UV-RAY

I'm already expecting another damp squib around these parts, we will see snow more than likely but if we get anything other than 2cm at best, I'll show my rear end on the Town hall steps!

We may need a shovel with that amount Lol.

After viewing the models without sleep still in my eyes, all still seems good for IMBY. Looking like the NW is still in the sweet spot for fun and games.

This could be a now forecast for IMBY, looking at the models bar the NAE which I don't rate, there appears to be a Southerly correction on tomorrow's snow line.

Indeed, how many times have we had burnt fingers.

The way this winter has panned out, rain wouldn't be that surprising CS.

Sleet for you BT.

I said last week I expected fun and games this week, but even I didn't expect things to be quite so cold and snowy. Some very low minima's and maximum daytime temps coupled with heavy falls of snow. What a month this is turning out to be, the Maunder Minimum is upon us.

Exeter was also saying mild was coming in February, maybe it's a lag effect, Lol.

It's cold outside now and looks like a major winter storm will be upon us from Friday onwards, this what I expect to become the norm though not from global warming of course.

Not happy with tonights models from a selfish point of view, the usual Southerly correction which we've seen all winter looks like scuppering another snow event in these parts. Hopefully it's just plain wrong!!

Lets hope the correction Southwards on this evenings models is wrong. Though after enduring a winter of those very Synoptics then the chances for snow IMBY at the end of this week are reducing fast, also the Southern Mafia are in attendance on the MOD thread, never a good sign for our region.

Indeed, this month has see more frosts than the whole of December, January and February IMBY. What a contrast to the last two March's.

There's life from the N. Midlands onwards you know, all this winter I've had to listen to a southern bias in here on how wonderful Synoptics were in their BY. Tough luck if it rains from the Midlands Southwards. Cracking ECM this morning if its cold and snow your looking for ( from the Midlands Northwards ), the week could see some extremely low temp for the time of year, ice days look a possibility for those in the NE. Any sign of mild is way out in la la land, for now! PS; Apologies for the grumpiness, I generally don't post first thing in the morning.

No signs of any warm up, at best normal March weather will resume.

If the models are to believed then instead of cold and snow we will have milder temps and rain, in the short term at least. Still absolutely no sign of any spring warmth in any of the models, no matter how far out you go. Could be a long few months coming up chasing any notable warmth again!

Daffodils bulbs are only just started to poke their head through the soil around here, I think any spring growth will be running a few weeks late through the rest of spring going of the CFS charts with regards to any spring warmth. Still I hate spring warmth in March and April as I find it pointless really, more so after the last five summers.

Some sleet here earlier this morning, currently dry and cloudy with a temp of 5.8c.

I agree BFTV, a recovery would have to be year on year on, so if we see an increase in summer ice this season then next season will have to beat that one. Maybe we are starting too see such synoptics now with the below average temps still being reported around there, I wouldn't bet my house on it though.

So it's a choice between cold rain and warm rain then! For the next 7-10 days below average temps look likely for the bulk of the UK, thereafter returning to normal values for a time at least. Going off the CFS charts which have been pretty bang on the money over the last year, then any warm up looks like coming during the latter part of April into May.

Until 06z mushy! But we all know that one is bobbins.

Heavy wet snow here, I would check my weather station for further details but I'm a little worse for wear now.

I think what we have to remember is the CFS is a long range tool, it has been consistent for the last twelve months IMO, picking up the correct signals a few months in advance. How long this new found stardom will last though is anyones guess.

I'm surprised it hasn't melted already, tongue in cheek before anyone gets their knickers in a twist. For the melt season the right synoptics could also see a recovery, just a thought.

Absolutely barnstorming charts of the ECM tonight and now in the reliable timeframe. If and it's a big if with the way the ECM has performed over the winter months, we cold be looking at some record breaking temps and snowfall for late March. March is now the new December 2010, usual caveats apply.