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Everything posted by The Northern Ramper
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He was in the French Pyrenees for a time I’ve had 3 posts moderated in the last hour so I’m just reporting now as instructed. I did want to respond to the posts suggesting that I wasn’t seeing the bigger picture of the cold not getting far enough south. Ive only been following the models and thread for 15 years so what would I know after this time? Completely missing my point.
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When we factor in the standard southern corrections of a LP system coming up against a block, it will be lucky to hit Jersey. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes a cracking run for the north, things you love to see -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A mild outlier. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is their regional thread. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s clearly counting down nicely. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When we have had ‘Holy grail’ Synoptics there is only one way it can trend. I mean we had a Polar Low over us the other night. Things are still looking good to me. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly, it’s only going one way. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In my mind nothing has changed from my stance of being optimistic but cautious 24 hours ago, with a couple of points to add. 1. It is said often that the GFS is strongest in that particular area where the shortwave appears and the other models don’t show it. So don’t be surprised if that is correct. That being said it is also poor in modelling these features against a block so it’s doubtful to have got its track correct, if it even exists. 2. The gems snowfall charts have always been woefully over exaggerated. Plenty of water to go under the bridge still but for me we are 24 hours closer tonight. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The charts are lovely but keep calm people there’s water left to go under the bridge. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh my days -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
The Northern Ramper replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks for posting that, it was a good watch. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
The Northern Ramper replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Great post Mucka