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Stormyking

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Posts posted by Stormyking

  1. Sure has been an incredibly interesting past few days of Model watching, i'm not too worried about the ECM at the minute but still worth keeping an eye on just in case it doesn't become a little bit of a trend, even though its still very very cold on there too. Aside from that another amazing GFS run, GEM and UKMO Doesn't look too shabby at 144. 

    I'm also keeping a little eye on Thursday/Friday, I wouldn't be surprised  of a  risk of some light flurries

    Got everything crossed

    ECM 12z incoming :) 

    • Like 2
  2. I should of really thought about this, if it snows and settles here, all of my shoes have holes in and i have to wait till the end of January to get a new pair of shoes! So im screwed basically.

    However I wouldnt really care, as i just want to see some snow! Its been too long, so fingers crossed tonight delivers!

  3. Ahh nice to be back posting again :D ready for the winter fun. 

    Today was a beautiful day and also quite warm too, there was a bit of a sea breezre but that was quite nice too. Temperature around this area hit exactly 22.0'c Current now is 14.5 and we had a low last night of 11.3'c

    I dont know if any of you went to the Isle of Wight Bestival a couple of weeks ago but I thought id share this firework photo I had captured just for the fun :)

    14329027_10210587331181554_2061624640_n.jpg

    • Like 2
  4. 9 minutes ago, Harry said:

    The difficulty will be, I suspect, that initial storms are more or less modelled to erupt around or just off the coast of Kent/E Sussex. Thereafter it looks as if storms will develop further west of that general zone, meaning that there is a risk you could stay put waiting for that eventuality (and they stay further east) or you could move east, never quite catch them and then they develop over your patch. 

    Personally I am staying put and hoping for the best, but then I am on the edge (wrong side) of Dan's 'moderate' and the MetO's amber so am hopeful of catching at least some peripheral storms, but not expecting to enjoy the main feast.

    If the storms do develop west of that general zone then the area im in isn't too bad, I also live on the East Coast of the Isle of Wight, which is in the risk zone quite nicely, but again its the fact of being on an island is the annoying, i got a feeling we are probably gonna stay put unless the 12z does shift it a bit further East

     

    11 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

    What were your initial plans? I would still hop over to the mainland, and head to Bognor Regis, and then keep track on the radar.

    We have had 2 things in mind for our initial plans, orginaly we were gonna drive down towards Brighton/Hastings area, but the last few runs we have  been thinking of just staying here. Driving to Bognor Regis wouldn't be a bad shout as it isn't far from the Island, its obviously ferry prices we also need to take into account just incase the island does get soem storms

  5. 7 minutes ago, Harry said:

    I'd agree with that, seems to be the general trend being spat out of the models - relatively marginal so I wouldn't expect any change to the current warning areas issued, but if you are in a 'slight' or 'low' area then perhaps the odds have slightly improved.

    One thing is for sure I might be a bit scared of falling asleep tonight in case I miss anything. Strikes me (pun, sorry) that any storms could develop extremely rapidly, with some cells being imported while others will erupt overhead in a very short space of time.

    The fact its been tracking a bit further west in the last few runs, is making me wander if there is any point in going anywhere and just staying where I am. final decision is all down to the 12z I guess.

    And I know for a fact I wont be sleeping tonight haha

  6. E

    27 minutes ago, Speedway Slider said:

    Where's this stuff coming from? Actually, I mean where is it's birthplace? I have attached a screen grab from Blitzortung which shows some thunderstorm/s activity exiting the Bay of Biscay, is that the focal point of where this potentially severe weather is coming from??

    Thanks in advance....Screenshot_2016-06-22-12-56-12.png

    Nice area of Elevated storms in the bay of biscay for sure, once they hit land there gonna turn into some proper surface based beasts for time, damn wish I was there!

    • Like 1
  7. 1 minute ago, Tom Jarvis said:

    Let me know if you are going our way would like to meet up know a good place with views on the South Downs

    Sure thing mate, we are making our final decisions based on the 12z updates, not over sure where we would go for definite

    16 minutes ago, paul_montague said:

    Sick of the reply cock ups on my phone!!! The BBC have just said anywhere from the Isle of Wight eastwards at risk. Personally i would head Brighton way as you better placed if storms pop up either side.

    This is the problem I have haha as we gotta take into consideration of the ferry cost, however we are thinking of the Brighton area. Saying that though some of the latest High rez updates have made things more awkward, quite a few of them have now put the stuff smack bang over the island! This is givng me a headache!

    • Like 2
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