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UV-RAY

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Everything posted by UV-RAY

  1. Indeed CC, and it's what I've been alluding to over the last few weeks on how this winter is very similar to those bad ones of the nineties and nougties.
  2. Actually BFTV, your the first one that has come out and said that and I would agree it would take quite a while to gather all the data and then reach a conclusion.
  3. So are the warm records climate and the cold ones just weather. If so even more hypocrisy from those who like to manipulate the facts.
  4. Lol Ian, every word you speak is taken literally, in fact if you was to produce Wednesdays lottery numbers and say the same most would go and purchase a ticket expecting to win the jackpot.
  5. It may not be quite true but it's the obvious scenario going forward. Over the last 10 days or so we've seen a slight change in the overall NH pattern but the end result differs little from what we've endured thus far. Yes we have a strong block to our east and yes we have seen some disruption to the PV which has resulted in a more positive pattern for colder shots, but what we are still not seeing is a pattern conducive to a long lasting cold spell anytime soon and nor are we guaranteed one regardless of Stratospheric warmings and the MJO.
  6. Good stuff four, I've always detested the way Skeptical science operates as it takes the stance that it's actually open to honest scientific debate, even when the actual truth is far removed from there mission statement, and what makes it even more amusing is the number of posters on here who use it as a reference for scientific facts.
  7. Much like I alluded to early, cold snaps here and there but until we see favourable synoptics regarding the Strat, much ado about nothing really.
  8. Indeed Frosty I still fail to see the optimism of others for a cold spell, snaps here and there yes, but the main theme of a mobile Westerly regime in the longer term remains the favourite, unless there are any favourable developments regarding the Strat.
  9. Tea leaves, Seaweed and Mystic Meg.
  10. Wrong thread, this isn't the it's climate if it's hot weather thread.
  11. I'm with you Crew, it just feels like we are chasing shadows this winter and it just shows how poor this winter has been when we are getting excited about the prospects of some possible frontal snow.
  12. Agreed and that was my point, we may have a higher starting point but nothing can be ruled out and I wouldn't rule out the sun suddenly cranking up again.
  13. I would dispute any such claims as all of us are simply guessing, we could just as easily see a MM making such a sceniro a 80-90% certainty. Remember all this talk of starting points being warmer now then back then is nonsense, just look at what happened during December 2010, so on that basis anything is possible even the sun waking up from its slumber unexpectedly cannot be ruled out.
  14. A lot better output today and I'm more than happy that we have the GFS and UKMO more or less singing from the same hymn sheet. At +144 it could still go either way and if I was a betting man I would say there's a good chance of those in Central England and Eastern parts seeing a rain to snow event out of this set up, small steps in the right direction this morning.
  15. Much as I see the way forward Fred, silk purse. sows ear springs to mind. At least next weekend gives some of us the opportunity of seeing something wintry possibly, but I still can't see anything in any output I've seen to get excited about.
  16. And why should their be as I'm finding it increasingly difficult to make a case for a pattern change to anything cold, yes there is uncertainty in the model output from next weekend onwards, but that's all it is uncertainty and for me the form horse looks to be a continuation of an Atlantic driven pattern as we head into February and beyond, hopefully I'm wrong.
  17. Yes but my post has a Lol smiley and wasn't meant whereas GW is deadly serious as you know and so must condone.
  18. I was being factious knocker, he sounds a quite a character.
  19. I think you'll find I'm not Godarrds biggest fan hence my post further up, and as for attacks well being called a misleader is ok then is it?
  20. Would that be the same summer El Nino you predicted for last summer. The rest of your post is up to your usual standard, mud slinging by calling all sceptics misleaders. You should be banned for such inflammatory remarks as it does nothing but stoke up the fires.
  21. Who is Prof Francis, never heard of him so he must be a crank if you rate him. The Hadley pressure cell has been moving southward over the last 5 years at least and I think I'll listen to Joanna Haigh thank you very much. Also this has nothing to do with your agenda to push all things AGW into every single thread, it becomes tiresome after years of seeing the same repetitive stuff.
  22. But there is still 12 days of the month left and there is an outside chance that the end of this month could be cold and snowy.
  23. I do think its best until we get confirmation from an independent source before passing comment, as knocker says there has been instances where Goddard has, shall we say been wrong.
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