last week I expected fun and games this week, but even I didn't expect things to be quite so cold and snowy. Some very low minima's and maximum daytime temps coupled with heavy falls of snow. What a month this is turning out to be, the Maunder Minimum is upon us.
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Exeter was also saying mild was coming in February, maybe it's a lag effect, Lol.It goes with Exeter's latest thought's as posted by Ian this afternoon
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It's cold outside now and looks like a major winter storm will be upon us from Friday onwards, this what I expect to become the norm though not from global warming of course.
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Not happy with tonights models from a selfish point of view, the usual Southerly correction which we've seen all winter looks like scuppering another snow event in these parts. Hopefully it's just plain wrong!!
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Lets hope the correction Southwards on this evenings models is wrong. Though after enduring a winter of those very Synoptics then the chances for snow IMBY at the end of this week are reducing fast, also the Southern Mafia are in attendance on the MOD thread, never a good sign for our region.
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Indeed, this month has see more frosts than the whole of December, January and February IMBY. What a contrast to the last two March's.-2.7C
No shortage of frosts this March
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There's life from the N. Midlands onwards you know, all this winter I've had to listen to a southern bias in here on how wonderful Synoptics were in their BY. Tough luck if it rains from the Midlands Southwards.I think double figures in any sunshine would certainly feel pleasant, seems like a long time since I have seen 12c or 13c
Cracking ECM this morning if its cold and snow your looking for ( from the Midlands Northwards ), the week could see some extremely low temp for the time of year, ice days look a possibility for those in the NE. Any sign of mild is way out in la la land, for now!
PS; Apologies for the grumpiness, I generally don't post first thing in the morning.
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No signs of any warm up, at best normal March weather will resume.Are winter fans starting to think about hibernation?
Ukmo model does a complete backtrack,with milder coditions for the weekend.
Could be a sad day for us coldies.bring on spring now i say.
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If the models are to believed then instead of cold and snow we will have milder temps and rain, in the short term at least. Still absolutely no sign of any spring warmth in any of the models, no matter how far out you go. Could be a long few months coming up chasing any notable warmth again!
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Daffodils bulbs are only just started to poke their head through the soil around here, I think any spring growth will be running a few weeks late through the rest of spring going of the CFS charts with regards to any spring warmth. Still I hate spring warmth in March and April as I find it pointless really, more so after the last five summers.Plenty through in Darlo some are on the verge of opening up now
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Some sleet here earlier this morning, currently dry and cloudy with a temp of 5.8c.
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I agree BFTV, a recovery would have to be year on year on, so if we see an increase in summer ice this season then next season will have to beat that one. Maybe we are starting too see such synoptics now with the below average temps still being reported around there, I wouldn't bet my house on it though.It's hard to know what the right synoptics are, and how you define a recovery. While it may be a somewhat positive sign, I personally wouldn't consider an extent slightly above last year a recovery. It would just be part of a noisy signal in a downward trend
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So it's a choice between cold rain and warm rain then! For the next 7-10 days below average temps look likely for the bulk of the UK, thereafter returning to normal values for a time at least. Going off the CFS charts which have been pretty bang on the money over the last year, then any warm up looks like coming during the latter part of April into May.Pleased to see ECM on now showing some milder hints this morning
Mid teens for the south even with the likely rain
Temps around the low double figures possibly for the south a bit lower the further north you go
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Until 06z mushy! But we all know that one is bobbins.thanks for that chris...
thankfully yesterdays cold riddled charts have been replaced with less cold ones, almost in line with thursdays.
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Heavy wet snow here, I would check my weather station for further details but I'm a little worse for wear now.
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I think what we have to remember is the CFS is a long range tool, it has been consistent for the last twelve months IMO, picking up the correct signals a few months in advance. How long this new found stardom will last though is anyones guess.Yes the last couple of days it has been consistently hinting (in the 12z runs) that the cold will return I think every 12z run has done this since Monday, and it looks like it maybe correct....
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I'm surprised it hasn't melted already, tongue in cheek before anyone gets their knickers in a twist. For the melt season the right synoptics could also see a recovery, just a thought.What worries me most, about the upcoming ice-melt season, is the amount of ice that is only very thin...Given the right synoptics, this year's summer melt could be spectacularly rapid?
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Absolutely barnstorming charts of the ECM tonight and now in the reliable timeframe. If and it's a big if with the way the ECM has performed over the winter months, we cold be looking at some record breaking temps and snowfall for late March. March is now the new December 2010, usual caveats apply.
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They've been consistently dreadful throughout winter, time will tell of course.No idea, but its possible the latest EC 32 dayer does show it turning milder around that time
It also shows above average rainfall
North West England Regional Discussion 17th March 2013>
in Regional
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